Netanyahu: Iran war ‘not over’ until enriched uranium is removed | Watch

You give Trump too much credit.

The same **Trump** that said, “I thought oil prices would go to $200, $250, and it's at $100 now. And I think you're surprised and I'm surprised. But even if it went to $200, it would have been worth it.” That guy?

The thing is that Israel will not allow the u.s. to leave and neither will Saudia Arabia for different reasons. Which means that it will be a quagmire for some months until one or the other gives up.

I should preface this by saying that I’m *not* arguing in favor of invasion, but rather observing the completely fucked situation that Trump has put himself in. I’d argue that from *Trump’s* perspective, a *massive* invasion is actually the *least bad* option at this point (emphasis on the “bad” part). Because in my opinion the Iranian’s goal is very clearly to either get rid of Trump or severely cripple his administration. They no longer trust him (nor should they have ever IMO), so they want him gone. Their apparent openness to negotiations is all a ruse, and if Trump calls that it won’t change anything. As such, if you’e Trump, there’s not really much point to negotiating anymore, though I’m not entirely sure that he knows that. In other words, the *only* path still open for Trump is to secure the strait using military force. **Which puts him in an impossible position** (of his own making lol), because there’s *only* ***one*** way we can secure the strait militarily without sending the price of oil through the roof and keeping it there indefinitely: a *massive* invasion of *at least* southeastern Iran, and what basically amounts to an occupation of the Gulf States to protect their oil fields. *Even if* the Gulf States contributed soldiers to the invasion (which admittedly they might), we would need to mobilize pretty much the entire military in order to have any chance successfully pulling it off. If we extend the invasion to all of southern Iran (let alone the entire country) we would need either conscription or *a lot* of desertion from Iran’s main army. Needless to say, a surprise attack would be out of the question. It would also cost trillions of dollars, would require either getting rid of the filibuster or more likely just breaking the law, the casualties and material losses would probably be massive, it wouldn’t bring down the price of oil immediately, even in the best case scenario it wouldn’t bring the price of oil back down to where it was, there’s a chance it might not even bring down the price of oil *at all* until Trump’s term is up, it would give China the perfect opportunity to attack Taiwan (though admittedly I don’t think the PRC is 100% prepared for that), oh and it would *at least* initially be the most unpopular war in US history. The *only* way it wouldn’t hurt Trump politically is if it all went *perfectly,* and that is not likely. The *only* reason why I say it’s the least bad option for him, is because there’s a tiny chance that it could go perfectly, and therefore wouldn’t harm him politically. Whereas if he does nothing then there is a 100% chance that *that* will harm him politically.

If Iran was somehow able to significantly escalate their damage capability i think that would also bring boots in. So, like if they somehow managed to like sink a destroyer or an aircraft carrier, for instance. If they were able to cause a mass casualty event on US soil (terror cell style.) Whats very unique about this war in its current phase is that Donald Trump has zero true goal here anymore, now he has to be able to point at a fake victory. There will never be the 1. Regime change 2. Nuclear material removed 3. Iran is friendly to US in the strait. Hell, I bet if the strait of hormuz went back to operating how it had pre-war Donald would have taken that and made up some fake "beautiful" deal or some stupid shit. Iran knows that and they juuuuussssttt need to f*** with the strait enough for that option to never be viable. Bibi convinced Donald that this war would be quick and easy just like the attack last year. Bibi lied to Donald. Im curious if we start to see the cracks in that relationship come November.

Hardly if they wanted it they would have had it by now. They have China and Russia in their corner, and after this war Iran will have nukes its just inevitable. Especially considering how hard this war managed to f*** everything up when it comes to destroying the regime.

They did have to be given a massive bribe recently to not nuke India. North Korea and Pakistan having nukes isn’t great, it’s just too late to do much about it.

It only takes one nuke to destroy Israel. Khamenei, in his jurisprudence, once declared a fatwa against the deployment of nukes, but a fatwa can always be revoked.

I doubt Iran cares about the safety and wellbeing of its Muslim neighbors considering it literally bombed almost every single one of them during the war.