Iran reimposes restrictions on Strait of Hormuz, accusing US of violating deal to reopen it

We need to demand better anti-corruption laws.

It will matter **when** the scales tip... it always does in a flawed system.

It's what the American voters wanted?

Abbas Araghchi, the Iranian foreign minister, tweeted on Friday that the strait was open. That pissed off many others in the IRGC and then later in the day Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, the speaker of Parliament, tweeted about Trump lying seven times in an hour and how the strait was only open for those Iran authorized and would be closed completely if the US kept up the blockade. I think Araghchi was way premature in posting and probably shouldn't be making any personal plans or commitments for next month.

I think Iran is genuinely two separate administrations now. You have the government negotiators and the IRGC who have the guns. The IRGC didn’t agree to shit.

Its always been vibe trading as stock trading attempts to predict the future. But we have never witnessed a greater buffoon in charge, capable of inflicting so much damage the stock market is forced to price it in. And we have seen he is willing to go through with the most catastrophic policies, so the market cannot ignore whatever daily garbage he throws up

Because the people in charge are making bank. Including the 1% who owns 99% of stocks.  Us poor people don't matter.

USA wants humiliating defeat of Iranian government that results in no nuclear program and an end to being the mothership of terrorism in the region (aka ending funding for groups like Hezbollah and the Houthis). Iran effectively has no leadership and the warring factions internally are religious zealots who think they’ll go to heaven if they die fighting.  USA and Israel know a ground war will be bloody and aren’t willing to accept that. They seem ready to just keep killing Iranian leadership until someone who takes power wants to accept a humiliating defeat to stay alive.  Meanwhile, this USA blockade forces countries like China to put pressure on Iranian leadership to accept humiliating defeat to reopen the straight so the oil can flow again. China is reported to be running out of oil by end of summer if things don’t change.  USA is an exporter of oil thanks to fracking. Demand will increase and American oil companies will hire people to produce more oil if this remains unresolved long enough.  I feel bad for the average Iranian who lives under this brutal tyranny. I hope this is a moment of great change for them. 

Incorrect. The main conflict at this point is between the Iranian civil leadership (Qabilif, Araghchi) and the fractured leadership of the IRGC. At this point these are competing factions within Iran with different ideologies and goals. The IRGC factions that have capacity to fire on the strait want to keep fighting and there is no centralized capacity within Iran to prevent them from doing so. The US can eventually degrade those forces but it will take time. They are also unable to levy a toll as they have no banking service to speak of...this has been confirmed by countries that tried and fail to pay the IRGC's tolls. In the meantime, the US is negotiating for concrete gains elsewhere, such as a complete turnover of uranium and a binding commitment to end enrichment with international oversight. We'll see whether the civil leadership is able to take control or whether the country collapsed into a bunch of IRGC fiefdoms.

Yep. The press and the markets want to treat him like an honest broker, and he just isn’t. He’s 100% getting updates from someone and just posting shit like the world’s worst game of telephone. Iran said on Friday it would reopen the Strait. That was likely because Israel agreed to a ceasefire in Lebanon. Honestly, I don’t think we could know the terms involved (tolls, e***** ships, IRGC clearance, etc.) because with Trump, nothing is ever solid enough to get that detailed. He simply doesn’t have the attention span or cognitive ability to understand what is happening. Once he said the blockade was staying, Iran probably leaked the story about the US paying $20 Bn for its uranium, because they know Trump can’t keep his fat mouth shut. He goes and tells everyone the US is getting it for free and the nuclear program is totally destroyed. And for some god damned reason, global markets and media just keep taking him at his word. The simple explanation is that he’s just a bumbling idiot who’s too proud and too stupid to admit he doesn’t know what to do. The more cynical explanation is that he’s doesn’t care at all because he’s figured out the power of his social media to move the entire stock market, and he and his family and billionaire friends can make obscene amounts of money while people die.

They report it as "Trump says" because for all other Presidents, what they said had importance as it typically correlated with reality. People came to believe that "the President says" was reporting a true fact, but that is no longer the case.

We are the suckers bc they don't even get this stupid minute-to-minute bullshit. On Saturday the strait is as closed as it was on Friday, so what.

TIL Trump takes credit for writing it. What a surprise he didn't write it /s. It's based off of shadowing Trump but still not the same. Well point still stands either way

I'd doubt very strongly that he ever had the patience or the brain cells to be the author either.

Iran: "We will open the strait as soon as the US and Israel do these 6 things that we know they definitely won't do" The Media: "Iran agrees to reopen Strait"

I mean some ships definitely passed through, but true that is not the same as it being fully open.

Hiyo! 😆👍🏼

Kind of silly to see people on here take the piss at trumpian stupidity in text - including faulty spelling - and then nobody has seen the word "strait" before

Didn't know he was

The US is blockading its ports, which wasn't part of the agreement either. It makes 0 sense for Iran to open up the strait while its ports are blockaded.

Honestly I have completely lost track of the state of affairs. My impression was that the opening was after Israel agreed to a ceasefire with Lebanon, and the opening was to follow a the previous very short lived agreement with the US. But then the US maintaining its blockade was also not part of that agreement ... so we are kinda back to square one and neither side is in compliance. But it is hard to really get an accurate and impartial view on the matter. The agreements aren't published in full, and mostly it is one side or the other declaring something to the press, and when they claim it is an agreement, we don't even know if the other side has heard about that too.

death will eventually come to strip them of all power

I don't think even if let's say Putin, Trump, Netanyahu or Xi dies, the world would magically be peaceful

Nonsense. The Islamic Republic has zero credibility and lies all the time.

I mean, I think your comment is pretty dumb too. Iranian messaging is all over the place and basically devolves to “No you.”

Russia is happy

I am talking about iran

Tulsi Gabbard herself admitted in a congressional (or was it senate?) hearing that there was no immediate danger. When your director of national intelligence says so... what the bleep are they doing in the US? It's a madhouse.