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Questions & Help Mar 18, 2026 at 6:33 PM

Fed leaves rates unchanged, sticks with single cut in 2026 despite higher inflation

Posted by igetproteinfartsHELP


https://www.reuters.com/business/fed-likely-hold-rates-steady-iran-war-shocks-policy-debate-2026-03-18/

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[deleted] Mar 18, 2026 +805
[deleted]
805
Tibreaven Mar 18, 2026 +369
This is what happens when every major news network is deepthroating Trump's allies.
369
ConfederacyOfDunces_ Mar 18, 2026 +75
With how things current, the FED should actually raise rates not lower them.
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PartyLikeAByzantine Mar 18, 2026 +43
The Fed (it's not an acronym) should hold pat, because the spike in gas prices will have the same effect (dampen demand) as a rate increase, but without the drama of actually shifting rates.
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PartyLikeAByzantine Mar 18, 2026 -8
This is Reuters...they're not even a news network, nevermind American. It's just shitty editing.
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Seanbox59 Mar 18, 2026 +58
The despite applies to raising rates. Which is how the fed fights inflation, if they raise rates inflation goes down by taking money supply out of the system but the job market shrinks. So the real problem here is that the fed can’t do anything to fight our problems because our job numbers are so bad AND inflation is so bad. The economy is getting fucked on both ends and the levers to help it are fucked right now.
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occaisionallyimqwert Mar 18, 2026 +25
If only there was something we could do about our 21st century robber-baron problem The “global supply shortage of _____” is an artificial problem, the market adjusted to the alleged scarcity, but when the supply recovered, prices did not.  Our ownership class in the US is happy to slash wages and lay off workforce… but they’ll be damned if they make even one less million this fiscal year. F*** ‘em
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I_am_the_grass Mar 18, 2026 +13
Exactly. Reuters is a global news agency and understands that rates are going up all around the world. Hence the"despite".
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Sideview_play Mar 18, 2026 +5
I guess it's the perspective on the word "sticks with" I took it to mean as opposed to doing more cuts as that's where the news has generally been talking about. Instead of saying sticks with the cut rather than inverse it. Which personally I think like I interrupted the title as intended, it's just a stupid intention. But I could be wrong 
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Gnom3y Mar 18, 2026 +55
I think the "despite" is because they're *still* cutting rates, when they should really be considering *raising* rates. Or doing nothing.
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Yeahjustchris Mar 18, 2026 +18
They already explained in their previous cuts that the poor state of the job market is what lead them to lower rates even in the face of a tumultuous economy. They probably would have lowered them further but the war is increasing pressure yet again.
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ReklisAbandon Mar 18, 2026 +5
This will surely end well
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Indercarnive Mar 18, 2026 +14
Maybe they mean they are sticking with a single cut for 2026 instead of no cuts for 2026?
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bluehat9 Mar 18, 2026 +3
That’s why it’s “sticks with one cut despite higher inflation” as in they are still planning to cut once despite the higher than expected inflation (which would normally make the fed not want to cut at all)
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itsajaguar Mar 18, 2026 +1
They aren’t planning that cut. It happened months ago.
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bluehat9 Mar 18, 2026 +2
No, they are projecting a cut in 2026. > New projections from U.S. central bank policymakers showed the Fed's benchmark overnight interest rate would fall by just a quarter of a percentage point by the end of this year, with no hint of the timing of such a move.
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FatalTortoise Mar 18, 2026 +1
It's possible the "despite" means they should raise rates instead of keeping them static
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IconOfFilth9 Mar 18, 2026 +1
All of media is own by like two dipshits
1
[deleted] Mar 18, 2026 +510
Powell was basically screaming Stagflation without saying the actual word.
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Aggravating-Salad441 Mar 18, 2026 +133
Didn't he explicitly say this isn't stagflation and that it's an outdated term? That wouldn't change what it is, but he seemed dismissive.
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Nwcray Mar 18, 2026 +238
Yes. “This isn’t a ✌️dumpster fire✌️, this is a rolling refuse receptacle conflagration. Dumpster fire is an outdated term. Unless of course, the whole building is burning. Which it may be. But we won’t know until after the fact but it’s probably a ~~recession~~ reverse expansion.”
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thedaliobama Mar 18, 2026 +101
Because it’s the worst scenario possible that ruins legacies. No one has jobs no business growing yet higher prices .
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6thReplacementMonkey Mar 19, 2026 +49
Yes, sounds like what we have going on right now.
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Rodent_Reagan Mar 20, 2026 +1
The lack of job growth is concerning, but to say nobody has jobs tells me you either didn’t live through the 2009 Great Recession, or simply don’t remember it. It can get *a lot* worse.
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thedaliobama Mar 20, 2026 +3
Hyperbole is lost on the is droid.
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Bluest_waters Mar 19, 2026 +25
He said the “term” was outdated, but he didn't deny that we actually have stagflation right now which we absolutely do
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DryWashOnly Mar 19, 2026 +5
Can someone explain why it can be considered “outdated” what’s an alternative term?
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ReneDeGames Mar 19, 2026 +13
Essentially, he is saying that he would save the term for a worse set of circumstances. So while the problem is the same in essence, in his opinion the magnitude today is much lower, so a different world should be used. Sort of like how we differentiate between a depression and recession. >"even with the Iran war-induced spike in energy prices was ​far removed from the "stagflation" of ​the 1970s, with current inflation ⁠only one percentage point above ​target and low unemployment. >I would ​reserve the term stagflation for, you know, a much more serious set of ​circumstances. That is not ​the situation we're in," Powell told a ‌news ⁠conference after the Fed held policy rates steady. >"What we have is some tension between the ​goals and ​we're ⁠trying to manage our way through it," Powell ​added. "It's a very difficult situation, ​but ⁠it's nothing like what they faced in the 1970s and ⁠I ​reserve stagflation for ​that -- the word -- for that period. Maybe ​that's just me."
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Blofish1 Mar 19, 2026 +10
Ok, we'll replace the term "Stagflation" with "Trumpflation"
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A_Nonny_Muse Mar 19, 2026 +6
I'd call it entrumpification, but enshittification is already a word.
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BVoLatte Mar 18, 2026 +74
I think he's more saying recession but you can't actually know you're in one until 6 months after one starts; it requires two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth to be considered a recession. He did directly point out to the lack of job growth as well being basically 0.
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SaltyWafflesPD Mar 19, 2026 +32
Well good news, because the AI bubble artificially pumping up the GDP numbers by building huge data centers off of massive debt that don’t have customer demand to support their operation, into which absurd numbers of expensive specialized AI GPUs are waiting in warehouses for data centers with the power and infrastructure to run them will pop within two years and show we’ve been in a recession for a while now.
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Bluest_waters Mar 19, 2026 +14
They are going to juice the GDP figures and it'll never be a recession, technically. Even though we're all suffering massively. You watch
14
pixeltackle Mar 18, 2026 +578
>"The Federal Reserve held interest ​rates steady on Wednesday **and projected higher inflation**" (bold mine) Everyone is staring at the Fed as if they’re pilots in a cockpit, but they’re really just people standing in front of a thermostat that isn't connected to the furnace.
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Alwayssunnyinarizona Mar 18, 2026 +132
>as if they’re pilots in a cockpit Good luck, we're all counting on you.
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vankirk Mar 18, 2026 +47
There's something wrong in the cockpit! What is it? It's the little room in the front of the plane where the pilots sit, but that's not important right now.
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Nwcray Mar 19, 2026 +5
What’s our vector, Victor?
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pixeltackle Mar 18, 2026 +7
Thank you, Dr. Rumack
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radiohead-nerd Mar 18, 2026 +7
The fog is getting thicker… And Leo’s GETTING LARGER
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the_blackfish Mar 18, 2026 +2
Save us, Otto!
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radiohead-nerd Mar 18, 2026 +2
Surely you can’t be serious.
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yloduck1 Mar 19, 2026 +1
I am serious. And don’t call me Shirley.
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A_Nonny_Muse Mar 19, 2026 +1
Looks like I picked the wrong day to quit methamphetamines.
1
LordHammercyWeCooked Mar 18, 2026 +5
The Fed does have an effect on markets, though. They act like the shocks on a car. They have to ease the short-lived, chaotic changes and balance out the flow of liquidity to prevent the structural collapse that would come from a very rigid economy. The effect is supposed to be subtle. Trump, and so many other investment vultures, want the Fed to drop rates into the toilet and flood the markets with liquidity. They want to abuse the shocks on the car like they're bouncing a low-rider. They want sudden changes and volatility. They want to borrow an endless supply of c**** money to capitalize on it. More volatility means more opportunities to make money on the way up *and* on the way down. Having advance knowledge of when it's going to happen is how they maximize their gains while robbing the markets blind. The Fed certainly has the ability to do this. They did it before in 2018-2020. Those "money printer go brrr" memes were being shared for a reason. We're lucky that Powell's heart grew three times one day and he decided not to do Trump's bidding anymore. If Powell is replaced, the next guy Trump puts in there is going to absolutely destroy the dollar, I guarantee it. They'll send in a total lunatic.
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FillFrontFloor Mar 18, 2026 +40
Pretty sure the inflation is being led by the wage difference between wealthy people and working class and lower. I think middle class either became wealthy or crawled down to working class thug. Of course I'm completely ignorant in the economy especially when we don't have key point data. I do feel most people that are making money are just scheming rather than  investing in long term business or profits that makes production go forward, they try to find what's c**** and could be abused short term the  dip when it's no longer c**** enough to make too much money. But I'm just an ignorant fool making guesses.
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pixeltackle Mar 18, 2026 +77
It seems to me our systems and institutions are turning out to be rather ineffective in the face of tyranny
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Anitapoop Mar 18, 2026 +16
This is the most apt take.
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mhornberger Mar 18, 2026 +6
No institutions are so strong that they can resist an electorate indifferent or even hostile to them.
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Vault-71 Mar 18, 2026 +4
Democracy doesn't give you the government you want, it gives you the government you deserve.
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Reynfalll Mar 18, 2026 +24
Its mainly the Iran war. Rates sold off across the board after the Iran strikes started. Had they not happened we were likely looking at a cut here. Everything you buy takes energy as an input, so an oil crisis means higher input costs, and higher prices.
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onarainyafternoon Mar 18, 2026 +15
Of course, Trump completely fucks up his goal of cutting rates because he has the temperament of a and wanted to start a war very badly. Brilliant strategist.
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A_Nonny_Muse Mar 19, 2026 +4
Retired trucker here. Transportation contracts are typically re-negotiated once per year. Which means that a spike in fuel prices can take up to a year to filter through. You can bet that the 33% increase in fuel prices (so far) will steadily increase the price of everything on the shelves over the next year. And I don't see the Trump administration doing - or even considering - anything to end the disruption at all.... let alone anytime soon. We 'ain't seen nothing yet. Our only saving grace is that the higher oil prices will make our own fracking profitable. Oil prices will still be high, but at least not insanely high. Unless speculators are allowed to speculate. And I wouldn't put it past this administration to let speculators get in there. Remember about 20 years ago when oil hit an all time high purely due to speculators - until the govt. stepped in. Then it dropped below zero.
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SethLight Mar 18, 2026 +4
It's funny you're calling yourself a fool but you brush up against a lot of truth. For sure people are investing in the long term, however people in general have less so they look for cheep inefficient markets to take advantage off. Obviously when too many people are taking advantage those market they dry up and people look for smaller and smaller pools. If there is anything that you're very much wrong on it being a flip between wealthy or thug. In that sort of economy there are less and less good options so you're going to get more and more losers than winners.
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Mathfanforpresident Mar 19, 2026 +1
I can personally attest to the absolute corruption in city governments and businesses in the Midwest. Scheming doesn't even come close. America just made corruption legal, if your net worth is high enough.
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freexanarchy Mar 18, 2026 +587
Trump is obviously pressuring it to be this way. When Nixon did this he started the 70s inflation that Carter was eventually blamed for.
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IndigoRanger Mar 18, 2026 +281
I mean he hasn’t exactly been subtle about it. Jay Powell has done a remarkable job with what he’s had to work with, and been a steady immovable rock to Trump’s unstoppable force. Too bad his term is soon up. The Fed teaches its people its own history, so no doubt Powell is aware of how a weak Fed chair can contribute to disaster.
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monty_kurns Mar 18, 2026 +137
I'm hoping Powell stays on because his term ends in 2028 while his term as chair ends this year. Really don't need to give Trump another spot on the board for a lackey.
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Niceromancer Mar 18, 2026 +94
Initially I didn't like him. But talking to people who know far more about this stuff than I do I now think he's doing what is right for the nation. Companies and banks became addicted to the near zero interest rate.  This is how you fix it.
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artbystorms Mar 18, 2026 +60
I've been saying this since 2021. Before the '08 crash interest rates were generally 3-5% but after 2008 we got addicted to extremely low interest rates which I think led to a lot of the problematic companies we have now. The doordashes and AirBnBs likely wouldn't exist without bottom barrel interest rates keeping them afloat in their early days long before they became profitable, and 'angel investors' wouldn't be so cavalier with their money if rates were higher and they could see decent returns from safer assets.
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monty_kurns Mar 18, 2026 +37
Part of Powell’s problem is that the near-zero rate period gave lawmakers permission to give up any pretense of fiscal responsibility. Congress has essentially abandoned reasonable fiscal policy leaving Powell and the Fed’s control of monetary policy the only tool we have for any economic stability. With that weight being thrown on him to carry, I think Powell has done the best he can.
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[deleted] Mar 18, 2026 +48
[deleted]
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DrowningKrown Mar 18, 2026 +9
Except every day on social media I'll probably still hear "trump fired Powell!" regardless of what actually happened
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americansherlock201 Mar 18, 2026 +10
He will be staying on the board until his term ends. And he said he will stay on as chairman until the senate confirms his replacement; which tillis has said won’t happen until the investigation into Powell ends. So it’s very possible he remains in power for at least several more months and helps protect the economy just a little longer.
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Focusun Mar 18, 2026 +21
In 1973, there was an Arab oil embargo, which led to gas prices to substantially increase, which led to higher and higher inflation. Also, price controls, Vietnam War costs, and man made environmental disasters. See Super Fund sites.
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Tuesday_6PM Mar 18, 2026 +13
Phew, good thing there are no parallels with all those crises in the present day!
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uberares Mar 19, 2026 +8
Pssst. They blamed Biden for the previous inflation that Trump caused. 
8
USSRPropaganda Mar 19, 2026 +6
And obama for the shit bush pulled, republicans ruining things and democrats being blamed has been a long-standing tradition
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EverettWAPerson Mar 19, 2026 +3
> You know, it's interesting, I've been now around long -- you know, I think of myself as a young guy, but I'm not so young anymore. And I've been around for a long time. And it just seems that the economy does better under the Democrats than the Republicans. - Donald J Trump, 2004
3
USSRPropaganda Mar 19, 2026 +1
Trump used to be an outspoken democrat shockingly
1
ruler_gurl Mar 19, 2026 +2
Trump and Nixon were pen pals so he probably gave him some tips on how to fk the country royally.
2
MCR_Read4737 Mar 18, 2026 +90
If someone in the White House just shut the hell up sometimes, things would be so much better.
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Khyron_2500 Mar 18, 2026 +47
If someone in the White House just ~~shut the hell~~ gets locked the hell up sometimes, things would be so much better.
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homewest Mar 19, 2026 +5
It’s not his words that got us here, but his actions. 
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MCR_Read4737 Mar 19, 2026 +3
Both and with no checks and balances
3
[deleted] Mar 18, 2026 +176
[deleted]
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monty_kurns Mar 18, 2026 +86
Twice Trump has come into office on a safe glidepath where he didn't really need to do anything, and twice he's managed to completely unravel things. In his first term he admittedly started messing things up later in the game, but he wasted no time in the second term. Whoever comes after him is going to have quite the mess to clean up, but even if they do everything right, even two terms won't be enough time to fix what's been done.
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toolatealreadyfapped Mar 19, 2026 +7
That's been his MO his entire career. (Not counting the $3-4 billion estimated since taking office last year.) If you don't count to astronomical wealth he's accrued through crypto scams, bribes, and corruption, Trump's history as a businessman is woefully inadequate. If you took his inheritance, invested it all in s&p500, and never worked a single day in your life, you'd have been wealthier than Trump for all his ventures and businesses. Trump would be richer if he had retired at the age of 21 and spent the next 6 decades sipping mai-tais on a tropical beach and paying for massages with happy endings.
7
MenaFWM Mar 18, 2026 +29
Right, he would be seen as more “successful” doing nothing and riding coattails like he did his first term. Literally doing nothing would be progress.
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uberares Mar 19, 2026 +3
The inflation during Bidens temr was directly caused by trumps policies in his first term. Soo we have that to look forward to. 
3
dicknotrichard Mar 18, 2026 +33
Wtf despite? It’s because of.
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jackboner724 Mar 18, 2026 +45
Rate cuts cause inflation, so this headline sucks.
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ohlookahipster Mar 18, 2026 +11
Same. Headline is funky. ‘Despite’ is a bold choice for just such a close headline juxtaposition. The economy was basically that point in the campfire where the embers were still too hot for marshmallows but Trump came along and kept throwing logs on thinking an open flame is better. JPow is the only reason why Trump can’t find the gas can. A rate cut would be giving Trump one splash of the gas can.
11
radiohead-nerd Mar 18, 2026 +20
“Despite inflation”? They didn’t cut the rate because of inflation, not despite of it. We have all the symptoms of stagflation: Stagnant economic growth (or outright recession), low GDP growth, rising unemployment, and weak consumer demand. High inflation, persistent, broad-based price increases eroding purchasing power. High unemployment, which typically accompanies weak growth but under normal theory should suppress inflation (more unemployment, less spending, lower prices). And it was all avoidable
20
Wellithappenedthatwy Mar 19, 2026 +9
Rates are remaining unchanged because of higher inflation not despite it.
9
DwigtGroot Mar 18, 2026 +24
“Despite”? I’m not an economist but AFAIK higher inflation usually leads to higher Fed rates. Who wrote this c***?
24
BravestWabbit Mar 18, 2026 +1
The "despite" modifies the higher interest rate assumption. If the Fed raises rates, inflation falls. If the Fed lowers rate, inflation rises. If the Fed keeps the rate the same, despite the fact that inflation is rising, then they are doing the wrong thing by sitting on their hands.
1
DwigtGroot Mar 18, 2026 +7
It’s clearly saying that the Fed didn’t raise rates despite higher inflation. Higher inflation almost always causes higher rates, meaning it makes sense that the Fed wouldn’t raise rates at this point, so saying “sticks with single cut despite higher inflation” is just wrong. 🤷‍♂️
7
FillFrontFloor Mar 18, 2026 +42
As someone who isn't buying anything, maybe we'll eventually get good high interest savings accounts in the near future lol because they have been ass.
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igetproteinfartsHELP Mar 18, 2026 +32
Very unlikely tbh
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lahire149 Mar 18, 2026 +24
What are you on about? HYSA's have been 3-4% for years now.
24
Money_Do_2 Mar 18, 2026 +36
And groceries are up 60%. 3-4% is ass in an inflation crisis
36
Next-Mess-7301 Mar 18, 2026 -16
I-bonds follow inflation and were 8%+ until recently and the S&P500 is killing it.
-16
HuMcK Mar 18, 2026 +19
S&P has been basically flat since September/October, as the tariffs and now the Iran war have just started started to exert their effects on the markets.
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Next-Mess-7301 Mar 18, 2026
Yeah the Iran war has kind of messed everything up.
0
pixeltackle Mar 18, 2026 +7
What has inflation been again? I forget
7
Bluest_waters Mar 19, 2026 +1
Call me when it's 6 to 7%
1
EnderCN Mar 19, 2026 +4
The economy is I a shockingly bad place considering how good an economy Biden passed on. A complete failure by this administration .
4
DBCOOPER888 Mar 19, 2026 +5
What do you mean "despite"? It's "because".
5
Nodan_Turtle Mar 18, 2026 +3
With the consistent downward revisions in job numbers, and the last one starting off with a massive job loss, it makes sense they're worried more about jobs than inflation at the moment.
3
personofshadow Mar 19, 2026 +3
Please correct me if I'm wrong, but we're in a bit of a sticky situation with high inflation and low job growth because moving rates in either direction tends to harm one of those metrics while relieving pressure on the other, and currently they're both already bad? I believe the term is stagflation?
3
Defiant_Tomatillo907 Mar 18, 2026 +4
It’s not the FED’s fault our economy is in the shitter. Remove Dumpy Don and his cronies and the country could start healing
4
minus_minus Mar 18, 2026 +2
Trump is incapable of unfucking the situation so inflation is gonna jump. The February CPI report said 2.4% total and 2.5% core with energy price inflation of only *0.5%*. Gas/diesel prices have already spiked so that’s gonna push total inflation *way* up and higher shipping costs are gonna push core up too.  https://www.bls.gov/cpi/
2
GeekFurious Mar 18, 2026 +3
Oh boy... we're going to end up with massive inflation.
3
MajorAlanDutch Mar 19, 2026 +1
Rates don’t fight inflation
1
A_Nonny_Muse Mar 19, 2026 +1
So it's pro-business and f*** all y'all - the billionaires get theirs and you pay and pay and pay and...
1
HomeMadeToast Mar 18, 2026 -3
Buy gold and metal miners. It’s c**** right now compared to what it will be at year end.
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