Report: Iran's president accuses IRGC commanders of undermining ceasefire efforts

>The IRGC knows it’s been so thoroughly depleted that if the war were to end today it would still collapse That's a mighty claim. They still have the million strong fanatics of the Basij, how are they depleted?

>The IRGC knows it’s been so thoroughly depleted that if the war were to end today it would still collapse. Smells like wishful thinking to me.

Bad take, you don't know enough about this topic to be talking about it.

I don’t think there’s any way for us to know if he was selected after incapacitation, or if he was incapacitated shortly after being selected 

That's only a recent phenomenon as of the last election. They likely won't be a major political party after the next one. Even the Shiite population is sick of being dragged into conflict with Israel by them.

There are thousands of them

That’s correct for the people with all the guns unfortunately

Only a handful of people know the answer to that question. We can only speculate. Going into this whole endeavor, the biggest question was “What will the artesh do?”. They sided with protestors when the Shah abdicated. There’s been hope they would side with the protesters during every mass uprising. But they still haven’t. So, they are either still loyal to the current regime, or are waiting for the right moment. I think the Islamic Republic never fully trusted the army so maybe they just don’t have the resources to take on the IRGC

🤷‍♂️

Final regime is still kinda up in the air though. Too early to say which regime Iran ends up with.

CIA with extra steps

> They will be more militant. The Islamic Republic of Iran's initial government was formed from militant, proselytizing religious fanatics with a doomsday prophecy who were willing to face death and kill lots of people to get their way. They specifically constructed a government architecture that would not just maintain but would spread these properties. The ruling clerics were not and are not moderates. They were and are hard liners who believe god is on their side. They specifically believe their mission from god is to spread their ideology by force. The IRGC has loyalty to the clerics and some senior leadership, but they are also promoted to positions of power because of ideology. Based on my reading, the IRGC is somewhere between a third and half of Iran's economy, including much of both their industry and tourism. One plausible belief held early on was that these generals were less ideological and had more to lose (their Swiss bank accounts, for example), so would be more likely to play ball than the clerics. We also knew there were wings like the Quds forces that were intensely ideological and would be in mortal peril if their regime falls (many governments around the world would love to put a bullet in the heads of each and every member of the Quds forces, with or without a trial). At least some ballistic missile commanders and at least some drone commanders are clearly ideological and have existing orders *from the clerics* to strike until they cannot strike anymore. Last thing: the office of the president in Iran is often given to a chosen conciliatory figure who can go and represent Iran well, provide hope of moderation, and so on. They also have very little power. The IRGC's loyalty was to the Supreme Leader, the revolution, and to their income streams (which were designed to bypass the President). The clerics chose the person who chose the President. The Bassij forces existed to ensure the continuity of the government against the population. The president just made the government basically function. He didn't even pick which foreigners got kidnapped and which didn't. The civilian government of Iran has always been at the mercy of many other, larger forces.

The regime can't be any more militant than they already were. They were already at maximum since 1979. They've been murdering, torturing, raping and kidnapping people for decades.

Military more militant, less civil than civilians. World shocked. More at News on the 9s after traffic.

I don't get it?

Love is a battlefield…

They have been targeted by Iran and associated militias for 40 years. I don’t think they will love it until the Iranian regime is over.

If you have hundreds of news organisations reporting one thing and one inherently biased propaganda rag reporting the opposite then its not a both sides argument.

If it's not 'sooner' it's neither going to end the war, nor will it improve regional stability. And that's assuming you don't have unit commanders building improvised dirty bombs to meet the 12th Imam in style.  (Sorry, the tone of that was more confrontational than I intended).

Most countries have just accepted it, they’re all making their own deals, each one further legitimising Iran’s control. France used their first veto since 1989 in favour of Iran, while the future of NATO is the shakiest it has ever been. Just like Vietnam, losing every battle doesn’t mean losing the war.