ListNook

LorderNile Mar 25, 2026 +89

Seems an awful lot like "high oil prices" was the only goal.

89

Minimum-Geologist-58 Mar 25, 2026 +15

Hmm I think high oil prices can come about and be exacerbated without that being the only goal. Russia’s major exports are oil and gas, of course if it goes to war that’s going to be targeted. It’s a bit like claiming the only point of WW2 was to make cars more expensive and that’s why Britain was bombing German factories? British industry did do very well making cars in the post war period but I don’t think that’s why it was bombing German factories.

15

Hendo52 Mar 25, 2026 +3

While I agree high oil prices are good for Russia in the short term, they actually do a lot for renewable energy too — they drastically improve the financial incentive for things like solar and batteries in homes, electric cars and other things which can offset oil consumption. Russias budget is ultimately 80% funded by oil and gas, if the world starts accelerating the renewable energy transition, that could have massive geopolitical implications that make a few years of high prices look irrelevant in the big picture. The funds they get from these high prices could help them win battle or even a war w Ukraine only to crumble as an empire because of a total collapse in their only major exports.

3

Temporary-Outside-13 Mar 26, 2026 +3

Higher everything prices. Fuel is energy that powers ships, manufacturing sites, transportation, etc. What a lot of people are not asking is what byproducts from all this are affected? Ethylene and propylene oxide all come from different kinds fuel refining. Ethylene is basically how the world makes all kinds of plastics. Propylene oxide is a building block for further chemistry that’s used in Pharma/nutra products, personal care, modified food products…. The Qatar plants that produces 20% of nat gas made globally was hit pretty hard. 20% of fertilizer comes from through the strait has been halted… Maybe I’m overthinking it, but the ripple effect coming could be more wild than people realize and it’s not stopping this weekend. I got that funny feeling.

3

NeedsMoreSpaceships Mar 26, 2026 +1

Good guy Trump trying to speed up the transition to clean energy. Well, for everyone else. In the US you get to suffer because wind turbines cause piles or some shit.

1

Ancient-Bat1755 Mar 26, 2026 +7

That is effective if true. It may help pressure USA to not favor Russia later on to help get Iran and Russia back to focusing on energy and not violence, but we will see. Ukraine24.

7

Hour-Passenger-8513 Mar 25, 2026 +62

I was hoping I could pay more for oil, gas and food! /s

62

trailsman Mar 26, 2026 +7

Oh don't worry this has a lot further to escalate both against Russia and the middle East. Zero percent chance Trump doesn't try to take Kharg Island (the majority of Iran oil goes through) to make a "deal". Besides the likely destruction of the facilities and loss of most Iranian oil, there will be surrounding counter attacks. All combined the resulting spike will put what's happened so far to shame.

7

off_by_two Mar 25, 2026 +19

Eh this one feels good

19

Mean-Caterpillar-827 Mar 25, 2026 +30

I don’t mind paying more for this.

30

Deceptiveideas Mar 26, 2026 +2

Short term pain for long term pain

2

McCoy818 Mar 25, 2026 +19

funny how sanctions barely did anything for years and now 40% just vanishes. almost like someone was looking the other way on purpose

19

GameOfTroglodytes Mar 25, 2026 +44

It's because Ukraine has finally built domestic drone and missile capabilities that can reach and hit Russian oil refineries. It's not sudden, it's been like half a year of Uk blowing Russian oil infrastructure. It's wild to me how people blow smoke when they obviously haven't the faintest f****** clue what's going on. What motivates you to be a dumbass? Is it a natural inclination or did you wake up and choose to be this way?

44

rizakrko Mar 26, 2026 +10

It's more about the choice of targets. Oil refineries were heavily targeted since last summer, and these hits were rather successful. What has changed is todays attack is on oil export infrastructure - port, storage, as well as tankers were hit. Ukraine avoided targeting an oil export infrastructure until now - but yet another EU delay to ban russian energy coupled with high oil prices probably made this attack beneficial despite the potential pushback from EU countries.

10

moritsunee Mar 25, 2026 +3

Sadly the Russian populace was conditioned to live off eating dirt so things like these hardly phase them. And as Stalin put it ***„Ludiej u nas mnogo”*** *as he meatgrinded an infinite amount of men in Stalingrad and had people starve to death in Leningrad.*

3

Visual_Collapse Mar 26, 2026 +2

I'm not sure what troubles me more. That this post blames USSR for defending against Nazi or that it is upvoted.

2

dingo596 Mar 26, 2026 +1

Makes sense, with Russia getting more money because of the rise in oil prices they would be getting more money to fight. Hurting Russia's oil production not only is this a blow to their logistics but also a blow to a potential economic reprieve.

1

NCSUGrad2012 Mar 25, 2026 -9

Yet oil is still trading $10 less than last week

-9

calmdownmyguy Mar 26, 2026 +1

Why are people downvoting this?

1

Equivalent-Fill-8908 Mar 26, 2026 +1

And yet it's $27 more than last month... $2.70 more than just yesterday, and the day has only begun.

1

FrothyEspresso Mar 25, 2026 -35

I highly doubt the accuracy of this. The media organizations were wrong about the Russians fighting with shovels, they were wrong on Russia collapsing, etc. They’re wrong about everything because these are just bullshit feel good stories they feed us in the West to believe that if we just spend a few billion more then little Ukraine will somehow beat Russia. Just like those fictitious 25:1, 50:1, 400:1 ratio of kills. The reality is probably that over a million Ukranians are dead or injured, the country is totally bankrupt without EU financial support, the US has no interest to help Ukraine at all, and the Ukranians **will never win.** Russia will win this war and every day we let go by is a bit more territory that Russia will take and cement as their own once Ukraine capitulates. Russia would most likely use nukes before ever backing down on this - that’s how sure they are they want this win. Russia is going to make an absolute financial killing the longer this conflict in Iran goes on. The EU is already backing down on permanently stopping purchases of Russian O&G because the EU economy would collapse overnight and they know it. EU residents will come out of this whole war almost as badly as the Ukranians, poorer and nothing to show for it. The Americans and Russians are laughing. Russia gets land and shows its might, the Americans got the Europeans hooked on American gas and now they’re the EU’s boss.

-35

ArchmageXin Mar 25, 2026 +22

I am not a "Russia is doomed" guy, but this is absurd. Even if Kiyv fall over tomorrow, Russia already paid a huge price in term of treasure, arms and youth for a special operation that was suppose to last three days, and demobilization is gonna be a b****, so will clean up of Ukraine/Russia. And Kiyv is still standing.

22

olrg Mar 26, 2026 +3

Russia has a $100b federal budget deficit for 2025 alone and another $30b for Jan-Feb of this year. Those are their official numbers, so the reality is likely much worse. They also haven’t made any territorial gains in the last 3 months and despite claiming to recruit 30 thousand volunteers every month, their total military size remains the same. The cost they’re paying to continue fighting this war is astronomical, in both financial terms and manpower, the price of oil being 30% higher isn’t going to magically change that.

3

FrothyEspresso Mar 26, 2026 -3

I think we’ll disagree unfortunately but that’s ok. Russia had one of the smallest debt to GDP ratios in the world prior to the war, they can sustain this for far longer than we can. Especially compared to the EU nations who can’t get their hands on oil and gas. Russia isn’t pulling people off the streets like the Ukranians are with the TCC. The Russians offer contracts and pay well, including strong signing bonuses, a sign of a country that isn’t in the same desperate situation. Others see it as “desperate to pay”, I see a country that can afford it without throwing their citizens to the meat grinder if they don’t want to go. Russia already controls a fifth of the country already. People may think territorial gains are slow, but typically the collapse happens fast at the end. It can take a while until then, but once it does you’ll see Ukraine fall, Zelensky will flee with his fellow politicians, Russia will legalize its ownership of the land it has seized and it will install a puppet government for the rest of Ukraine. We do not have the same willpower, political power, production capabilities, nor desire to even come close to the Russian determination to win this war. And at the end of the day, if they really do start losing I’m sure the Russians will start nuking Ukraine and any other nation that is in the way. I believe they are absolutely serious on this as they do not want us fully encircling them.

-3

olrg Mar 26, 2026 +4

Debt to GDP ratio means nothing when no one is buying your debt obligations lol. They have nowhere to borrow money. They can’t continue doing this for years without outside cash injections and the only two ways to plug the holes are printing more money (hyperinflation) or seizing their citizens’ assets, starting with bank deposits. Both are one-off band aid solutions. Might get them through another year or two at the expense of growing civil unrest. Hey, that’s like USSR 2.0, it’s like they never learn. They are desperate to pay though and the only reason they’re not snatching people off the street in a wide mobilization effort is because they’re afraid of the blowback. The only reason they pay is because that’s the only way they’ll get recruitment they need to sustain their offensive. You may see it differently, but it’s what it is. Russia has controlled 20% of Ukraine since March 2022. It hasn’t made any gains in 4 years. After their blitzkrieg, they’ve actually surrended a large portion of their territorial gains. Not a single urban centre even threatened, let alone captured. Win for Ukraine means preserving their sovereignty and if you know anything about their history, you’d know that making them a Russian puppet state is not an option. The fact that you think that the whole resistance hinges on Zelenskyy tells me you have very rudimentary understanding of their culture.

4

Tabbyredcat Mar 26, 2026 +1

Any country that uses a nuke in a war of aggression is doomed.

1

No-Sock7425 Mar 25, 2026 -6

Sadly even if their capacity to export has been reduced, the inflation of the global market makes it likely that incomes haven’t changed much

-6

Exclusive: At least 40% of Russia's oil export capacity halted, Reuters calculations show

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