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News & Current Events Mar 31, 2026 at 4:18 PM

Charlie Kirk bullet analysis finds no conclusive link to rifle found near scene

Posted by dr_gus


Charlie Kirk bullet analysis finds no conclusive link to rifle found near scene
the Guardian
Charlie Kirk bullet analysis finds no conclusive link to rifle found near scene
Tyler Robinson’s defense team may try to use analysis to clear him of blame, as prosecutors aim to show there’s enough evidence to proceed with trial

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sylbug Mar 31, 2026 +11395
A reminder that forensics does not work like in a procedural crime drama in real life
11395
Snobolski Mar 31, 2026 +3901
Yeah but they use a microscope and like *line up* the two images. No way that's fake.
3901
ncfears Mar 31, 2026 +1310
I saw it in The Great Mouse Detective. You shoot into a pillow your buddy is holding, grab the bullet, and ~~confirm you have the weapon~~ realize you've reached another dead end and get sad.
1310
BubbaTee Mar 31, 2026 +491
And then you go down to the bar, to watch the stripper that's somehow in a children's cartoon.
491
Wiskid86 Mar 31, 2026 +231
The strippers were mice it's totally OK
231
Hot-Echo-2497 Mar 31, 2026 +134
Then be shocked that furries suddenly exist.
134
ayudaayuda Mar 31, 2026 +49
A real chicken or the egg phenomenon
49
DeTiro Mar 31, 2026 +77
I mean, Disney's animated Robin Hood with the very foxy Maid Marion came out in 1973...
77
Inkthinker Apr 1, 2026 +51
Bugs Bunny was makin' it weird all the way back in the 1940's.
51
oracleofnonsense Apr 1, 2026 +18
*Steamboat Willie* was shaking that ass.
18
Vann_Accessible Mar 31, 2026 +58
I wonder if Basil of Baker St was a drug addict like his character inspiration.
58
Paidorgy Mar 31, 2026 +18
Basil of **Baker** st. It’s in the name.
18
CrashUser Apr 1, 2026 +19
I don't think Holmes ever did marijuna. Opium, cocaine, amphetamines, and enough tobacco to kill a horse he absolutely did.
19
DuncanFisher69 Apr 1, 2026 +12
Yeah. All that and a pint of bitter for what ails you is what the English call “clean living”.
12
Ar_Ciel Apr 1, 2026 +5
That pipe was crammed full of heroin.
5
BLU3SKU1L Mar 31, 2026 +17
Most definitely. You saw how he chiefed that pipe until he came up with an idea.
17
gplusplus314 Mar 31, 2026 +60
Oh my god, you unlocked a childhood memory. Now I need to watch this movie again! I REMEMBER THAT SCENE!
60
kookieman141 Mar 31, 2026 +35
*”Smile everyone!”*
35
Questionable_Cactus Mar 31, 2026 +10
This is exactly the image I get in my head every time I hear anything about projectile fragment analysis, Basil lining up the marks on the bullet.
10
cherry_armoir Mar 31, 2026 +137
Im pretty sure the forensics person zoomed and enhanced the image at least once. And I know someone in that room said "Bingo!"
137
Pisnaz Mar 31, 2026 +56
That is why it failed. There was no "AWOOOOOOOOOOOOWOW" scream, guitar riff and sunglasses being donned.
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plotholesandpotholes Mar 31, 2026 +28
Not enough people on the keyboard.
28
SiLKE_OD Mar 31, 2026 +50
I worked in a forensics lab where we had a "firearms/tool marks" examiner. Surprisingly enough, that part is real.
50
ScientificSkepticism Apr 1, 2026 +5
Sometimes it is more accurate than polygraph tests, although the two have a surprising amount in common.
5
slobs_burgers Mar 31, 2026 +38
Enhance. Enhance. Enhance.
38
SoggyAttorney1 Mar 31, 2026 +84
Im not sure if you are being serious or not but that technology is actually real. Its called the Ibis system and was created in Montréal by a man called John Walsh. My mother works for the company (Forensic Technology, which now operates under a different name after john walsh sold the company when he retired) that invented the microscope machine you're talking about Fun fact: the killer of John Lennon was found specifically because of an early version of the ibis system and she has the bullet framed in her office. Edited: the killer was in fact known but she does have the bullet that killed him framed.
84
PlantWide3166 Mar 31, 2026 +44
I’m not being a jag to you, wasn’t Mark Chapman caught on scene after not leaving? Or am I reading it wrong that the bullets recovered were matched to the gun taken from him?
44
MaybeUNeedAPoo Mar 31, 2026 +36
He literally sat down and started reading Catcher in the Rye.
36
zz_hh Mar 31, 2026 +20
He shot Lennon and then sat down and waited for the police to arrive.
20
Notrealbutter Mar 31, 2026 +25
So we do that, in reality. It's not 100% foolproof, but it is something done for investigations. Source: I have a bachelor's degree in Forensic Science- had to do this for a Non-biological trace course at Penn State.
25
skullitor13 Mar 31, 2026 +474
I'm curious if they hit the enhance button enough times.... Maybe if they hit it one more time time it would work.
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noelmatta Mar 31, 2026 +275
the enhance button needs to be pressed by a quirky neuro-divergent hacker while she playfully roasts her superiors with passive-aggressive commentary that she actually uses as a mask to hide the trauma from her hacktivist past (where she dressed as a goth for some reason) while keeping her colleagues distant except for that one handsome field agent who somehow gets through her guarded walls with a pet name like "baby girl"
275
dollenrm Mar 31, 2026 +85
This is definitely about Abby from NCIS I feel but it fits for alot of other shows too
85
noelmatta Mar 31, 2026 +57
I had 3 shows in mind when I wrote it, NCIS was one of them haha
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User_User_Ice6642 Mar 31, 2026 +13
Was Arrow one? Bc I feel like Felicity also qualifies.
13
AbsoluteTruth Mar 31, 2026 +20
Criminal Minds
20
IVShadowed Mar 31, 2026 +19
Angelatron could also solve this in less than an hour. Maybe two if it's a season ender.
19
ExpiredExasperation Mar 31, 2026 +10
Only if two technicians press it at once.
10
MechanicalTurkish Mar 31, 2026 +76
They need to get a thumbprint off the shattered bullet fragments. I saw Batman do it once.
76
Cash-Machine Mar 31, 2026 +17
Had to do a search for Batman in this thread, as I'm *still* pissed about that scene in an otherwise great movie. The whole concept relies on a similar bullet deforming in the EXACT SAME WAY when it hits a similar surface from a similar gun, allowing for the digital reconstruction of a fingerprint UNDERNEATH the casing SOMEHOW. Lunacy.
17
FlailingScrotum Mar 31, 2026 +295
Our justice system has been irredeemably damaged by not just bullshit depictions on TV, but also just plain bad science. A lot of the forensic so-called evidence we use is absolute bullshit.
295
Lopsided-Total-5560 Mar 31, 2026 +138
Absolutely. Fire “science” has been irrefutably debunked. Blood splatter analysis has had some notable setbacks. How many innocent people have those two alone put in prison? Edited to add: Now DNA evidence scares the shit out of me. I believe in the science, I’m just not convinced it’s always used in the right way. Yes, you can prove someone was there, but were they there at the time the crime was committed as in a public space?
138
DJFisticuffs Mar 31, 2026 +57
DNA doesn't even prove they were there. Look up "secondary DNA transfer."
57
beaniebee11 Mar 31, 2026 +34
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Phantom_of_Heilbronn Perfect example of this.
34
DJFisticuffs Mar 31, 2026 +31
Yeah, the other case I'm familiar with is a dude named Lukis Anderson who was suspected of a home invasion murder because his DNA was found at the scene and he had a history of doing burglaries. It turned out that he was in the ER at the time and the paramedic who brought him there also responded to the murder.
31
Rum_N_Napalm Mar 31, 2026 +49
Bachelor in forensics here. Basically it’s way more complicated than it works or it doesn’t. The things you see on tv, where they find *the* clue and say jump to “you had the thing that left that clue so you’re guilty” is absolute bullshit for several reasons. Ok, so first of all, the mythical single clue that solves the case basically never happens. You don’t search for the one thing that proves stuff beyond all doubts, but for several things that, while individually can’t finger a single person, combine bring that beyond doubt side. Basically, it’s a giant game of Guess Who? Being able to say this thing could have come from that source and only that source pretty much never happens, outside of DNA and theoretically fingerprints (but in practice you never get clean enough prints on a crime scene). Let me try to cook up an example: I’m thinking of public figure. Try to guess who He’s a man… ok, well that’s a worthless clue, because while we have eliminated half the population, that’s still several billion persons. He appears in Dr Strange and the Multiverse of Madness. He appears in a Spider-Man movie His initials are B C Now I bet you’re looking at the cast list of Dr Strange and the Multiverse of Madness for male actors who also appeared in a Spider-Man movie with the initials BC. Next clue: he also played Elvis in a movie. Now none of those individual clues allow you to pinpoint the individual, but combined I think you have a good idea. Now stop searching IMBD for which movie did Benedict Cumberbatch played Elvis in, because I’m actually thinking of Bruce Campbell. Hail to the king baby. I like to mention the case of [Wayne Williams](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wayne_Williams), a murderer who was caught because they found a type of fiber that’s only used in a specific brand of carpet and only that. Police were able to determine that only about a 1000 of those carpets were sold in the Atlanta area. They also found dog hair, another type of fibre that’s used in trunk lining of few specific models of a certain manufacturer (I think it was Fords, but I don’t have the time to check the details) as well a some more common fibres which ended up matching Williams’s bedsheets. Now, turns out Williams had that specific “only a 1000 in Atlanta” carpet, and that specific car with the trunk liner, and a dog and those bedsheets… so it became overwhelming likely that the only way the body could have picked up that mix of fibres was that it spent time in an area where all those fibres were present, and since some of those fibres were rare, it was much likely that William’s apartment was the source than any other Atlanta residence (the actual FBI report is free online and contains statistical analysis). So yeah, a forensic expert should just say “no this source could not leave this clue”, “yes, this source could have left this clue, but it’s not the only possible source” or, and this is phrase they drilled in our brains “It is (statistically analysis results) more likely that this source left this clue rather than any other”. Next, it’s the investigator’s, and the defense’s, job of proposing a scenario to explain the expert’s findings. Mr Body was killed in the Ballroom with the revolver. Mr Green has gunpowder residue on him. Investigators propose Mr Green shot Mr Body. The defense argues Mr Green went to target practice with a rifle before the murder and has never seen that revolver. The expert is called. The expert says the chemical composition of the residue on Mr Green and the revolver are similar. Is this enough to say Mr Green shot Mr Body? No, because Mr Green might have been using bullets that contains a similar gunpowder in his rifle. Both scenarios are likely. However, if the composition was different, then the defence’s scenario becomes more likely. Then the prosecution says they found Mr Green’s fingerprints on the gun. Mr Green admits he did handle the gun but lied because he was afraid of becoming a suspect. But he swears he only handled it when Mr Body showed it to him. The expert is called and says he found a fingerprint consistent with Mr Green on the inside of the cylinder, consistent with someone reloading the gun. But he admits the fingerprint is partial and not enough for an identification, although it does feature a whorl, which is an uncommon fingerprint design. Now, if it turns out Mr Green is the only guest with whorl fingerprints… it’s starting to look bad for him. Hope that helps clear stuff up. I’m a tad busy, but if you have any questions I’ll try to find the time to answer. Bottom line is that it can be reliable, but you have to do the job right and especially know the limits of your conclusions.
49
Glittering_Estate_72 Mar 31, 2026 +63
add bite mark and tire track evidence to that list
63
tara1245 Mar 31, 2026 +25
and forensic handwriting analysis >[No forensic technique](https://www.straightdope.com/21343576/is-handwriting-analysis-legit-science) has taken more hits than handwriting analysis. In one particularly devastating federal ruling, United States v. Saelee (2001), the court noted that forensic handwriting analysis techniques had seldom been tested, and that what testing had been done “raises serious questions about the reliability of methods currently in use.” The experts were frequently wrong — in one test “the true positive accuracy rate of laypersons was the same as that of handwriting examiners; both groups were correct 52 percent of the time.” The most basic principles of handwriting analysis — for example, that everyone’s handwriting is unique — had never been demonstrated. “The technique of comparing known writings with questioned documents appears to be entirely subjective and entirely lacking in controlling standards,” the court wrote. Testimony by the government’s handwriting expert was ruled inadmissible.
25
WidespreadPaneth Mar 31, 2026 +30
Bite marks are obviously BS but tire tracks?!? Don't tell me My Cousin Vinny was wrong
30
inspectoroverthemine Mar 31, 2026 +78
Exonerating evidence is easy- showing that a given tire/car _couldn't_ have left a track can be super easy. Its when they try to do the opposite and claim 'beyond a reasonable doubt' that a track came from a specific car that they're blowing smoke out their ass. That applies to lots of 'scientific' evidence, and at this point I'm sure there are areas that everyone is afraid to look at since it'd undermine a century of criminal evidence.
78
Glittering_Estate_72 Mar 31, 2026 +36
marisa tomei is the exception to every rule.
36
24-Hour-Hate Apr 1, 2026 +5
How many people do you think own the same tires as you? Tire tracks mean f*** all. So do shoe prints. Mass production means many people own the same items. Also, all my shoes are different sizes, so I can answer that question honestly a bunch of different ways 🤣
5
Gunslinge72 Mar 31, 2026 +68
It works when the defendant is too poor to afford an expert to refute the evidence when the state brings it to trial. It’s one of the main reasons why money influences decisions.
68
Cautious-Progress876 Mar 31, 2026 +15
It’s actually the law that indigent people also get “free” experts, not just free lawyers. And most of these experts get their “normal fee” from the court, not something reduced. I’ve been appointed as a lawyer on cases where the county paid 10x more to the person I found who helped me get the prosecutor to dismiss my client’s case than they paid me.
15
Suggestive-Syntax Mar 31, 2026 +166
It took me less than a minute to see what the court documents actually said and understand what they meant. They do not show that the bullet was not fired from the gun. They show only that the bullet was too fragmented to confidently link it to ANY gun. This is not uncommon, and DOES NOT mean the bullet didn’t come from Robinson’s gun. Of course the defense attorneys are going to spin this as evidence that Robinson is innocent. That is what defense attorneys do. They scrape together every possible fragment of doubt and present it as if it were fully exculpatory. It’s not. Defense lawyers are paid to downplay or ignore evidence pointing to guilt, exploit people’s cognitive biases, and make fallacious arguments sound persuasive. This information about the bullet doesn’t erode the case for Robinson’s guilt in any way. It is totally neutral on that front. And it in no way invalidate the mountain of positive and mutually corroborating lines of evidence we do have for Robinson’s guilt. You should expect more from the commentators you follow, and hold them accountable by refusing to give them your attention in the future. If they could not be bothered to spend even one minute checking the facts before spreading confusion to you and millions of others on Listnook they do not deserve your attention. They are nothing more than grifting engagement farmers.
166
mboop127 Apr 1, 2026 +28
And what are prosecutors paid to do?
28
IAmRoot Mar 31, 2026 +42
There's plenty of scientifically unsound ways used to prosecute people, too. Unfortunately far too much of our injustice system is based on following ceremony rather than actually following the evidence. The Supreme Court even ruled that proof of innocence doesn't matter because the ceremony of a court finding someone guilty is more important that new evidence proving innocence later.
42
r4ngaa123 Apr 1, 2026 +23
You really don't like defense attorneys lol
23
pegleghippie Apr 1, 2026 +29
Thanks for reading the article and commenting, and for sticking up for evidence-based decision making. However, > Defense lawyers are paid to downplay or ignore evidence pointing to guilt, exploit people’s cognitive biases, and make fallacious arguments sound persuasive. This sentence makes you sound like a fanboy for prosecutions and incarceration.
29
el_kabong909 Apr 1, 2026 +14
The rest of their comment history isn’t making them sound much better 😬
14
Hoboliftingaroma Mar 31, 2026 +2234
Wait, wait. I saw this Disney documentary called *The Great Mouse Detective,* and they showed unequivocally that bullet matching is real. And this was years ago.
2234
wa11yba11s Mar 31, 2026 +302
i just watched that last week with my son and the bullets DID NOT match actually. Basil became quite despondent when they weren’t a conclusive match.
302
Hoboliftingaroma Mar 31, 2026 +94
Right!? Yes! Basil conclusively disproves his own theory! And poor Ms Judson, feathers went everywhere! She'll be cleaning up for ages.
94
RizzoTheRiot1989 Mar 31, 2026 +67
This is the fifth comment I’ve seen about the great mouse detective and that exact scene, is there something stupid a politician said recently we are all making fun of or is something else going on?
67
enadiz_reccos Mar 31, 2026 +95
I'm in my 30s, and if you asked me to recall a scene with "bullet matching", it would 100% be that one scene from The Great Mouse Detective
95
RizzoTheRiot1989 Mar 31, 2026 +17
Same age, and it did kinda come up for me but the first thought was this scene from CSI that showed them like rotating a bullet casing on a computer and this groove matching up, then Dale Gribble, and then that scene. It must have had all us kids in a chokehold when it first came out.
17
enadiz_reccos Mar 31, 2026 +6
I was actually a big CSI fan (and fan of procedural crime dramas) and the Great Mouse Detective scene still sticks out above the rest Very formative years for us all
6
Low-Astronomer-7009 Mar 31, 2026 +159
Get the mouse on the case!
159
IAMA_Plumber-AMA Mar 31, 2026 +51
I keep telling you, he's 129 years old and he's dead!
51
NCSUGrad2012 Mar 31, 2026 +46
That was my favorite movie as a kid. I loved when they went through the gears of Big Ben
46
SatchBoogie1 Mar 31, 2026 +17
Criminally underrated (no pun intended). It just happened to debut when Disney was in an absolute rut for animated movies. Black Cauldron was a production and financial mess once it released the prior year. Pretty sure I read that Great Mouse Detective had a shoe string of a marketing budget as a result of this.
17
Level7Cannoneer Mar 31, 2026 +10
First use of CGi in an animated movie was that scene
10
phil_the_builder Mar 31, 2026 +4569
My years of wathing CSI tells me they probably didnt defraggle the drives correctly. Irony off: matching a bullet fragment to a rifle is probably a really diffcult task, depending on how small it is maybe even impossible.
4569
ExecutiveCactus Mar 31, 2026 +139
I’m now using defraggle instead of defrag now
139
phil_the_builder Mar 31, 2026 +50
There is a defragmentation tool called [defraggler.](https://www.ccleaner.com/defraggler)
50
stubob Mar 31, 2026 +85
Does it rock?
85
Fievels_good_trouble Mar 31, 2026 +43
Who cares? That’s worries for another day.
43
shifter_rifter Mar 31, 2026 +17
Work your cares away!
17
Venomous_Ferret Mar 31, 2026 +7
*clap clap*
7
Express-Rub-3952 Apr 1, 2026 +5
Down in Fraggle Rock!
5
Hellsinger7 Mar 31, 2026 +1430
They didn't enhance the bullet enough.
1430
Elfhoe Mar 31, 2026 +541
Did they try creating a GUI interface using visual basic to track the killer’s IP address?
541
nisamun Mar 31, 2026 +131
Did 2 people try and stop a hack while both using the same keyboard?
131
Shopworn_Soul Mar 31, 2026 +70
And the hack was averted by unplugging the console they were typing on. To be fair, NCIS was really big on doing technology wrong on purpose.
70
DarthHiccups Mar 31, 2026 +116
I shut that episode off and never watched another after she said that line. The show was already a slippery slope of stupidity, but it was entertaining. But I just could not continue after that.
116
dshookowsky Mar 31, 2026 +73
Wait....was that actually a line?! I never watched the show. EDIT: OMG. That's.....so...I....can't even.....!!!! WTAF?
73
ProfNinjadeer Mar 31, 2026 +73
https://youtu.be/hkDD03yeLnU?si=0GtTRHmrbPZPHIzo
73
Far-Fault-6243 Mar 31, 2026 +62
A person who was paid real actual money was paid to write that line and it made it pass editors producers and the director of the show… how?
62
lvl_zxro Mar 31, 2026 +99
I honestly would guess that with stuff like that, it’s the writers having an internal competition with each other to see who can slip in the dumbest tech babble.
99
Rubthebuddhas Mar 31, 2026 +27
It's the CSI version of all the different magical devices Geordi / Torres / etc. said needed to be replaced/optimized/etc. on the various Star Trek series.
27
punkasstubabitch Mar 31, 2026 +24
always try reversing the polarities
24
LoveForDisneyland Mar 31, 2026 +23
I can't remember when this episode air, but the show was \~2004-2013, and most of the writers and viewers, I'm going to guess, had no clue what a GUI/VB interface or an IP address. Probably comes from the same writers who used as much hacking lingo as possible before Gibbs unplugs the computer to stop a hacking from occurring at a Gov building... [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kl6rsi7BEtk&themeRefresh=1](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kl6rsi7BEtk&themeRefresh=1)
23
TheGandu Mar 31, 2026 +6
Don't worry [someone fixed that scene years ago by making them play Mortal Kombat 4 instead.](https://youtu.be/zmMdEfkJGHo?si=InFhuy2BljK51w-b)
6
Genius-Imbecile Mar 31, 2026 +12
It sounded techy enough when most of the viewers weren't as computer savvy.
12
Badloss Mar 31, 2026 +6
In NCIS at least I know the writers intentionally make the tech scenes as stupid as possible as an in joke
6
Unlikely_Exercise434 Mar 31, 2026 +16
It was two people typing on a keyboard makes hacking faster where they lost me. At least Swordfish had some topless Halley Berry to distract from the nonsense.
16
ConsciousRutabaga Mar 31, 2026 +8
We need to track the bullets trajectory with laser pointers.
8
phil_the_builder Mar 31, 2026 +5
They probably did this.
5
Reading_Rambo220 Mar 31, 2026 +77
That’s pretty lazy. All they have to do is say “computer, enhance” and it enhances the image
77
-Ahab- Mar 31, 2026 +173
As much as I’d love to jump on the conspiracy bandwagon with this one, matching a discharged and likely deformed bullet to a single gun isn’t as easy as Basil of Baker St. makes it look.
173
Krakengreyjoy Mar 31, 2026 +24
Now thats a reference
24
Axin_Saxon Mar 31, 2026 +12
Especially hunting rounds that deform and fragment on impact.
12
Ferbtastic Mar 31, 2026 +10
They cannot just spin them until the pattern marches?
10
GeekBoyWonder Mar 31, 2026 +20
But did their computers make crittley beeps during the search?
20
SoloCongaLineChamp Mar 31, 2026 +4345
Unless there's a significant defect in the barrel there's no way to conclusively match any bullet to a particular gun. Ballistics matching is pseudo-science just like bite mark matching and polygraphs.
4345
theuncleiroh Mar 31, 2026 +2479
Not when it supports the prosecution and police, though. Then it's good enough to throw the book at someone
2479
DTFlash Mar 31, 2026 +963
That's why you should never do a polygraph. It never exonerates you but it's always used against you.
963
Bard_the_Bowman_III Mar 31, 2026 +588
If you are accused of a crime, and you want to do a polygraph, you do it privately through your lawyer, who will hire someone and have it done discreetly. And you only turn it over to the prosecutor if it supports you. Otherwise its attorney-client privileged. In my career I've dealt with some prosecutors who would frequently consider dismissal of certain charges if you'd provide a favorable polygraph report. No comment on whether polygraphs actually work or not. But this is a tactic I used with occasional success doing criminal defense.
588
Kryptosis Mar 31, 2026 +198
All I know is anyone can hire that chubby bald dude who does polygraphs tests on the major TV shows and he’ll say whatever you want him to say
198
mrbubbamac Mar 31, 2026 +75
i saw a documentary where a car mechanic used a polygraph to ensure honestly behind their quotes for services but it looks like lie detectors can be faulty if it's a toshiba computer
75
kamperx2 Mar 31, 2026 +44
Have I got a Nathan for you!
44
Budget_Persimmon_195 Mar 31, 2026 +9
thats why they arent admissible as evidence.
9
Ven18 Mar 31, 2026 +35
The secret is they never need to do anything we have just convinced enough of the population they work that if you show a favorable report a lawyer knows it will likely put enough doubt in the jury.
35
redditusername012 Mar 31, 2026 +4
Polygraphs are generally inadmissible, so the jury is never going to know about it. And if that were to be revealed in front of the jury, a mistrial would be declared. At best, the disclosing lawyer would receive a tongue lashing from the presiding judge. At worst, the lawyer could be facing sanctions. By comparison, DAs in overstretched departments can get rid of some of their caseload with this approach, and I would presume a dismissal along these lines would necessitate getting the polygraph results from defense counsel the DA can trust/has a good working relationship with.
4
icallitadisaster Mar 31, 2026 +9
It doesn't measure lies. It measures physiological responses as you answer that MAY correlate with lies.
9
Ginger_Anarchy Mar 31, 2026 +66
Polygraphs are inadmissible federally and in most US states and the ones that do admit them, both the prosecution and defense have to agree to it, which makes them practically inadmissible because neither side is going to agree if it doesn't support their case. They're purely an interrogation tool and should be banned from that as well because of how ineffective they are.
66
AFRIKKAN Mar 31, 2026 +76
Was pulled over the other day and harassed by state police. Their claim for pulling me over was I didn’t use my turn signal earlier enough before I merged back into the right lane after passing someone. They then told me they saw me throwing things out my window and tried to use that to get me to let them search my car and then kept pushing me to take a field sobriety test because I said no to both. After 10 min I’m asked why I won’t give them one and I tell them cause it can only hurt me. They have no evidence of impairment and therefore no reason to suspect it so the field sobriety test is just a ploy at that point to put me in cuffs take a blood test and get a warrant for the search of my car. I fell for it once and I wasn’t about to do it again. The police will lie.
76
larsdan2 Mar 31, 2026 +25
Absolutely always do this. They might make you get a blood draw, but if they do and it comes up negative, you might have a lawsuit on your hands.
25
Whitewind617 Mar 31, 2026 +16
I mean it's not like they need it in this case. This is clickbait, it does not matter at all that it didn't match but they will get clicks from dipshit conspiracy theorists.
16
1egg_4u Mar 31, 2026 +259
Damn. I Really had no clue bullet matching was pesudo-science... i knew polygraphs and handwriting analysis were bogus. How much of forensics is just bullshitting? Edit: it seems basically all of it is bullshit oops :')
259
DeliciousMoments Mar 31, 2026 +257
I read about a case where a man was sentenced to life for burning down his house with his family inside. It turns out the "arson expert" who had helped put him away just got their certification in the subject at like a weekend seminar and it all turned out to be bullshit. EDIT: he was executed by the state of Texas and his name was [Cameron Willingham](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cameron_Todd_Willingham).
257
WoodyTheWorker Mar 31, 2026 +167
Texas executed that guy
167
Disastrous-Tone-7669 Mar 31, 2026 +121
And they knew he was most likely innocent when they did it. It's not like they found out years later
121
radda Mar 31, 2026 +70
Prosecutors are pathologically unable to admit they've ever made a mistake.
70
DontAskAboutMyButt Mar 31, 2026 +27
Once they start admitting it, the whole system crumbles. These innocent people are the sacrifices necessary to maintain power
27
Pete_Iredale Mar 31, 2026 +31
And then people act like it's crazy to be against capital punishment. Even if I thought that was good and just punishment, I still wouldn't trust our legal system to not get it wrong.
31
anonuemus Mar 31, 2026 +12
and that's the reason why the death penalty is bad
12
chanaandeler_bong Mar 31, 2026 +26
Cameron Todd Willingham. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cameron_Todd_Willingham?wprov=sfti1# [Absolutely amazing long form article about him and the trial and the bunk science. Written by David Grann](https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2009/09/07/trial-by-fire) One of the best journalists on earth. We have executed so many clearly innocent people in this country. Just imagine how many are in jail for extremely long sentences with no chance of getting out that are also innocent. John Grisham also released a great nonfiction book, Framed, on innocent people locked up. The book almost exclusively looks at white people sentenced to death/life, which Grisham and his co author have stated was on purpose so people can’t just say it’s racially motivated. The system is broken all by itself, and the has racism amplify it to insane levels.
26
jigokubi Mar 31, 2026 +47
Everyone involved in a prosecution like that should be looking at major prison time. Yet I've never heard of anyone facing any sort of penalty for ruining someone's life in that manner. Any number of innocent people in prison higher than zero is unacceptable to me.
47
Vennomite Mar 31, 2026 +10
Thr way preosecution is set up in thr u.s. is just evil anyway. It's not justice. It's get a conviction by any mostly legal means possible.
10
Ildona Mar 31, 2026 +70
For what it's worth, there's a huge push to get forensics up to speed, there's just also pushback on incorporating the improvements. You can go to basically any major analytical chemistry conference in America and find panels discussing forensics. They're quite interesting at PittCon, as an example. And there's some odd stuff they're studying. I have a friend who was studying lubricants used in condoms and how they degrade in the vaginal biome over time. If you know the degradation materials, you can theoretically trace that back to specific brands of condoms based on their lubricants, then you can use financial records to show a suspect purchased those condoms, etc. Basically a way to get a specific signature in the absence of DNA. While the testing and analysis require experts, they had built up a sizeable database of spectra and chromatograms for lubricants, which was always a fun conversation. Similar stuff is being done with arson analysis, which is pretty neat to see the combustion byproducts they can identify. Similarly, they were building databases of ignitable fluids that would be used for arson, ignited in various ways. And, of course, DNA-based technologies are substantially more advanced than they used to be. At some point, it's not that the science is bullshit. It's that the jury doesn't understand the science, so the prosecutors can bullshit the meaning and implications. There's a reason all my forensics friends hate prosecutors. Alternatively, it's that the good techniques aren't being implemented in the field due to cost restrictions or simply stubbornness. Or, more fun, coroners don't necessarily need any degree in science, so who knows if they know what they're doing, that's always fun.
70
1egg_4u Mar 31, 2026 +20
Ok this is straight up fascinating though I would actually love to see more of the sort of "up and coming" forensics approaches
20
Ildona Mar 31, 2026 +17
For what it's worth, "up and coming" forensics are almost entirely "currently utilized analytical chemistry or biochemistry techniques applied to a novel, forensically-relevant target set." There's a reason forensics programs are usually tied to the chemistry department. A lot of the currently researched methods are basically "is this even practical" pilots. Many of these techniques require quite a bit of training in order to properly implement, or require expensive instrumentation that you just won't get funding for. As a result, even if they work well, you won't hear about them because they're not in the field due to personnel, training, or funding limitations. Yes, we can throw triple quad mass specs in labs across the nation and do all kinds of interesting analysis with them... But those are *stupidly* expensive to install and maintain, sample prep is a beast into itself, and you need some real experts to use them. That's why we more often see immunoassays for drug screening, etc, they're just easier to use and require less infrastructure. With that said, some of the crime dramas actually do a good job of pointing out real techniques... They just skimp on the time frame, specifically for how long analysis can take at times, and also usually condense "team of specialists" into "one quirky hot goth girl who does all of it." That's not a knock on the accuracy as a whole, just a "bro, it's a TV show, we gotta keep it moving." You know how it is. Usually when something starts being commonplace, they actually put it in one of those shows, so it's just the "separation of the idea of the technique from the hand waiving." Basically, go watch your crime dramas and get ready to find an explanatory YouTube video whenever they say they're going to test something.
17
SoloCongaLineChamp Mar 31, 2026 +32
Way too much.
32
HuckleberryLeather80 Mar 31, 2026 +15
Shell casings can be reliably traced, and they were in this case. Bullet fragment analysis is largely worthless by itself
15
ImTedLassosMustache Mar 31, 2026 +12
John Oliver has an episode about forensic science
12
FuzzyMcBitty Mar 31, 2026 +73
And hair. Remember when the FBI said that they’d exaggerated their ability to match hair in 95% of cases it was used in for 20 years?
73
Ildona Mar 31, 2026 +41
Hair analysis has come a long way in the last 20 years, at least. It's now mostly DNA analysis as opposed to mostly microscopy. If there's a hair with a follicle / root attached, you can confidently determine if it belongs to a suspect. Sequencing tech has come a long way in the last 20 years, but you can't use sequencing to pinpoint an individual from a rootless strand of hair, you need the root. As with much of forensic science, the issue in accuracy isn't in the science itself, it's in what the jury actually understands about what the science means. That field is way more about scientific communication than anything else, honestly.
41
hlgb2015 Mar 31, 2026 +71
Yeah, I mention this so often and nobody cares. It’s polygraph levels of reliability at absolute best.
71
ginny11 Mar 31, 2026 +67
How about when an unfired, ejected round is compared to a fired round to conclude they were both from the same gun? AND that was allowed as evidence that helped convict a man of murder, when there was no other physical evidence?
67
SoloCongaLineChamp Mar 31, 2026 +53
A lot of BS has been used to convict people. Courts don't find truth, they place blame. Any sort of firearms matching is going to require a defect in the gun to be even close to conclusive. Guns are turned out on assembly lines using identical parts. Unless there's something truly unique about the one being examined it'll look just like every other model that came off of that line. Same thing with ammunition. Rounds manufactured by the same company in the same building will be largely identical. The best that you could do would be to say would be that the ammo was of the same brand, caliber, and load. I doubt even the best chemical analysis could narrow it down to a particular batch and definitely not an individual box. Cop shows have been lying to us for years.
53
Ornery_Flounder3142 Mar 31, 2026 +23
That man got railroaded.
23
ginny11 Mar 31, 2026 +14
Yes he did. Fighting for an appeal as we speak.
14
Aushos-74 Mar 31, 2026 +8
This was the case that popped into my head as soon as I read the headline.
8
Whitewind617 Mar 31, 2026 +41
I'm sorta puzzled by this post, there is very little reason to believe the suspect is not the culprit, he confessed, and sent damning text messages to his roommate essentially confirming the rifle was his. Are we seriously entertaining some kind of conspiracy here?
41
SoloCongaLineChamp Mar 31, 2026 +30
No. He almost certainly did it. I was only posting about this particular piece of "evidence" and how it's still allowed in court even though bullet matching isn't any more scientific than consulting auguries.
30
Monteze Mar 31, 2026 +15
Less lizard people-dark cabal-jfk type conspiracy and more holycrap-they-botched-the-case-due-to-incompetence- levels of "conspiracy". The text messages honestly don't hold up but their whole story about the rifle used and photos released just do not add up. Like this could be an OJ situation where there is a good chance he did it but they fucked it all up so bad with either lying/jumping the gun (no pun intended) and he gets off.
15
spinichmonkey Mar 31, 2026 +1848
"Balistic matching" is f****** voodoo. The only reason people believe that horseshit is because they have been sold a bunch of lies by three quarters of a century of televised copaganda. https://radleybalko.substack.com/p/devil-in-the-grooves-the-case-against
1848
euph_22 Mar 31, 2026 +411
Pro tip, if they do it in CSI, it is not actually a thing in real life.
411
o_MrBombastic_o Mar 31, 2026 +242
Taking off my sunglasses dramatically doesn't make me look cool?
242
blind_stone Mar 31, 2026 +66
The Who intensifies.
66
McFistPunch Mar 31, 2026 +33
Absolutely.  Also, make sure you discharge your firearm in a public space at least three to five times a week, slap all that evidence in a plastic bag and race it back to the lab to put it through the science-o-tron
33
Naki-Taa Mar 31, 2026 +42
Nah that one's real
42
I_need_a_better_name Mar 31, 2026 +7
Only if you practice beforehand, which is not cool 
7
lron_tarkus Mar 31, 2026 +6
YEEAAAAAAAAAH it does
6
KenDanger2 Mar 31, 2026 +4
This entirely depends on the guitar riff and vocals playing while you do it. Also if you are David Caruso or not.
4
Edythir Mar 31, 2026 +20
You're telling me that NCIS lied to me and if I double team a keyboard I *won't* be twice as good as hacking when really unplugging the monitor solves everything?
20
ThePrussianGrippe Mar 31, 2026 +6
Oh they’re real things. Doesn’t mean they actually mean anything conclusive, scientifically.
6
PBKYjellythyme Mar 31, 2026 +20
But I saw Batman do it!
20
LazyNomad63 Mar 31, 2026 +31
In that case, televised copaganda might get Charlie Kirk's killer acquitted. Juries are obsessed with forensic evidence.
31
rhineauto Mar 31, 2026 +5
Considering the remaining mountain of evidence against him, an acquittal seems… unlikely
5
big_actually Mar 31, 2026 +345
I read the article, I presume this is a common thing? They found no conclusive matching scratches between the bullet and the rifle, but there is DNA evidence of the shooter on the rifle. So it's a small piece of support for the defense team but probably makes no difference in the big picture?
345
JuniperJupiter4 Mar 31, 2026 +162
This doesn't mean much in sciencey groups but jurors are ruined by CSI, so it might matter to them.
162
97runner Mar 31, 2026 +71
This may actually play in favor for the defendant. People who are CSI fans will expect them to say that the bullet matches. When the expert says it’s inconclusive, that’s going to hurt the prosecution more than defense. DNA on a rifle is easy to explain away when the person has access to the firearm at any given time.
71
JuniperJupiter4 Mar 31, 2026 +35
That was my point. Jurors expect matches.
35
MozeeToby Mar 31, 2026 +17
A competent prosecutor will walk the ballistics expert through these questions to make it clear to the jury what the result means. Yes, the jury can still be dumb, but they aren't going into deliberation with just "the results don't match".
17
CFT1982 Mar 31, 2026 +157
I just saw Candice Owens yelling "I told you so" in a Nashville Whole Foods
157
Nascent_Vagabond Mar 31, 2026 +20
Kept yelling something about juice too?
20
taotdev Mar 31, 2026 +59
Was there a grassy knoll nearby?
59
6330ex Apr 1, 2026 +7
His neck just did that, high blood pressure was the real killer
7
EddieMcClintock Mar 31, 2026 +588
My guess is that Charlie's bullet was damaged in a way that makes positive verification impossible, not that it came from a different gun.
588
-M-o-X- Mar 31, 2026 +170
That’s not getting as many clicks though, even though it’s totally possible to communicate in a headline.
170
freedfg Mar 31, 2026 +59
That is 100% the conclusion actually reached. This is a nothing conspiracy story. The finding is that it is impossible to conclude whether or not the bullet was from the rifle because damage destroyed any rifling on the bullet. Not that the rifling itself doesn't match.
59
ghoulthebraineater Mar 31, 2026 +19
Even then, the best you're going to get from the rifling is the twist rate. That doesn't really tell you a whole lot considering most rifles in a specific caliber will have the same twist rate.
19
freedfg Mar 31, 2026 +20
Well, much like mitochondrial DNA, it can rule out certain things. Like if the gun has a .308 barrel and the bullet was .40. that would be a non-match. But yes, the idea that rifles have some kind of "fingerprint" to its rifling is total bullshit. Not to mention, this is not investigative evidence, it's from the defense.
20
YeetedApple Mar 31, 2026 +54
Yeah, the headline is a bit sensationalist by focusing on “no link to the gun” while there is also no evidence to suggest it didn’t come from that gun. They aren’t saying it is the wrong size or anything like that
54
raresaturn Mar 31, 2026 +22
Yeah but they have to prove he’s guilty not prove he’s innocent
22
HooliganBeav Mar 31, 2026 +21
But my years of TV and movie watching tells me they can always just say "enhance" and boom, the evidence is there.
21
WaterFriendsIV Mar 31, 2026 +88
Did they check to see what [Bob Lee Swagger](https://youtu.be/mn60YWO218k?si=lt2SSg2kZgCJQOjl) has been up to lately?
88
base43 Mar 31, 2026 +26
Still got the shovel
26
triggeredprius Mar 31, 2026 +160
Doesn’t take a forensic scientist to see through the bullshit of a .30-06 not exiting a human target. At 200 yards it would blow straight through a bull elk
160
truscotsman Mar 31, 2026 +110
This is the thing I am stuck on. I wasn't in all the details until my wife mentioned it to me today that it was supposedly a .30-06. My immediate reaction was "What?! no way..." Makes no sense, especially with where he was hit. If his soft neck can magically stop a .30-06 then Trump's ear should have had no problem saving that firefighter...
110
LeatherDude Mar 31, 2026 +73
Not only that, but the official story is that Robinson disassembled and reassembled the rifle while on the run. Those are bolt action rifles that don't break down without special tools. There's no f****** way.
73
Beanz-2 Apr 1, 2026 +12
At most you would need a flathead screwdriver to separate the receiver from the stock on the majority of bolt action rifles. The rifle recovered was a sporterized Mauser. Only 2 screws would need to be taken out.
12
dmk_aus Apr 1, 2026 +9
Something not proven does not mean it was disproven. It might just mean the bullet was too mangled or similar to establish a match.
9
Voderama Mar 31, 2026 +74
These comments are already a mess
74
GermanPayroll Mar 31, 2026 +13
Bots working hard today
13
GearBrain Mar 31, 2026 +32
Much like the entry/exit wound caused by a longarm.
32
elfmere Mar 31, 2026 +16
Sorry if batman can reconstruct a bullet and find a finger print the police can too
16
PckMan Apr 1, 2026 +20
I'm sure this will not be misinterpreted and spawn a bunch of conspiracy theories and good job on the media for not purposefully writing misleading titles or anything.
20
not_the_nsa070y Apr 1, 2026 +8
Daily mail’s headline is way ahead of you. [Report: Bullet used to kill Charlie Kirk didn't match Robinson's rifle](https://www.dailymail.co.uk/vertical-galleries/article-15693759/Report-Bullet-used-kill-Charlie-Kirk-didnt-match-Robinsons-rifle.html)
8
ATXKLIPHURD Mar 31, 2026 +7
What about particulates? Put em on the mass spectrometer
7
Much_Guest_7195 Mar 31, 2026 +108
Which bolsters my theory that his neck just did that by itself and there was no shooter.
108
wowwashington Mar 31, 2026 +34
A reminder, that When Trump told Charlie to shut up about the Epstein files, Charlie ended up no longer speaking about them at all.
34
EDNivek Mar 31, 2026 +7
people need to learn the terms that Forensics use: "Consistent with" "Inconsistent with" and "Inconclusive" If it is "consistent with," it means to a high degree of certainty that the two elements match. Simialrly if it is "inconsistent with" that means that to a high degree of certainty the elements do not match. "Inconclusive" means for various reasons they cannot label an element as consistent or inconsistent with another element.
7
PM_ME_YOUR_HONDAS Mar 31, 2026 +18
They found dna “consistent” with his……. Lee Harvey Oswald all over again
18
Soul_Survivor4 Apr 1, 2026 +5
*finds human male DNA* “Ladies and gentlemen, we got him”
5
Nitsude Mar 31, 2026 +82
Charlie Kirk spoke out against attacking Iran and advocated releasing the Epstein files. Now, who would want someone like that dead?
82
browsk Mar 31, 2026 +12
If the rifling doesn’t fit, you must acquit
12
Key-Monk6159 Mar 31, 2026 +9
I don’t know what’s what but did want to pause to note that this is coming from Tyler Robinson’s defense team so be careful with what conclusions you make.
9
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