The “peace deadline” from Trump was Monday a week from now.
Which means invasion will happen for sure next weekend, starting friday at market close.
The market closing bell will be the go-signal.
2724
ShyphatMar 28, 2026
+778
it will probably be this weekend lol. Trump clearly dosent negotiate in good faith.
778
ZeroSum8Mar 28, 2026
+298
How about Saturday, since Jesus resurrection is on Easter Sunday /s
298
ShyphatMar 28, 2026
+200
dont make fun of our holy war. Trump was sent by god to lead Israel to victory. Only Trump is the anti christ
200
swingadminMar 28, 2026
+47
So you're saying there will be an Easter War ?
47
ShyphatMar 28, 2026
+46
yes there will be baskets full of grenades and the easter bunny is just Trump "letting" kids sit on his lap
46
Fievels_good_troubleMar 28, 2026
+27
“Let the children be come on by me.” Matthew 19:14 NDJTV
27
juicadoneMar 28, 2026
+6
😳 epic translation
6
ssrhageyMar 28, 2026
+3
omg I forgot about the easter angle
3
TheRealPitabredMar 28, 2026
+8
Given that about half the people in the administration are trying to bring about Armageddon, that actually sounds quite feasible
8
bilylMar 28, 2026
+9
You say /s but that’s what he will totally do
9
tomtomclubthumbMar 28, 2026
+13
You're saying tracking the negotiating team and assassinating them isn't good faith?
You're a commie right?
/s
13
sharp11flat13Mar 28, 2026
+38
Trump doesn’t really negotiate. He bullies. And if that doesn’t work, he TACOs.
38
SeaTurtleLionBirdMar 28, 2026
+17
And if that doesn't work he fucks kids
17
Alternative-Ad-1027Mar 28, 2026
+6
If that doesn’t work, he eats his shit.
6
lodelljaxMar 28, 2026
+5
[ Removed by Listnook ]
5
Lord_Vesuvius2020Mar 28, 2026
+118
Both the NYSE and commodity markets will be closed on Good Friday.
118
this_dustMar 28, 2026
+69
So market close Thursday then.
69
Myg0t_0Mar 28, 2026
+27
Nice long weekend to let it cool off 100% shit will go down that weekend
27
Bubbagump210Mar 28, 2026
+189
Trump is going to learn the very hard way the scale of these things. He’s going to hope this is wrapped up by Monday morning and when he finds out he needs to send another 50k or 100k troops because he can’t comprehend the difference between air superiority and ground invasion…. Dumb dumb is comparing this to Venezuela or Iraq in 2003. In 2003 we took 150k in and were stuck for another 20 years. It almost seems the best case at this point is he loses interest and just leaves a mess behind.
189
literallymoistMar 28, 2026
+147
Giving Trump too much credit. He's a senile meat sack propped up by a large cadre of evil fuckwits pushing this war, and even if he croaks tomorrow they'll still be out there.
If they wanted to, they could jingle keys at him and host galas and give him a fake cell phone and we wouldn't be in this mess.
147
bkgnMar 28, 2026
+14
Evil yes, but equally as incompetent. Not a single person involved in this has a single clue what they're doing. Even the military has been purged of "disloyal" commanders.
14
Emergency-Hat-8715Mar 28, 2026
+9
If there are still competent generals that survived the purge last year, they might have scoped it to something small and defensible (e,g outaide of the mountains of ~mordor~ Zalgros and Arborz).
9
notospezMar 28, 2026
+39
Also remember that the 2003 Iraq invasion had broad international support including major troop deployments by the UK and others. US allies have learned from the WMD hoax and would be hesitant to join during the best of times - with the current US leadership any help will likely be limited to "e***** our own merchant ships".
39
Bubbagump210Mar 28, 2026
+13
Absolutely - I’m just looking at the raw troop count. This is a colossal half assed based on feels cluster. All US allies have their 10ft poles out at this point.
13
SodaCanBobMar 28, 2026
+19
> Trump is going to learn
He's not.
19
RiPPeR69420Mar 28, 2026
+16
Honestly best case is he takes any Iranian island other then Kharg and gets bogged down there till he gets impeached post midterms after trying (and failing) to bring back the draft.
16
Spare_Advisor_1464Mar 28, 2026
+23
Why do people keep talking about a draft? The US has over 1M active duty service members and over 2M if you include reserves.
23
LeafsWinBeforeIDieMar 28, 2026
+13
For the same reason, I don't understand why people keep talking about impeachment. He's already been impeached twice, if he is not convicted by the senate it is 100% meaningless and at this point a third one juist proves how useless it is. The only way he gets convicted is if the Ds hold every senate seat (they probably will) AND win 100% of republican senate seats up for grabs, and they definitely will not... even if talarico wins texas.
About the only thing they can do is pass legislation that overrides all the executive orders, but that would mean they would have to do something. Trump can veto anything he wants too. It will basically mean nothing at all happens in the last two years, a slowing of the destruction, but not a reversal. Even when it fades, there is still a generation of maga judges, middle level government managers, military generals, the entire system has been injected with fast rotting maga brained termites. At best, a good mid-term slows their progress, it cures nothing until the movement is exterminated.
13
IronvosMar 28, 2026
+37
While that looks like a lot on paper, half the us military personnel is in the navy, air force or coast guard. The number of ground pounders available starts to get really small real quick if you consider how many in the army or marines have a support role.
37
gerontion31Mar 28, 2026
+3
This is true. Even during OIF/OEF a lot of us took on part-time provisional infantry roles (I was an intel guy) just due to sheer supply and demand for detainee e******, convoy security, QRF, etc.
3
DrownerdownerMar 28, 2026
+4
Isnt there like 50 serviceman running logistics for like every 1 actual ground soldier in the us military ?
4
x69prMar 28, 2026
+11
Although I hate the fact that the world cannot seem to be able to have a nice break from all the wars, and the people suffer economically without end in sight, the fact that the US invasion will be a sham and we will get to see a hell of a mental breakdown of all the magas, trumpists and the orange man him self. The US is in for the greatest fiasco of their "f*** yeah, freedom" war mongering.
Not all wars are like fighting goat herders with AKs.
11
hamhockmanMar 28, 2026
+16
There won't be a mental breakdown. Their media will just pretend like it's either going great or like it isn't happening at all and they will just keep on going with their miserable lives.
16
FreshLiteratureMar 28, 2026
+35
Invasion of what?
Even if Trump has cobbled together 30k troops they will be outnumbered 10-1 against an enemy that has home field advantage and more or less peer tech.
Best of luck landing troops under Shahed attack. They're going to send troops into an absolute meat grinder over the hard rights insane Christian Nationalist Doomsday cult wet dream
35
civildisobedientMar 28, 2026
+18
They would have to occupy the Iranian side of the Strait of Hormuz, up to where the mountains start. And will probably be the targets of relentless attacks from said mountains.
18
artlovepeace42Mar 28, 2026
+14
Which would mean they would have to take and HOLD Hormuz Island, Qshem, & Larak, while keeping The Strait of Hormuz open for a reliable supply line, if they plan to also go for Kharg Island, even further in! It’s absolutely suicidal any way you cut it!
My personal opinion is that Iran will let the U.S. go right through the strait and land on any islands or land surfaces. Then the personnel are just sitting ducks for Iranian artillery, let alone the relentless drones. Iran can cut off any supply line to the boots on the ground, if the U.S. even plans to have a supply line of any amount, for any amount of time.
And if Iran does engage any U.S. navy vessels that are in the strait, they are sitting ducks while moving through the strait! The U.S. navy has to have a 100% defensive force while doing all this, because any successful strike by any of the tens of thousands of drones, would be an unthinkable disaster, which I don’t think the normal everyday American would think is possible. I’m not sure with the public tech known how they deal with the endless drone bombardments and pov missile submarine drones, like we have kind of seen used in Ukraine, but Iran has different equipment.
There is a reason even the most hawkish in American history for the last 40 some years, hasn’t done anything like this with Iran. It’s THE worst case war games scenario as is, at least publicly shown.
Sending flag draped coffins numbering in the HUNDREDS of dead U.S. soldiers would be the end of the Trump presidency as we know it, along with Congress would finally have to sit up off of their hands and intervene!
14
WomecMar 29, 2026
+6
I dont doubt any obvious landing spots are rigged with explosives and have been for years.
6
StaySwoleMrshmllwManMar 29, 2026
+5
Hundreds? More like thousands. If Trump really commits a couple few hundred thousand or more and launches a ground invasion it’ll be discussed along side shit like Napoleon invading Russia in terms of world historical blunders.
The terrain is a big one but it’ll come down to logistics. It’ll be way too easy for Iran to cut off our supply lines - way too vulnerable here. Any territorial gains would be fleeting largely for this reason.
5
Master_DogsMar 29, 2026
+3
> Sending flag draped coffins numbering in the HUNDREDS of dead U.S. soldiers would be the end of the Trump presidency as we know it, along with Congress would finally have to sit up off of their hands and intervene!
A sad thought that it might take that much death to actually wake up half of America. Kind of like it's insane that all it took to wake up some MAGA nuts was for gas to spike from $2 something a gallon to $3 or $4 something a gallon.
An even sadder thought is idk if Trump would actually have to end his presidency over that. He's survived so much utter bullshit. And they've conveniently kept Vance as backup so even if they 25th Trump or let him finish out this term, Peter Thiel's boy can still run the show for another 4 to 8+ years. Maybe they'll even allow a moderate Dem to be President for 4 years, who conveniently can't possibly fix this mess like Biden couldn't possibly so Vance or some other tech bro hack can be installed in 2032 after the public has another bout of amnesia. Like we all forgot how bad Bush was with just 8 years of Obama. Reagan/Bush Se to Clinton too I assume. Since Bush weasled his way in, just like Trump did.
3
AdditionalActuator81Mar 28, 2026
+20
The market is Closed on Good Friday
20
idbedamnedMar 28, 2026
+9
Great point, then it’s even more obvious that it’s going to be that weekend since there’s 3 days of markets closed.
9
incognito_wizardMar 29, 2026
+6
A special three day military operation you say?
6
Run_CheMar 28, 2026
+5
so thursday?
5
TelecomVsOTTMar 28, 2026
+5
Is he seriously invading with just 10.000 men at most? That is like a meteorite hitting a planet, does nothing.
5
ChiefHighasFuckMar 28, 2026
+838
The 2020’s really have sucked A$$ overall.
838
Intrepid_Library878Mar 28, 2026
+345
absolutely . it has been a nosedive starting with corona. followed by ukraine, trump reloaded and now iran
345
Difficult-Square-689Mar 28, 2026
+216
Trump turned the Covid response into a K-shaped recovery, started the war with Iran, and is f****** with Ukraine. A lot of the bad stuff over the last 10 years is kinda tied to this one guy.
216
tmac2goMar 28, 2026
+63
I think he's the symptom, though. Not the cause.
63
kvlt_ov_personalityMar 28, 2026
+49
Exactly. Growing income inequality = populism.
Executive branch of the government sequestering more power for the past 30 years (or more) + populism = authoritarian ruler.
People should note this is not a uniquely American problem, we've seen a rise in public support for fascism all over the world. The rising effects of climate change will only accelerate this movement in many places.
49
Nickel62Mar 28, 2026
+7
It's tied moreso to the numbnuts who voted for him and the ones who were indifferent enough to not vote at all.
We get the government we deserve.
- Joseph de Maistre
7
cortisolmanMar 28, 2026
+16
Thank you for saying 'trump reloaded' instead of 2.0, It drives me nuts how ubiquitous 2.0 is regardless of the context.
Reloaded gives it the dread it deserves too.
16
sunnysideupppppppMar 28, 2026
+12
Crimean invasion was way before 2020s
12
glmoryMar 28, 2026
+25
While true, it really did not reach nearly the level of intensity until the 2020s.
25
Minimum_Researcher30Mar 28, 2026
+41
Its been sucking ass pretty massively. 2010s were much better. Gonna be like a period i dont speak much about to my grand kids
41
cats_catz_kats_katzMar 28, 2026
+5
They do every century give or take a decade. Seems like the cycle of pain is 80 or so years while a generation forgets the shit and gets the bloody nose reminder.
5
PeppyBunnyxMar 28, 2026
+2922
I just feel bad for the Navy supply officer who had to requisition 3,500 bulk packs of Crayola to keep them fed on this deployment
2922
AndersonandQuilMar 28, 2026
+844
Budget cuts
It's "Rose art" crayons. We used to be a proper country
844
thereoncewasahatMar 28, 2026
+193
If they fall in battle they shall dine hearty on the most vibrant of crayola in Tardhalla
FOR ISRAEL, HOORA!
193
designking4248Mar 28, 2026
+100
For Epstein!
100
boot2skullMar 28, 2026
+33
From the halls of Montezuma,
To the shores of Little Saint John,
33
hesnothereMar 28, 2026
+20
Roseart has a more creamy finish. Crayola is too tart. That will quickly ruin any dish!
20
Buckets-O-YarrMar 28, 2026
+9
Still doesn't beat homemade.
9
Away-Lead-3855Mar 28, 2026
+9
Next it’ll be Cra-Z-Art.
9
Unreasonable-SorbetMar 28, 2026
+25
RoseArt? Christ we’re falling apart!
25
skippy_smoothMar 28, 2026
+6
Not even the finest blind made parts.
6
SleepingguitarmanMar 28, 2026
+5
Not to mention, they order directly from amazon which means about 50% of those RoseArts are fake!
5
Unreasonable-SorbetMar 28, 2026
+6
RoseArt fakes?! Christ, even our scammers are falling apart!
6
No-Cap2066Mar 28, 2026
+28
Should still be cheaper than MREs right?
28
ZiakelMar 28, 2026
+28
Standard issued crayons? Nah even more expensive 😋
28
tolstoy425Mar 28, 2026
+4
It’s all good those ships are designed around embarking Marines
4
gerkin123Mar 28, 2026
+377
He's going to plop them on Kharg Island, demand Iran doesn't bombard the island, and then scream at NATO for not protecting the island, isn't he?
377
NuzzlefaceMar 28, 2026
+189
Yep and then find a way to somehow reward Russia.
189
fgtswagMar 29, 2026
+9
He’s totally compromised by either Russia or Israel
9
taurusApartMar 29, 2026
+9
Por que no los dos?
9
Illustrious-Job-6390Mar 28, 2026
+21
Hmmm this screams "sitting ducks" to me but whatever
21
falsekoalaMar 28, 2026
+54
It must be an honour to die for Israel as an American soldier.
At least enough Americans think that
54
faffc260Mar 28, 2026
+6
how do you think they're going to get to karg island from outside the straight when it's well within it? if we aren't sending destroyers and frigates without 3.5k ground troops on them why would anyon- oh wait, trumps running things, carry on.
6
0Hakuna_Matata0Mar 28, 2026
+609
Let’s see, thousands of troops landing on an 8 sq mile island. Iran has cluster missiles… hmm I wonder what will happen…
609
redfoobarMar 28, 2026
+340
They don’t even need missiles for this, this is well within range of artillery...
340
DunHumbyMar 28, 2026
+176
they don’t even need artillery, FPV drones have already proven effective against just about everything
176
IllProgress4439Mar 28, 2026
+115
Running for your life from an FPV drone has got to be one of the most terrifying and demoralizing experiences. Even if you manage to survive it’s only a matter of time before another one shows up.
115
burritocmdrMar 29, 2026
+20
I had just watched some Ukraine mixtape of drones seeking and destroying targets from the drone POV. It was a mix of building, vehicle and human targets, some shown panicking/running when they saw the drone. Something creepy about the way the drone goes in for the kill and the video abruptly cuts to a different clip, each cut being a target kill. Drone warfare is completely changing the battlefield.
20
BattleHallMar 29, 2026
+8
If you've never seen the POV of a FPV drone chasing a soldier back and forth around a tree, over and over, like some sort of deadly version of Duck Duck Goose, until the soldier finally gets too tired or trips and stumbles, and the last thing you see is his face and eyes filling the screen as the drone beelines him and the video feed cuts out, you're probably lucky. If you don't see the footage from the other overhead drone of the aftermath, you're especially lucky.
8
mothtoalampMar 29, 2026
+3
Drones are also brutal for both survivability and rescue. Past explosives would typically put the majority of their force into a person's legs. That's survivable and medical care can get to you in time.
Drones hit a person's chest or head and are much more likely to be lethal on first hit. Medivacs are far less likely to be able to reach someone who is inside an FPV zone.
3
Loa_SandalMar 28, 2026
+43
Artillery is a lot cheaper than FPV drones though, and shells are not gonna be intercepted.
43
faffc260Mar 28, 2026
+10
isn't CRAM supposed to be able to target artillery shells or is it just mortar/rocket artillery instead of tube? but you aren't covering everywhere with CRAM
10
ArmouredCapibaraMar 28, 2026
+20
yeah CRAM can intercept standard artillery shells depending on caliber and speed, issue is when you bring a whole battery and fire 100+ shells under 4 minutes your 6000rpm CRAM is gonna run dry very fast.
20
hiimmatt314Mar 28, 2026
+11
Problem is artillery are sitting duck for drones. Drones are the answer to practically anything if you have been following the Ukrainians.
11
kingroosterMar 28, 2026
+18
Artillery is a sitting duck for artillery too. Shoot and scoot. I guess you can still get tagged by an FPV even while scooting though, but drones don’t move nearly as fast as a ballistic artillery shell.
Drones are an asymmetric answer to traditional capabilities. The reason drones are used so heavily in Ukraine is because of supply problems, not necessarily because they’re just better than artillery and short range ballistic missiles.
In a hypothetical landing on Kharg island, I’d be surprised if they only got droned. I’d fully expect, droned, shelled, mined, IED’d, and whatever ballistic missiles are left. It’s completely insane that we’re considering doing this. It’d be one thing if we were in a state of total war. It’d be worth the risk and casualties. We aren’t, and Americans are not going to be on board for the level of casualties a ground invasion of Iran is going to create. God have mercy on the marines and sailors if we actually go through with this. It’s going to be a disaster.
18
Possible-Nectarine80Mar 28, 2026
+3
Yep. Iranians have that island mapped and probably boobytrapped up the wazzu.
3
machopsychologistMar 28, 2026
+13
It'll be interesting to see how the US handles contemporary tactics. Tactics have advanced really quickly in Ukraine... do they have strategies to deal with fibre optic drones, or establishing supply routes with nets? Or are they just going to show off some new high tech thing autonomous defense? Or do they just equip every marine with shotguns and try to take them out in flight?
13
space_for_usernameMar 29, 2026
+4
The US has done its level best not to listen to the advice of the Ukrainians, who have been fighting a drone-based war for the last 4 years.
The US will eventually re-invent the wheel, but they will lose a lot of casualties first.
4
TheOGRedlineMar 28, 2026
+83
I assume a flat sand island has plenty of cover, right? RIGHT?
83
cosmos_jmMar 28, 2026
+26
You can hide behind the oil silos
26
TheLividPaperMar 28, 2026
+23
Its sort of in range of certain munitions fired from artillery, but the pieces would get destroyed immediately.
Honestly, this just gives Iran the opportunity to enact costs on US forces for virtually no strategic gain. They'd just have more options to strike US forces with different munitions, when currently they can really only use their dwindling stockpile of long range ballistics or Shaheds.
I dont know if they will try for Kharg, it feels like it's such a poor option that i'm praying this is a deception operation.
23
Ian_WMar 28, 2026
+23
Remember, Donald Trump likes explosions and good news stories.
People have heard of Kharg Island. They haven't heard of a bunch more places.
He does not pay attention to any sort of expert.
And, yeah, it's a terribly poor option.
23
LaurenMilleMar 28, 2026
+5
And even if it looks like the US will take Kharg, Iran surely has it rigged with demo charges and will level all infrastructure on it before letting the US have it.
This is literally a lose/lose for the US.
5
PaniacThrillaMar 28, 2026
+71
Seriously, is this what Trump is going to use as an excuse to nuke Iran? Mass casualties of our troops? But then I remember it's Trump, so it's probably more like "what plan?"
71
King_takes_queenMar 28, 2026
+17
More like "concepts of a plan".
17
Ok_Anywhere_9232Mar 28, 2026
+33
They can’t get into the gulf. The island is on the opposite side as the straight.
Or if they risk the passage fully embarked then it’ll be a massacre
33
GAdvanceMar 28, 2026
+7
Helicopter over from Saudi/Kuwait
7
Ok_Anywhere_9232Mar 28, 2026
+15
Yeah and that would require a metric shit ton more helicopters and build up than what has happened so far. The MEU can go by air but the whole point is they’re amphibious and on big landing ships, hence the need to get into the gulf.
Not saying it’s not possible, either way is incredibly stupid and difficult
15
shifkeyMar 28, 2026
+10
was looking it up last night, Iran even has howitzers that can reach the island. Getting them set up and defended is a whole thing ofc, but it's possible.
10
Big_Introduction1952Mar 28, 2026
+340
Buckle up… This is about to get worse.
340
JuhbellzMar 28, 2026
+190
Im out of buckles
190
TransplantedSconieMar 28, 2026
+47
*looks down at the amount of buckling I've done*
I think I'm out as well, sir!
47
JoJo111980Mar 28, 2026
+8
Ich glaube auch das Kharg längst vermint ist.
8
NiiblerMar 28, 2026
+65
Incoming peace!
65
AstrocoderMar 28, 2026
+38
Seems like Kharg is a bluff
38
smltorMar 28, 2026
+24
I honestly believe it is so impossible to do that it isn't even a bluff.
I know Americans get laughed at for not knowing geography but this one is pretty easy, google the island zoom out twice and look for the straits and you have your answer as to whether an invasion of the island will happen within the US populace tolerance for their own deaths.
24
retrolyMar 28, 2026
+5
It does not help with the Straght of Homuz situation so I dont see why you capture it at this point. Its not like any oil you can grab from it can go anywhere.
5
Sudden-Wash4457Mar 29, 2026
+4
has anything he has done helped with any situation other than personally enriching him?
4
PitoChuecoMar 28, 2026
+34
Pete is such a badass, have him lead the charge.
34
PistolPeteLovesRustMar 28, 2026
+3
He honestly might be dumb enough to do it
3
zoeydobie518Mar 28, 2026
+26
The peace president sending marines and some of them are coming home in body bags while he golf's and is bored with Iran. Today's GOP.
26
Intelligent_Bother59Mar 28, 2026
+73
So this fuel crisis isn't ending anytime soon. Governments need to let workers who can work from home stay working from home
73
wrgrantMar 28, 2026
+18
Nah, everything that is being done is intended to prop up Oil & Gas profits (and enable betting on the market of course), so work from home is not an option.
18
Large_Low_9747Mar 28, 2026
+3
Or how about something orders of magnitude more important than getting into the office? How about, I dunno... Food logistics?
3
supercali45Mar 28, 2026
+335
If this is a TACO.. how much wasted moving these resources around?
This administration is too stupid and readable though
335
JustChillin3456Mar 28, 2026
+135
Our military has a blank check
It doesn’t matter
135
MrF_lawblogMar 28, 2026
+132
This is how every empire has fallen... Endless wars draining their bank account and debt piling up to astronomical levels
132
jahmakinmecrazyMar 28, 2026
+44
Don't forget the tyrants and despots that brought them there!
44
D_is_for_DanteMar 28, 2026
+11
Every empire falls once the obligations for interest are higher than military spending. Which the US exceeded just last year.
11
redyellowblue5031Mar 28, 2026
+11
We’ve just about (correct me if I’m wrong) crossed the 1 trillion annual budget mark for the military at this point.
I’m not that old, but I remember it being half that size and it being regarded as a ridiculous amount.
11
OnionSea7213Mar 28, 2026
+5
Even ICE has a bigger budget than most (all?) other Western Militaries.
5
ProudMtnsMar 28, 2026
+66
Does it matter when the pentagons astronomical budget is rubber stamped by congress every year?
66
RODjijMar 28, 2026
+35
[There is a website](https://iran-cost-ticker.com/) that tracks the estimated cost of the US/Iran war so far.
I think hes used almost 34 billion in resources in 28 days.
Theyre requesting 200 billion more for the war so I think they plan on doing a lot more.
35
xeviphractMar 28, 2026
+12
There's also the Russian approach of pocketing the extra funds through various means, underfunding the entire war and ending up several years down the line still losing over a thousand troops a day to a meatgrinder of your own making.
12
FlyHarrisonMar 28, 2026
+33
The MEU is regularly forward deployed and does this for exercises every deployment cycle, this doesn’t really change much from a resources perspective.
33
tolstoy425Mar 28, 2026
+21
However there are now two ARG/MEUs in CENTCOM from the West coast and one East coast ARG/MEU in SOUTHCOM, which means there is not an ARG/MEU currently covering INDOPACOM. Presumably all of the other MEUs are in their down time or work up phase. Now with all the ships being directed to CENTCOM this does change calculus from a resources perspective because a huge limiting factor is ship availability and maintenance cycles, and with how the Navy ships are being run to support SOUTHCOM and CENTCOM operations that means maintenance cycles are going to get delayed, other ships missing their yard time, ships getting bumped from the yards etc etc which may impact the ability to generate ready ships for future ARG/MEUs.
Can’t forget the equipment and vehicles the Marines use too can get broken down and need maintenance.
Oh and the consumable supplies being used need to be replenished from somewhere, which puts a strain on current stocks of things. Think munitions and the like.
21
kobylazMar 28, 2026
+3
It’s around 1.46 million Solari for a round trip.
3
l0gicgateMar 28, 2026
+116
Can someone paint a picture of what boots on the ground landing on Kharg island would look like?
How do they secure a perimeter to establish a base there without Iranians completely obliterating them?
116
tolstoy425Mar 28, 2026
+82
They have to limit the short and medium range fires capability of Iran with repeated bombings and airstrikes, which is prolly the greatest threat to an amphibious assault.
82
DashingDaceMar 28, 2026
+31
Kinda like D- Day right? Bomb the heck out of the coastline to make sure any defenses are gone and then deploy paratroopers initially and the rest will follow. I assume that once they are on Karg, and the Iran coast in the vicinity is controlled, they would also try and get troops on mainland to establish a defensive line.
31
swiftybMar 28, 2026
+36
I think The main issue is whether or not the U.S is prepared for drone warfare, especially the smaller remote controlled ones that cant be intercepted by AA or jet.
Weve seen how effective is has become as a force multiplier and they are putting infantry directly into its range with almost no cover and guarenteed countermeasure against them
36
kbotcMar 28, 2026
+33
Turning down Ukraine’s drone interceptors was and is dumb.
33
bkgnMar 28, 2026
+9
I mean, add it to the infinitely long list.
9
cobrachicken26Mar 28, 2026
+13
Right? I cannot imagine the terror American troops would feel when they're the ones in those Ukraine war-style drone POV videos.
13
studio_bobMar 28, 2026
+4
Supposedly there are Iranian fighters lying in wait on Kharg with fiberoptic FPVs. The US is not ready.
4
StinkyHoboTaintMar 29, 2026
+3
https://warontherocks.com/2026/03/10-ukrainians-humbled-two-nato-battalions-when-will-nato-wake-up/
They are not.
>Last May, NATO invited 10 Ukrainians to act as an opposing force during Hedgehog 2025, one of NATO’s largest exercises in the Baltics. The Ukrainians successfully simulated the destruction of 17 armored vehicles and conducted 30 strikes in half a day, effectively neutralizing two NATO battalions before dinner. One observing commander summed up the broader implication in three words: “We are finished.” Ominously, the exercise occurred without American forces.
3
King_takes_queenMar 28, 2026
+39
The greatest threat to an amphibious assault is the media. Trump needs to make sure no cameras are around to report on how it actually plays out.
39
studio_bobMar 28, 2026
+9
That will be tough since these days most cameras in combat zones are mounted to enemy FPVs
9
ivanreyes371Mar 28, 2026
+33
Battlefield 3, Rush, Kharg Island.
Either a steamroll or a shitshow.
33
Large-Possible7227Mar 28, 2026
+22
It's got to be misinformation. Surely they are not telegraphing the attack like this and are actually targeting somewhere else.
22
ahses3202Mar 28, 2026
+25
The problem is that there really isn't anywhere else that matters from a strategic perspective. The rest of it is some flavor of fuckass mountain, fuckass swamp (with mountains) or empty fuckass desert (also with mountains) and none of those other places will actually change the strategic problem of the strait being closed.
25
l0gicgateMar 28, 2026
+8
That’s a good take. If we know about it, it’s very unlikely they’ll land there.
8
BugPuzzleheaded958Mar 28, 2026
+37
You realize this is the same admin that included a f****** journalist in a group chat by mistake where they both discussed highly classified airstrike details and self-assesed said debacle as being "good on OPSEC".
Our military is not completely staffed by clowns, but our top military leadership *absolutely* currently is.
37
redbeard8989Mar 28, 2026
+24
Go buy a bushel of tomatoes. Lay them on a sandy beach. Then stomp them and throw M-80s at them. That’s what it will look like.
24
DashingDaceMar 28, 2026
+6
So Dunkirk, basically? But without the rescue.
6
NwcrayMar 28, 2026
+6
Or Normandy, without the success.
6
smltorMar 28, 2026
+11
I would really like a step one of "How do they get there"
No one has answered that for me and I have asked a few times.
Shipping through the straits seems suicidal
Shipping from bahrain / iraq / saudi across the gulf also seems relatively foolhardy.
11
0x75727375706572Mar 28, 2026
+6
I feel like 3500 troops isn't nearly enough
6
retrolyMar 28, 2026
+5
Desert stom had 150,000 troops to put it into perspective.
5
ConsciousSkyyMar 28, 2026
+3
There’s no way they will go to Kharg. It would be a literal death trap
3
Ok_Anywhere_9232Mar 28, 2026
+82
This is so dumb.
First, there’s no way the fleet can get into the Gulf right now, or it’d be idiotic to do so.
Second, the amount of troops needed to actually invade and make a difference is a hell of a lot more.
Third, Kharg Island is so close to the mainland it’d be suicidal to try and hold.
F*** Operation Epstein Fury and all the corruption of the Trump administration.
82
kbotcMar 28, 2026
+17
But but but, we got rid of the DEI from the military, and call ourselves warriors. Aren’t we invincible now? /s
17
-Ny-Mar 28, 2026
+8
Of course the fleet *can* get into the Gulf. It's just that the losses probably wouldn't be considered worth it to most Americans.
8
Ok_Anywhere_9232Mar 28, 2026
+4
I would *hope* most commanders recognize the risks and wouldn’t blindly follow the orders of kegsbreath and the orange fuhrer.
Billions upon billions of damages and lost assets and thousands of soldiers killed for an illegal war
4
-Ny-Mar 28, 2026
+5
Plus there would be no reasonable follow-up to make it worth it because they haven't planned for it. In a total war you might well be prepared to take such losses, but only if you can make it worth it. There's no planning here that would enable to US to make such losses "worth it".
5
TuffGnarlMar 28, 2026
+18
“In an interview with conservative commentator Benny Johnson, Vance said, “we've achieved most of our military objectives against Iran. You could argue we've achieved all of them.”
If you never set any then you can’t fail, huh?
18
rmanjr12Mar 28, 2026
+7
If you have no idea what you’re doing, your enemy also has no idea what you’re doing
-Trump Tzu
7
Capt_PanicMar 28, 2026
+34
The sooner American troops start dying boots on ground, the sooner this becomes real to MAGA.
34
vreemdevinceMar 28, 2026
+57
Doubt it. To them the military is great but veterans and dead soldiers are losers.
57
SinistralGuyMar 28, 2026
+12
Nah the goal posts will just move. MAGAts can't think for themselves. Those who die will be considered not worthy or not good enough and won't ever be brought up again. I guarantee it.
12
croagunkMar 28, 2026
+12
Their heads are so far up Trump’s ass, they think his chicken nuggie farts are signs of a strong economy
12
-Ny-Mar 28, 2026
+3
Hope Springs Eternal...
3
Surfer_RickMar 28, 2026
+35
_Fortunate Son intensifies_
35
Aretirednurse81Mar 28, 2026
+30
I thought his ill advised war was won?
30
ExtremeRemarkable891Mar 28, 2026
+19
This is genuinely insane. They think they can bomb the Iranian south coast hard enough with F35s that they can take and hold Karg with ground troops. They will be massacred. I guarantee Iran has drone launchers hidden all throughout those mountains. Our troops will be hammered and our air units will be playing wackamole against hundreds or thousands of hidden launch points each only equipped with a few drones anyway. They will stay undetected and launch them in waves while pestering our aircraft with surface to air missiles. This will go VERY f****** sideways very f****** fast and we are going to see A LOT of coffins.
19
Budget_Horror_350Mar 29, 2026
+6
You make a good point. Have a few drones and artillery pieces scattered here and there. The IRGC have been preparing for conflict without a centralised command structure, so the randomness will be built in. Heck, mix in fake launch sites and you suck in resource in an endless game of wackamole. Then it goes quiet, the troops are told it's safe to land and all hell breaks loose.
6
PoeT8rMar 28, 2026
+8
Politicians hide themselves away
They only started the war
Why should they go out to fight?
They leave that role to the poor
For Reference: [War Pigs](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WT8t3i8CkMQ)
8
RecognitionOne395Mar 28, 2026
+17
Can’t wait for him to start blaming the democrats when this all goes to sh!t.
17
Normal-Ad6528Mar 28, 2026
+8
He's sending these guys into a meat grinder. It will not go well.
8
OldLondonMar 28, 2026
+15
He really should look up the fall of the Roman Empire. I mean he can’t read, someone could show him a 30 second tiktok or something
15
SpaceThat9997Mar 29, 2026
+7
That's someone's son, possibly father, brother, uncle, cousin, neighbour there - this needs to stop like, February!
7
jbartr000Mar 29, 2026
+5
I moved my 401k to stable value because this shits about to tank the markets and the economy
5
FenixOfNafoMar 28, 2026
+101
They should totally do a D-day style landing on Kharg island and show them who's Boss .
It will look so good for optics for Trump and team.
Imagine the PR victory and amazing alpha sigma video games style sick edits they can make of the marine landings and share on truth social and official DoW and White House pages
Add-I might have missed putting the obvious /s
101
DashingDaceMar 28, 2026
+13
Trump, Heggo and the rest of the maga boys are playing Battlefield 3 and COD WW2 as practice. I hear they are watching Saving Private Ryan later. They got this!
13
fs2222Mar 28, 2026
+36
And then Iran can make a sick edit once they blow up the soldiers stationed there like sitting ducks.
36
Strontiumdogs1Mar 28, 2026
+16
Those poor marines may find out what it's been like in Ukraine for the past four years.
I really hope they don't, because they don't have a response.
16
frghu2Mar 28, 2026
+20
what are you talking about? US troops can deflect drone attacks by sheer American exceptionalism and the aura of Trump's blessing. /s
20
cyclingkingsleyMar 28, 2026
+12
On the day Jesus died for our sin, Trump will proclaim "in the name of Christ" and start ground operations to invade Iran. That's my take
12
JohnBPrettyGoodMar 28, 2026
+7
Of course Iran is monitoring the situation closely.
Satellite Imagery?? Cyber Spys?? Military Intelligence??
Heck no they are watching the Stock Market.
As soon as US Traders start to sell shares in OIL
Based on a tip from "you know who", they know the Troops will Land
It's all about The DOW
"Working class people around the world have no innate desire to go to war with each other.
They have to be conned into it by the sociopaths who will profit from it". John Lennon
7
ConsciousSkyyMar 28, 2026
+3
Finally someone who gets it. All eyes are on oil futures. Trump admin is clearly insider trading, so once oil starts spiking you can be pretty sure an invasion is coming somewhere
3
PurpleCoat6656Mar 28, 2026
+7
Clog those toilets boys! Set those laundry rooms on fire!
Send the Gravy Seals, Meal Team 666, and the IDF instead. When is Barron enlisting?
7
thats_justice_babyMar 28, 2026
+3
Sounds like this war will be quick and not take long at all. /s
3
rideadoveMar 28, 2026
+3
It’s over, why are they sending troops?
3
AlmoschFamousMar 28, 2026
+3
Do they know how many drones Iran has? This won’t work out well
3
1stAccountWasRealNamMar 29, 2026
+3
Have the day you voted for!
3
Bag_of_Meat13Mar 28, 2026
+14
Now I feel even better for deciding not to go USMC at 18 in 2010.
I wouldn't have wanted to fight bankers wars then and I surr as shit wouldn't fight for Donald Trump's diversion from the fact that he's a child rapist right now, and religious fundamentalists hellbent on forcing the end times.
14
AM_BokkeMar 28, 2026
+4
Dead men walking
4
NoBSforGmaMar 28, 2026
+5
Most resources say the USS Tripoli can carry "2,000 - 2.500 Marines" and with 3,500 aboard, it must be ugly for those Marines. Adding to the problem of "hot bunking" or sleeping on deck is the problem for seasickness for some of them.
And, of course, the "not knowing."
Yes, I know. They are Marines and tough and trained, etc etc but they are also human.
PS: I was married to a Marine and one of my sons was a Marine. So I'm not just making shit up here.
5
guaztronautMar 28, 2026
+4
These are the "suckers and losers" he was counting on.
4
scrotismgoiterMar 28, 2026
+6
No one is talking about Trumps big out from this situation. The vote on the war powers act is April 12. It will be bipartisan with majority democrats. This will give him the out that he wants and he can blame any fallout on democrats restricting his power. That is why he keeps moving the goal posts on his demands. He's waiting for it to happen so he can say his hands were tied so he can pass the buck and place the blame of all his fuckups on someone else.
6
43AgonyBoothsMar 28, 2026
+6
That's an interesting theory, but I can't find any news of a vote scheduled for April 12th.
6
FatherOftenMar 28, 2026
+5
My old friends son was shipped out 4-5 weeks ago MEU.
5
_big_chill_Mar 28, 2026
+23
Imagine dying for trump lmao
23
drabredMar 28, 2026
+2
Those Marines must be feeling just fantastic and motivated to do this...
2
bicycle-made-for2Mar 28, 2026
+2
Don’t forget next Friday is the start of Easter weekend.
200 Comments