Prediction markets are like betting on sports if the players can also bet and change the outcome on impulse.
38
Colonel-MooseknuckleMar 23, 2026
+24
It's disgusting that people can bet on this.
24
Intel-SourceMar 23, 2026
+10
Some people get rich off of inside information!
10
RosellisMar 23, 2026
+7
I agree, but I’m also kinda like, who in their right mind that *doesnt* have insider info would make these bets? Why are people giving their money away like this?
7
NotagenomeMar 23, 2026
+4
Welcome to the 2nd Gilded Age
4
RenatusiskMar 24, 2026
+1
Like this is great Gatsby bull shit going on
1
Reddit_anon_manMar 23, 2026
+11
"Eight accounts, all newly created around 21 March, bet a total of nearly $70,000 (£52,000) on there being a ceasefire. They stand to make nearly $820,000 if such a deal is reached before 31 March."
Now we find out which side the insiders are on. The Lying boastful side or Iran
11
AsinineAntimony312Mar 23, 2026
+5
I still don’t know about this one. What about sending the thousands of marines and an entire other aircraft carrier near the Persian Gulf? I don’t think this thing ends anytime soon. It honestly might be crypto chuds that hang on his every word betting.
Or it could be the administration itself. 70k is a pretty c**** price tag for a global stock market manipulation aid. I’m sure they could point to this as proof that there might actually be a cease-fire. Lots of people are betting on it! Smart people!
5
Kink_PandaMar 23, 2026
+9
Yeah I'm sure after yesterday's big fake out by Trump really makes this work, f****** stupid. Trump is a madman, there is no logic left
Edit: typo
9
Prior_Coyote_4376Mar 23, 2026
+3
Gambling is an addiction. Logically, why would near-infinitely rich and powerful addicts who no can give an intervention to ever stop gambling with the fate of the world? Or stop f****** kids?
3
Intel-SourceMar 23, 2026
+9
I'ts not gambling when you know the outcome beforehand!
9
LordSiravantMar 23, 2026
+7
Considering the average billionaire is dead inside, gambling and diddling children are probably two of the only things that make them feel *anything* in their cold, dead hearts. C****, meaningless, temporary thrills that are almost immediately swallowed by the void that exists in place of their souls.
7
nopulsehereMar 23, 2026
+4
It’s a one sided bet, they know Trump is nothing but a TACO. And I’m really sorry because I love tacos. But anyway he can fool the fools here. One little drone hits a tanker? That’s a wrap. Another food pun, sorry it’s dinner time.
4
SFM_Hobb3sMar 23, 2026
+1
And if he gets baited into taking Kharg, well, he's toast.
1
r4inbowgravityMar 23, 2026
+4
This betting market shit has got to be banned ASAP. It is so f****** crazy.
4
Intel-SourceMar 23, 2026
+2
They are making a fortune!
2
Invader-BMar 23, 2026
+2
I highly doubt anyone commenting on this insider trading has the balls to gamble alongside them. Trump might announce a ceasefire or an end to operations, hell he’d probably even make up some fake ass deal he made with them that makes it look like he got everything we ever wanted. But to think Iran is just going to go about their business after their leader, shit and ships were blown up is ridiculous.
2
AsinineAntimony312Mar 23, 2026
+3
Yeah I can’t believe people are pretending like even if he was serious, it’s a serious option that could play out. Not only was he Iran’s leader. He was essentially the Muslim version of the Pope since the 90s.
Can you imagine if somebody declared war on Italy, killed the pope, and then a couple weeks later was like, “OK, but it’s over now…”
3
RenatusiskMar 24, 2026
+1
What the f*** is going on?
How is any of this being allowed?
1
LordSiravantMar 23, 2026
+2
No shit, sherlock. That's been a suspicion of ours for a while now.
2
LucasSkywalker89Mar 24, 2026
+1
Iranians said long lasting peace not ceasefire, no deal. Maybe one side deal where USA just says, we out but that won't solve the problems.
1
Intel-SourceMar 23, 2026
Of course! They all jumped in just before the announcement!!
22 Comments