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Announcements Mar 27, 2026 at 2:10 AM

New Polling: Ohio Could Be In Play For Democrats In 2026

Posted by ThistleroseTea


https://thehill.com/homenews/5802228-new-polling-ohio-could-be-in-play-for-democrats-in-2026-yt/

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Speak_Of_The_Devil Mar 27, 2026 +1
Some of you might be too young to remember, but at one time, Ohio was a purple state before all them right wingers cheated with all them gerrymandering and mail in ballot rigging.
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ThistleroseTea Mar 27, 2026 +1
Heck, in my day, West Virginia was solid blue.
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skucera Mar 27, 2026 +1
As was Oklahoma
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Phiarmage Mar 27, 2026 +1
They're just following racism.
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certciv Mar 27, 2026 +1
Not all the blame can be put on racism, or right-wing propaganda. Lot's of people felt that the Democratic party abandoned them in the 90's. All it takes is to talk to some older blue collar union guys, and they will tell you about NAFTA and Clinton screwing them over. And they have a point. Corporate Democrats and the 'third way' movement in liberal politics did screw over a lot of working class people. Republicans may have been leading the charge, but it took a lot of Democratic complicity to ramp up the offshoring that did so much damage.
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Ven18 Mar 27, 2026 +1
This the 3rd way corporatist shift of the Dems in the 90s made them lose any economic messaging in huge parts of rural America that were solid blue since the days of FDR. With both parties having no real economic message to these communities the GOP was able to push culture war issues as the cause for people’s woes. Now so many have been voting republican based on the idea that their immigrant neighbors are why their quality of life is shit, rather than the corporate bosses moving the town factory to Vietnam for so long it will be a massive lift to ever break through and Dem leadership doesn’t even want to try.
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Ok_Tutor_5544 Mar 27, 2026 +1
Abandoned them in the 90s but Obama won 2 terms and Biden got one?
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Snagglespoof Mar 27, 2026 +1
The Dakotas and Montana as well
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tigernike1 Mar 27, 2026 +1
Missouri was a bellwether state.
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babybirdingURgrandma Mar 27, 2026 +1
They literally moved voting machines from urban to rural areas so urban (minority) people had to wait in line for hours to vote. Poll taxes are illegal but how much worse is red voters voting in 15 mins, blue voters need 3 hrs. Dystopian (and evil)
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I_PACE_RATS Mar 27, 2026 +1
Exactly. People spend a lot of time talking about the propaganda machine (which is a huge problem, too), but they forget that the redness of some states is sort of an illusion. They've purged voter rolls, gerrymandered, moved or removed voting sites, etc. to the point that it's not even a case of some people tuning out, but simply being unable to reach a polling place, cast a vote, or get vital information about voting in an effective, timely manner. This narrative that we've "lost" a chunk of the electorate to extremism is tremendously damaging and disconnected from reality. It provides a smoke screen for the actions of anti-democratic activists who have been conspiring against people's right to vote for decades now.
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certciv Mar 27, 2026 +1
There's truth in that, but independent polling does show a huge swing away from democrats to republicans in 'red' states over the decades. And many states, like South Dakota just vote Republican in huge numbers. While there is arguably some gerrymandering (especially around Sioux Falls), it's not as if democrats are being hugely disadvantaged.
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No_Strike655 Mar 27, 2026 +1
Oh look someone else who sees it
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jjgm21 Mar 27, 2026 +1
I waited 7 hours to vote in Oberlin, OH in 2004 😭
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Donny_Do_Nothing Mar 27, 2026 +1
You spent 7 hours in Oberlin?! Oof.
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jjgm21 Mar 27, 2026 +1
4 years, actually.
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chucklefits Mar 27, 2026 +1
To vote!?
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measured-defocus Mar 27, 2026 +1
Voted for president once then immediately got back in line to vote for the next one. Timed it perfectly.
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Any_Will_86 Mar 27, 2026 +1
Also a crapton of young people left. All the people who left Midwestern states for college or career left a vacuum. 
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SaddamMustaine Mar 27, 2026 +1
Don’t worry they’ll all return when Trump opens up all the steel mills again and America becomes great.
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JoviAMP Mar 27, 2026 +1
Lemme guess… two more weeks?
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SaddamMustaine Mar 27, 2026 +1
Yes right after Infrastructure Week, then we bring back all the steel mills.
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GenericFatGuy Mar 27, 2026 +1
People keep crying foul about Trump rigging future elections, but rigging elections is literally the only way that modern Republicans have ever been able to win major elections.
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certciv Mar 27, 2026 +1
What do you consider "major" elections?
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galaxychildxo Mar 27, 2026 +1
The Bush/Gore election, for example. That was some rigging if I've ever seen it.
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certciv Mar 27, 2026 +1
I was not looking for an example. So presidential elections? Just federal elections?
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galaxychildxo Mar 27, 2026 +1
Oh sorry. I had just woken up when I commented that haha.
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JesusAndTheSpiders Mar 27, 2026 +1
I remember Ann Richards in Texas…
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certciv Mar 27, 2026 +1
I just re-watched *Raise Hell: The Life & Times of Molly Ivins*, again a few days ago. Ann Richards, being a long time friend of Ivins is featured several times. I miss the days when those tough, fun-loving, irreverent Texas Democrats had some power in the state.
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Slow_Investment_2211 Mar 27, 2026 +1
When I grew up in Ohio we were a solidly purple swing state. Sad what my beloved Ohio has become. Kinda glad I don’t live there anymore.
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Yorksikorkulous Mar 27, 2026 +1
Currently live here and second this, the only reason Ohio is deep red is because this state is not a democracy. Genuinely the 2nd most gerrymandered state, only behind Texas, so our votes barely matter. Look at where Cleveland is for example and then compare to a district map. Politicians here literally have reversed decisions from ballot issues that people directly voted on because they are all in lock step and feel like they have infinite power. It's so fucked.
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da2Pakaveli Mar 27, 2026 +1
Sherrod Brown came in quite close in 2024. 3.8 points.
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zmoit Mar 27, 2026 +1
So goes Ohio, so goes America
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ZonghZonghZongh Mar 27, 2026 +1
“We’re going to Ohio! Then we’re going to Maine, and Alaska! We’re gonna go to North Carolina, and Iowa, and Texas! And then we’re gonna take back the Senate! Yaaah!”
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fga2025 Mar 27, 2026 +1
Yes Howard.
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pwolter0 Mar 27, 2026 +1
It was more of a BEEYEEEAAHHWWWW!
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ZonghZonghZongh Mar 27, 2026 +1
I wrote it like that! But Reddit kept auto-deleting my comment for “formatting violations”. How did yours slip through…? 🧐
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Inner-T Mar 27, 2026 +1
another year of being told ohio is a swing state just for it to go red by double digits. i will believe the polling when i see a single actual policy change that helps someone pay rent.
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Shaudius Mar 27, 2026 +1
Sherrod Brown has won Ohio fairly recently.
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da2Pakaveli Mar 27, 2026 +1
Sherrod Brown came in 3.8 points in 2024 during a year they won a trifecta in. It's absolutely doable.
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B-Z_B-S Mar 27, 2026 +76
Every seat is potentially one that the Democratic Party could win, with how deeply unpopular Trump is right now.
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Sminahin Mar 27, 2026 +1
Bush and Iraq were so unpopular in 2008 that a black Democrat with "one of them foreign names" won Indiana.
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Due_Bluebird3562 Mar 27, 2026 +1
Yeah Bush two is a good example of what is going to happen to the republican party over the next few years. He was so bad by the end of his term that reds couldn't even sniff the presidency for two terms. Having Obama helped a ton but I genuinely believe Trump two could lead to a two term dem president at least. As far as congress goes IDP. Congress is a lot more fickle. All it takes is one or two bad economic quarters to sour any major gains your party as made. November is gonna be a bloodbath and the Dems are easily taking the house at the very least.
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groavac777 Mar 27, 2026 +1
I think this is a little revisionist history. The Republicans won really big in 2010 and faced a generational incumbent president in 2012. Americans have the memory of a goldfish.
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ElleM848645 Mar 27, 2026 +1
It’s pretty common for incumbents to win though. Trump was so bad that he lost (only to win non consecutive terms) and Kamala wasn’t an incumbent. I still think Joe Biden wins in 2024 if he doesn’t drop out.
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Sminahin Mar 27, 2026 +1
>I still think Joe Biden wins in 2024 if he doesn’t drop out. Ain't no way in hell lol. Biden was doomed & in blatant denial even pre-debate.
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Shaudius Mar 27, 2026 +1
Only because of constant Republican propaganda about his faculties. Meanwhile Trump is way worse than Biden ever was and its mostly silence.
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Cannoneer1974 Mar 27, 2026 +1
Biden’s corpse would have been a better alternative to what we got.
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Sminahin Mar 27, 2026 +1
...there are credible reports from within the Biden admin that he was showing mental lapses early in his first year in office. He promised to be a one-term president for a reason--the entire narrative was "Obama uncle guy knows he's too old for this shit, but his country needs him so it's time for one last ride." He went out like Theoden leading a last charge against darkness. That entire narrative fails when he tries to run again--he turns into "mad king Biden". Especially because he was actively genociding Gaza, butchering US constitutional protections to prevent any criticism of his genocide, and messaging that the economy was fine when the economy has been a dumpster fire for about 30 years straight. Biden was made in a lab to lose 2024. Have you read the books about his 2024 campaign? It was all a complete dumpster fire built on delusion and corrupt party politics.
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Shaudius Mar 27, 2026 +1
Trump is showing ridiculous mental lapses right now, Biden wasn't genociding Gaza. You're not a serious person. People who talk like you are basically MAGA.
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Sminahin Mar 27, 2026 +1
>People who talk like you are basically MAGA. People who deny our party's flaws and clear electoral weaknesses may as well be in a religious cult devoted to spoonfeeding elections to Republicans. Thanks for Trump.
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Shaudius Mar 27, 2026 +1
Anyone who looks at what is going on right now and is talking about Bidens flaws is MAGA. You're MAGA. Own it. People who talk like you are way more responsible for Trump than anyone besides other MAGAs.
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la-fours Mar 27, 2026 +1
Biden was not genociding anyone. I don’t see any of these criticisms about Trump from the free Palestine crowd and Trump is literally doing less for Palestinians and even more for Israel than Biden did. Single issue voters that decide making Palestine the hill to die on are no different from the abortion crowd. Everything else you said is accurate. Biden should rightly be criticized for running again.
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ArrowNut7 Mar 27, 2026 +1
Or Joe runs in 2016 and Donnie backs out and we never have to deal with MAGA
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SaddamMustaine Mar 27, 2026 +1
It would have been the lowest turnout in modern presidential history and Trump would have won.
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MrFishAndLoaves Mar 27, 2026 +1
Here we go again. 
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thenoodleincident18 Mar 27, 2026 +1
Sherrod Brown has a high floor. I just dont know how high his ceiling goes. Ninja Edit: he is honestly the kind of elected politician that Democrats need more of.
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ElleM848645 Mar 27, 2026 +1
No kidding. Sherrod Brown was a popular senator but got caught in a red wave year. This year is a blue wave year. Another reason why it’s important to vote in every election you are able.
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Northstar0566 Mar 27, 2026 +1
Remember the Iowa 2024 polls. Yes I know things are not going well for America right now but take your grains of salt with this.
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da2Pakaveli Mar 27, 2026 +1
He lost by only 3.8 points during a red year. It's absolutely doable.
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GuerreroUltimo Mar 27, 2026 +1
I was saying before some of these special elections upsets in the Democrats favors i could see Republicans being in trouble. I have family and friends all over Ohio. And even the MAGA ones admit they hear more negative talk about Trump. This thing with Iran is gonna hurt. Some are pounding their chest saying we will just waltz in and wipe them out. But they have terrain knowledge. They seem to forget that Iraq lasted 8 years. Iran offers a much stronger foe than Iraq as well. Not sure why some thing this will be a cake walk but they have the idea that our military is just so good Iran will take "a week at most" on the ground. This will draw out and will hurt. Want to sway Republican voters? Hit them in the wallet. Listen to many of them. That is their only true care.
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D-MAN-FLORIDA Mar 27, 2026 +1
Vivek is probably also a factor. Guy is bringing down the entire gop ticket in Ohio.
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sedatedlife Mar 27, 2026 +1
If this war is still going on by election time Republicans will not only lose the house but the Senate. But we need more then a 50/50 Senate because with Fetterman he would basically control what passes. Also i would not be shocked if in case of a tied Senate he switches sides to keep Republicans in control.​
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ScotTheDuck Mar 27, 2026 +1
Vivek Ramaswamy was a unique figure in the 2024 primaries. Typically, when you get more media exposure, especially in a primary, people tend to get a more favorable view of you. Doesn’t necessarily mean that they’re more likely to vote for you, but the “don’t knows” of the world will at least get a good impression. Ramaswamy was just about the only exception I’ve ever seen to that, at least recently. Every time he was on a debate stage in 2023 and early 2024, his favorables and vote share, even among Republican primary voters, went down. The more they saw, the less they liked. He was just that much of an unlikable jackass on stage. And they cleared the field for this guy, to the point where his closest competition is an actual, no shit Nazi. So considering that and some of the more outlandish positions he’s taken since announcing his gubernatorial run (12 month schooling, consolidating Ohio’s pride and joy higher education system), it’s no shock to me he’s lagging just about every other statewide Republican in Ohio from the past decade. Acton has a real shot at getting to the Governor’s Mansion, and Ramaswamy might very well end up taking Husted with him.
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evanliko Mar 27, 2026 +1
12 month schooling means no summer break for students right? Which is a change I can get behind and I'm a democrat. So it's crazy he is just that dislikable that it doesnt matter what his policies are lol
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ScotTheDuck Mar 27, 2026 +1
Having experienced 12 month education as a child (CCSD was *super* overcrowded in the early and mid-aughts), it’s not everyone in school all year. At least not here at the time. The way it worked for us that every kid still got roughly nine months of education, but the school got divided into five tracks and five classes per grade, one per grade in each track. What they then did was put four tracks in school, and the fifth track would go on break twice, once in the fall/winter and once in the spring/summer. You still got roughly nine months worth of education, but if you were a poor sap that was on Tracks 2, 3, or 4, you just had a 4 week break in the middle of the school year. Only Tracks 1 and 5 had a track break that actually aligned to winter and summer breaks. I dunno if the Ramaswamy proposal was that (again, ours was purely to resolve overcrowding) in specific detail, but 12 month schooling is something that just doesn’t poll well at all. More time in the classroom, broadly speaking, also has diminishing returns on educational outcomes. Plus also like, just at an emotional level, let kids be kids and have their summer breaks.
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evanliko Mar 27, 2026 +1
I mean. I never had summer breaks growing up either (tho because I was homeschooled) and personally I think the benefits outweigh the cons? Tho it can depend on how it's implimented. Actual 12 month schooling, with just breaks for holidays/allowed leave days for families to take vacations, has benefits because the kids dont forget things over a long break, and also supports working parents better, since most jobs don't come with a summer break. And more and more families have both parents working now, so it's not very feasible to just have one psrent stay home with the kids. Which means kids are being sent to daycare programs, and essentially not getting an actual summer break anyways. The daycare programs might not really be teaching much. But the kids dont have actual time to just relax and play the way they used to when most kids would stay home for summer. Might as well be using the time the kids have to stay and be watched to actually educate them. Dont know if this is what hes proposing though. Very well may not be. Either way hes enough of an awful person i wouldnt vote for him even if he had the best 12 month schooling idea.
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Raspberries-Are-Evil Mar 27, 2026 +1
Nothing would be more amazing than seeing Maine, Texas, and Ohio flip in November.
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H4NKSCORP10 Mar 27, 2026 +1
Honestly any state that voted for this administration needs to get taxed heavily in cleaning up the imminent mess that’s coming. It’s such bullshit we all have to deal with the constant dumpster fires Trump has managed to cause because some toothless yokels thought it’d be a great idea when you know all they’ll do is complain about their mess not getting cleaned up faster when a Democrat takes office. They’ll never learn until you rub their noses in it and make them learn.
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PhoenixTineldyer Mar 27, 2026 +1
They won't learn then, either. They will blame Biden for their faces being covered in their own shit and then they will vote for the next Republican
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SaddamMustaine Mar 27, 2026 +1
We have to constantly deal with the messes from CERTAIN STATES. The same ones who badmouth NY and IL and MA and CA and the same ones who all claim to be from one of those states when they go on vacation so they get treated better. Do you think maybe there’s a problem when certain states have a marvelously higher positive global perception than the welfare state you are really from?
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Duane_ Mar 27, 2026 +1
I mean, yeah. They spent months acting like minorities were eating people's pets en masse - and then they put f****** Ramaswamy on the podium. What the f*** did they think was gonna happen?
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renegade_yankee Mar 27, 2026 +1
Ohio and Florida used to be swing states back in the day. They went to Obama both in 2008 and 2012. The f*** did Trump do to make them solid red?
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Shaudius Mar 27, 2026 +1
Developed a cult and captured the media. 
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ThistleroseTea Mar 27, 2026 +2
Video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qY8IRqVqnio
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xerthighus Mar 27, 2026 +1
For the first time in years, in my area in Ohio that is very conservative, Politics are not something people are comfortable talking about beyond an occasional complaint about having to work with someone who “don’t speak English”. With no further discussion of the matter.
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favnh2011 Mar 27, 2026 +1
Right
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Xionic Mar 27, 2026 +1
Republicans in Ohio don't care. They will always vote for the person with the R next to their name. They didn't like JD Vance or Bernie Moreno but they both won because Ohio Republicans are deep MAGA and will never vote for a Democrat.
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purplebrown_updown Mar 27, 2026 +1
not if the same old ass candidates. We need young and new.
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StreetwalkinCheetah Mar 27, 2026 +1
Sherrod Brown was actually one of the best Dems in the Senate.
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RockinOutCockOut Mar 27, 2026 +1
Ohio Dems won't vote yet again. Watch
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ositola Mar 27, 2026 +1
Not falling for this again
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AkronRonin Mar 27, 2026 +1
Jon Husted is an arrogant, condescending, thoroughly corrupt (Look up FirstEnergy), snarky piece of shit. Sherrod Brown should be able to beat him, but nothing can be taken for granted. The only reason Brown is even running in this race is because he wanted to regulate Crypto, and so of course the Crypto Bros funded his opponent, smarmy used car salesman Bernie Moreno, an immigrant from Argentina of all places. That m*********** definitely needs to be run out on a rail, but unfortunately, we've got 4 more years of him. The Republicans in Ohio need to be checked in the worst way possible, at all levels of government. I don't trust the Dems not to steal defeat out of the jaws of victory here, but if there's a chance to even the odds somewhat, this is the year. Amy Acton has a decent chance too for Governor. Vivek Ramaswamy? Come on, people? Really??? That douchebag???
1
Del_3030 Mar 27, 2026 +1
Cool but the best they can do is just running Sherrod Brown again?
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InHocWePoke3486 Mar 27, 2026 +1
This going to be the new Texas is turning blue cope that has failed every election cycle. If we can't turn Texas blue, there's zero chance Ohio is going blue
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Safe-Aerie-2259 Mar 27, 2026 +1
Dont get your hopes up yet. 2026 is a lifetime away in politics. A lot can and will change before then.
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ApolloX-2 Mar 27, 2026 +1
Unironically the whole country is in play. Alabama and Mississippi will be in play as well. Trump fucked with the economy too much.
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TapProper7608 Mar 27, 2026 +1
Dont get your hopes up yet. 2026 is a lifetime away in politics. A lot can and will change before then.
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patmur46 Mar 27, 2026 +1
Democrats desperately need to abandon woke bullshit and address real world problems of the middle class. The ultra-wealthy are totally screwing all of us. Their campaign contributions have castrated most of our incumbent politicians. We desperately need a younger generation of reality based, economically relevant, candidates. The internet, with all its flaws, has enabled politicians with a clear message to be heard.
1
rainman_104 Mar 27, 2026 +1
You know woke is a term that comes out of the civil rights movement? Stop using that term as a slur because it is offensive to those who fought for civil rights. There is nothing wrong with live and let live. It's actually a very libertarian ideal.
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PrefersEarlGrey Mar 27, 2026 +1
Please enlighten us what "woke bullshit" the Democrats are pushing for? Like what actual legislation have they put forward that you consider "woke" Dimes for dollars you've been told to be outraged at Democrats by Republicans and decided to look no further into the facts.
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ParadeSit Mar 27, 2026 +1
“Abandon woke bullshit.” Is the “woke bullshit” in the room with us right now?
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