Europe has 'maybe 6 weeks of jet fuel left,' energy agency head says

Trump's master, Putin is pleased

I saw projections for my EU country that say if this continues after August we're facing at least a 50% price spike in electricity prices, essential groceries, and petrol. Up to 100% if it continues through the winter. If those predictions are correct we're fucked completely, there's gonna be civil unrests everywhere, rise in famine and homelessness.

Ehhh, it depends. Heathrow would theoretically have a lot stored because it's a busy airport (\~4th globally and busiest in Europe I think? On the flipside, that also means A LOT of planes using up that fuel as well. I'd imagine it comes down to some sort of ratio between stores vs traffic. Some will have a larger number of stores per plane, some will have fewer, or so I'd imagine at least. I mean, if we're generally looking at 6, whilst Heathrow seems to be looking at <4 weeks, I'd be inclined to just say Heathrow, as a busy AF place, simply stores less fuel per plane served (or whatever we want to call that ratio) than other airports. I can't imagine building new storage is a simple task, and lord knows how difficult planning permission can be in the UK, so it theoretically checks out.

Then theyll just pay more for their fuel and direct that to clients. Were talking about the wealthiest countries in the world, they will have their supply if there is local demand. Just comes at a big increase in costs

https://www.independent.co.uk/travel/news-and-advice/aviation-fuel-crisis-trump-uk-iran-b2958417.html UK airlines saying otherwise

Trains!

unless something were to happen that would prevent the reserve being replenished. A blockade, perhaps

I agree, however unless you're taking nuclear/geothermal/hydro you have to understand that renewables *reduce but entrench* fossil use Any grid built on wind and solar has intermittency problems, which means you need to be able to rapidly deploy alternative sources of electricity Not all forms of electricity can be rapidly deployed. Until we have space age batteries or all live in mountain ranges that can support tons of massive pumped storage facilities, that means having massive coal or natural gas burning capacity that can be turned on and off when it's cloudy or not windy  Look at Germany. Lots of renewables, yet their electricity production creates around 10x more CO2 than France despite having much more renewable capacity, because they have to constantly turn on and off fossil fuel plants when the windmills aren't turning  Personally I think we should all be following the Ontario model -> massive nuclear baseload with a layer of renewable contributing, with deployable sources (mostly hydro and a single small natural gas plant) to even out the peaks and intermittency. But a country like Germany that has completely rejected nuclear and doesn't have the geography for hydro/geothermal, they are stuck with a dirtier option - fossil fuels+renewables

If only we can figure out a way to fly airplanes with electricity. If only we can figure out how to make fertilisers without natural gas If only we can figure out how to make plastics without hydrocarbon. You can electrify all you want with renewable sand nuclear power but the need for hydrocarbon ain't going away anytime soon .

You can’t electrify without tech and manufacturing from us and Asia. Everyone is trying to go it alone right now and prove they don’t need anyone else, but you can’t dismantle globalization that took half a century to build in a couple years. It’s dumb we’re doing it, but it’s just as dumb and unlikely that Europe and Canada can too.

But how do you electrify airplanes? Is that even possible?

A couple avenues 1) Re-establish a crown corporation oil/LNG producer on currently untapped oil sands capacity 2) Private firms sell contracts *all the time* rather than sell at spot. If Europe offers a competitive price in exchange for stability of supply private firms will line up for it

They make a lot of airplane engines, with amazing testing on future fuels like hydrogen or green saf etc. they also develop other future tech like SMR nuclear, fuel cells etc. When covid hit, their payment model was (maybe is?) based on flight hour serving contracts, which crashed their stock hard to the point Uk bailed them out with a golden share. Its now $16 or so and was $0.60 a few years ago during covid. I got a new roof and a $6k tax bill for selling it, but changed family life for the better.

1/3 of their population didn’t vote and they could have.

Only an estimated 240 million are eligible to vote in the U.S.A. and of those 77 million voted for Trump and 75 million for Harris. That leaves about 88 million who didn't vote or register to vote even though they were eligible to. So in total, it's just shy of 70% of eligible voters, or roughly 48% of the total population, who bear responsibility for placing Trump into power for a second term.

You'r the dude that thinks he knows.. Europe imports crude oil and makes/refines most of its own jet fuel, thus for Europe to run out crude oil from Norway, UK and USA would need to stop flowing. Europe actually makes so much jet fuel they export some of it.

If unnecessary air travel was cut to a minimum, I could only see upsides. Just today, my wife was invited to join a two-half-day meeting in Toronto. We're in Munich. This is insane and has to stop.