I honestly don’t think there is a way to negotiate with Iran. All the IRG commanders are operating on their own
796
MissPandaSlothMar 29, 2026
+221
Most likely scenario is there being a top dog with most power in IRGC being the actual leadership. Or a guy who breaks ranks and US/ Israel help him out.
221
CajunKushMar 29, 2026
+191
I think this is why Trump claims there are talks while others in Iran deny talks happening.
191
Clayp2233Mar 29, 2026
+253
Trump also just says things that aren’t true because he’s full of shit. He’s claimed the war is over and that we’ve won, on numerous occasions
253
Kind_Singer_7744Mar 29, 2026
+96
Yeah its impossible to get the pulse of this war because both trump and Iran are completely full of shit 99% of the time
96
Neat-Bridge3754Mar 30, 2026
+10
In this case, and I can't believe I'm saying this, I trust *Iran* more.
That's not to say I "trust" Iran, but if they're saying something completely opposite of Trump...yeah, I think it probably has more truth to it than whatever utter bullshit is dribbling out from between Trump's greasy lips.
10
nothymetocookMar 29, 2026
+48
Silver lining: Iran cannot know what Trump is going to do if Trump doesn't know what Trump is doing
48
icouldsmellcolorsMar 29, 2026
+13
Yeah but if they just plan for the stupidest possible decision, they'll be fairly well prepared
13
AdCreepy5165Mar 30, 2026
+2
The stupidest possible decision would be launching a ground war against a largely radicalized population in mountainous terrain, that has an actual functioning military and has plenty of time to prepare.
The troops are already on their way apparently...
2
Prysorra2Mar 29, 2026
+7
Additional option - someone actually did “suggest” to Trump that he become their leader. They’ve proven themselves capable of trolling.
7
Khaganate23Mar 29, 2026
+27
Legitmally shocked not many people could piece that out as what could be happening.
Everyone defaulted to the memes.
27
PurifyingProteinsMar 29, 2026
+12
It’s a possibility, but it’s also a strategy to soap, paranoia and division because then they’ll try to hunt down who they think is talking and selling them out
12
CLGToadyMar 30, 2026
+3
Because listnook is full of people who just want to be mad and don't care about reality at all
3
mickeyt1Mar 29, 2026
+2
There’s been a lot of that
2
BlipBlapBloppityBoopMar 30, 2026
+2
If you’re shocked that people actually learned from Trump making shit up over and over and being highly skeptical of everything he claims, then you must be American.
2
Mac62961Mar 29, 2026
+4
Exactly. Its chaos in iran Thats why the internet is blocked, they want 12 year olds to suit up, different members of IRGC and “ civilian government” are negotiating others aren’t, the bad economy obviously continues ( and was one of the main drivers of protests earlier this year), and propaganda is in overdrive. That said so much bullshit has come from Trump, Israel and Iranian Regime that who knows whats happening.
4
Brave-Battle-2615Mar 29, 2026
+9
Wishful thinking. “Best case” and I stress this, only for Trump, would be a civil war between factions. The likelihood of this is next to nothing in my opinion, at least at an exploitive level.
Nothing brings folks together like an invading army actively boasting of their religious values that are diametrically opposed to said folks religion, especially at such a fundamentalists levels on both sides.
9
MajesticBread9147Mar 30, 2026
+1
Is that really more likely long term than failure of a single entity to be the recognized "leader" of Iran, and two or more factions fighting each other once their common enemy (America) is out of the picture?
Like basically the Chinese civil war during the invasion of Manchuria, and once we pull out it will be closer to the current situation in Libya or the longtime situation in Syria.
1
Environmental-Rub933Mar 30, 2026
+1
That’s most likely what’s going to happen, some “do you feel in charge” moment
1
SnooRegrets6428Mar 29, 2026
+8
Vahidi the top guy but only communicating through couriers and pre-recorded messages
8
StockCasinoMemberMar 29, 2026
+38
That is kinda their plan ain’t it?
Hope you can pick one who can rally or beat the others.
38
pjm8786Mar 29, 2026
+43
This is why decapitation strikes haven’t been a part of us military doctrine for a generation. But it doesn’t matter much when your leaders are illiterate, actively hostile to anything perceived as intelligent, and have the impulse control of toddlers
https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_briefs/RB74.html#:~:text=While%20the%20capture%20and%20subsequent,benefits%20will%20outweigh%20possible%20costs.
43
Motor_Chard_7230Mar 29, 2026
+6
Are you talking about Iran or the US?
6
AvocadoKirbyMar 29, 2026
+5
Isn’t it funny, even a random listnookor understands the issue with killing everyone at the top, and yet here we are.
5
ComradeGibbonMar 29, 2026
+1
I think the goal doesn't involve negotiating with the Mullahs or the IRG,
1
Scared_Step4051Mar 30, 2026
+1
>All the IRG commanders are operating on their own
amazing you have such intricate and high level knowledge of the internal workings of the IRGC (meaning bullshit)
1
xnmylMar 29, 2026
+505
> Pezeshkian apologized for what he described as “fire at will” attacks by Iran’s armed forces on neighboring countries and instructed that such operations stop. The report said the attacks continued shortly afterward
This is why the war won't end any time soon
To prepare for the possibility of war, Iran decentralized their command structure. They may not be able to reasonably negotiate even if they want to
505
Khaganate23Mar 29, 2026
+156
I remember last week seeing videos of the police and sepah fist fighting each other (for what reasons idk), and it led a lot of Iranians believing there's a larger fracture than anyone would admit.
156
zachxyzMar 29, 2026
+139
They are recruiting 12 year old kids because their forces arent even showing up to work check points.
139
Khaganate23Mar 29, 2026
+89
I'm aware.
But listnook thinks this is new. They gave these kids guns to shoot at protesters since 2022.
89
AssassinInValhallaMar 29, 2026
+59
>I'm aware.
You might be but a vast majority of listnook seems to be on the USA/Israel bad, Iran good talking points. Assuming even half of those posts are bottled, it's still a severe lack of critical thinking by the majority
59
Khaganate23Mar 29, 2026
+18
Yeah, it's bad. Feels like I'm on the bad side of twitter or smth.
It sucks because it's very demoralizing for Iranians in and out of Iran.
18
The_GOATest1Mar 29, 2026
+9
Why do you chuckles make it seem like 2 things can’t be true at once? The US/Israel can be bad same with Iran
9
ApyanMar 29, 2026
+7
That's not what Disney told me!
7
CLGToadyMar 30, 2026
+4
Because the level of "bad" isnt even comparable.
4
teronnaMar 30, 2026
+3
Yeah but isn't that "they're bad" thing just a thing Americans say about the latest country that their government tells them to say that about?
Most Americans didn't give a shit who Saddam Hussein was until and didn't care that America sold him mustard gas he used against the Kurds.. until their government decided to tell them what to think. Then "Iraq is bad".
It's just most of us listening to Americans know to tune this stuff out know. It means nothing.
When will Americans say these same things about Saudi Arabia? When their government tells them to.
3
CLGToadyMar 30, 2026
+6
Outlets from around the world reported on the fact that Iran slaughtered ~30k protesters and it has been known for decades that Iran wants nuclear weapons. Not sure the US government has told us what to think in this case.
6
Perfect-Concern-9762Mar 30, 2026
+3
I always thought, most people are of the opionion USA should stay out of other peoples shit, and not assisnate other countries leaders, and not invade them.
USA keeps trying to be the world aggressive a****** on a power trip police, but then expects everyone else to come in and help them after they make a mess of playing world police on a power trip.
3
matengchemlordMar 29, 2026
+18
They are recruiting 12 year olds, yes. But are you sure that you are correct about WHY, they are? I say that you are jumping to the conclusion that it must be because they don’t have enough forces. But please consider that Ukraine with a population of 38 million has been fighting a far more savage war for 4 years, and they have not done anything remotely like that to increase their forces. Now you are proposing that Iran with a population of 90 million needs to do this to boost their forces?
It’s not why.. The real reason is that they know that if they make sure there are 12 year olds at checkpoints and at all kinds of military targets, that this knowledge will weigh in the minds of everybody involved in bombing Iran, they know that we care. They know we care about kids more than they do and they are using that.. it’s a hostage type situation. Just in case you don’t understand the kinds of evil people they are..
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zachxyzMar 29, 2026
+9
Oh I agree 100% that they are using them like hostages but there has been news of soldiers not showing up to duty due to the bombing of the checkpoints.
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TheKhotaMar 30, 2026
+2
Nope, you guys don't care about kids for shit. Otherwise your President would've gone the moment you double tap striked the girls school.
2
KolizuljinMar 29, 2026
+17
People act as if child warrior in the region was new.
It's not.
17
BigBoss_Mar 30, 2026
+2
Would you know where I can find the video? Or is it from the Jan protest?
2
Khaganate23Mar 30, 2026
+2
It was a couple weeks ago, and I saw it in passing.
You could probably find it on manototv most likely.
2
captainblingMar 29, 2026
+27
If they decentralize it, it also allows for a side to take sides with the U.S. ie civil war which it sounds like the U.S. is really pushing for.
27
Playful_AlelaMar 29, 2026
+32
Even still, the problem with decentralized command imo is that you still need more centralized logistics. Decentralized command is certainly an advantage to Iran in a war effort, but if it causes too much conflict with the main government, the individual commanders stop getting subsidies on their drones. The IRGC also has no plan for surviving economic collapse after the war is finished, so the actual general regime survival may be more at risk from individual commanders extending the war (imo the best way for the regime to survive is to land a negotiated settlement with economic relief)
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DirkDayZSAMar 29, 2026
+11
I don't think reassembling the pieces was ever the plan.
You don't prepare to splinter yourself into pieces that are able to act independently to ensure that your regime makes it through to the other side, you prepare for that to make yourself unappealing to a would-be attacker.
11
Reasonable-Spinach88Mar 29, 2026
+3
There isn't any central government anymore.
3
Hyack57Mar 29, 2026
+1
They need JG Wentworth.
1
tb30kMar 29, 2026
+6
The guy never had actual power . I'm guessing he's speaking for the clerics who are salty they had their power usurped.
6
DannyDOHMar 30, 2026
+2
Plus once someone does get some control they'll probably be killed in a matter of days.
2
nomercy15Mar 29, 2026
+102
Pezeshkian (President) is a memeber of the opposition and since the war has been trying to deescalate the war against the hardliners of IRGC to no avail. Once he apologized for attacking gulf countries and he received severe backlash frok different hardliners and they basically shut him up. There is defenitely some internal conflicts between the hardliners and some moderates. Hardliners want to escalate the war because they think this is the final fight and they are preparing the world for the coming of 12th Imam.
IRGC and Islamic Republic is known for its mismanagement of resources and it is very incompetent. Where do you think all of this missiles coming from? Stealing public money to fund their idiologic agenda and preparing to destroy US and Israel.
At the same time, the point to point inflation rate has hit 72~ percent this year in Iran. Even before war, when I was living there, there was not a single month that could go without increases in price of groceries, cloths, etc. Right now, it is the new year in Iran and the whole country is on hold. We have to wait for the holidays to be over to see how this war is affecting the economy.
102
nothymetocookMar 29, 2026
+19
My friend, how long did you live in Iran? Just curious. I am sorry for everything happening to your people
19
nomercy15Mar 29, 2026
+37
Thank you. 30 years.
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dawnenomeMar 29, 2026
+3
Plenty of new/old faces have been trying to throw him under a bus the last 6 months. Here's their chance.
3
HumansNeedNotApply1Mar 30, 2026
+2
My reading from Pezeshkian message is that it was mostly aimed at deescaliting the situations in Azerbaijan and Turkey.
Strategically it made no sense to say sorry to the Gulf countries who are still allowing their bases, land and air space to freely launch attacks against Iran, so i get it why he got shut up.
2
Skycourts_safety_repMar 29, 2026
+169
Really shouldn’t surprise everyone. Listnook saying that “decentralised command” ie randomly distributed leaders all over the country is somehow an effective way forward.
169
combatwombat-Mar 29, 2026
+51
Decentralized is great until you stop getting food, ammo and pay lol
51
KhamvomMar 29, 2026
+42
There’s likely *some* internal conflicts, how much is anybody’s guess and likely speculation.
The Iranian economy going into free-fall and their major cities running out of water before stuff kicked off probably doesn’t help.
42
dawnenomeMar 29, 2026
+8
IRGC vs National Army pissing matches already exist.
8
Really_McNamingtonMar 29, 2026
+55
Nobody is saying it's an effective way of running a country. The claim is that it's the best way to negate decapitation strikes. Which is true.
55
84CressidaMar 29, 2026
+62
It’s not for long term. They’ll start having conflicts of interest at some point.
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corizanoMar 29, 2026
+17
Yeah when they don’t have a common enemy bombing them everyday
17
mhornbergerMar 29, 2026
+34
Cartels have a common enemy but still balkanize and fight amongst themselves, jockeying for position, markets, and so on.
34
Greener-dayzMar 29, 2026
+91
It’s interesting that this comment section is borderline upset that the Iranian regime may be actually losing this.
91
call-the-wizardsMar 29, 2026
+65
A lot of people have gone totally mask off recently and it's been pretty eye opening. I never thought I'd see people in western countries who consider themselves part of the left (and therefore for oppressed people) holding up *Islamic Republic* flags, the sign of one of the most brutal and oppressive regimes on the planet. But here we are.
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3oclockamMar 30, 2026
+25
Pretty dumb to hold up an Iranian flag but also pretty dumb to think that this war is in line with traditional Republican values or American interests.
25
jazir55Mar 30, 2026
+14
I thought the far right was fearmongering about the "far left", but nope those people apparently actually exist and are just as crazy as they are accusing them of being, which in and of itself is actually insane.
14
call-the-wizardsMar 30, 2026
+2
horseshoe theory is real, I think someone who considers themselves on the left should deeply self reflect when they find themselves agreeing with 50% of Alex Jones' opinions
2
JscapistmMar 30, 2026
+7
They prepaid their propagandist farms I guess.
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PhilosophusFuturumMar 29, 2026
+90
Iran is losing so badly that it’s an interesting case-study in how online populations can entirely manufacture an alternative reality and pretend it’s true.
90
lateambienceMar 29, 2026
+43
When people are saying Iran will win I'd say they're not talking about it in the sense of defeating the US military, people think the US will not gain anything worth the price of escalation and that itself is a win for Iran.
43
EntuakaMar 29, 2026
+22
That would be a Pyrrhic victory
22
vegefulMar 30, 2026
+9
By middle east standard, that a major win. Even Hamas think they got the major win simply because they make Israel PR 100 times harder.
Those sacrifice are worth it for them.
9
FordMaverickFanMar 30, 2026
+18
This echo chamber of Listnook is ignoring what has happened to Iran since October 7th.
All of their proxy's are gone, their economy is now where Venezulas was where oil is getting traded for goods and now they've lashed out at neutral nations multiple times. Iran has become destabilized, lost hundreds of millions in hardware and thousands of troops.
Will the regime fall? Probably not but they aren't going to be funding Hezonallah or Hamas for awhile
18
The_GOATest1Mar 29, 2026
+5
Oh that’s almost a given. Iran winning is NOT the same as the US winning. We are about to drop boots on the ground to go after a splintering mess. We will “win” this about as much as Iraq or Afghanistan
5
Johnny-UnitasMar 30, 2026
+5
It will be worse in both troops lost and treasure spent.
5
jujutsu-die-senMar 29, 2026
+33
Iran losing =|= The US and Israel winning, that's what people are responding to.
33
Kellar21Mar 29, 2026
+19
It's very difficult to separate propaganda from actual news.
Atm I am just taking the view of considering extreme news propaganda and more reasonable, unimportant stuff to be real.
But both sides lie all the time. US said they blew up 90% of Iran's missile launchers yet they continue hitting countries, then I read somewhere they destroyed around a 1/3 and that sounds much more believable, though it's probably more.
They hit literal thousands of targets, used like a year's supply of Tomahawk missiles in like, two weeks, and have/had two carrier groups plus IAF doing overtime in bombing the c*** out of places. Yet we also get news saying Iran continues firing, so stand to reason they still have more than a few launchers left at least.
19
Settra_RulezMar 29, 2026
+11
I believe the claim has been 90% of launchers were destroyed and 1/3 of overall missile stockpiles, which can both be true and don’t preclude Iranian retaliation.
11
Tr0janSwordMar 30, 2026
+3
Hegseth can’t read so he conflates all the statistics.
The US is saying the daily fire rate of missiles has declined 90% since the war started. That is true, Iran is firing 20-25 missiles per day now.
The 1/3rd number is the missiles in storage (800 missiles) the US has taken out. Based on pre-war estimates, Iran is nearly out of missiles as they’ve fired 1600.
US has eliminated ~70% of Iran’s 470 BM launchers.
3
progbuckMar 29, 2026
+2
There's more than two sides.
2
AvocadoKirbyMar 29, 2026
+20
Iran may be losing but that doesn’t mean the Hormuz Strait is going to get opened anytime soon. They’ll drag the entire world economy down with them the more and more they, in a conventional sense, lose.
I’m not upset Iran is losing, I’m upset that the “lost” Iran is going to end up being an even worse version of the pre-war Iran. A lost Iran is not a conquered Iran, it’s a more hardened Iran that believes less in diplomacy and more in asymmetric and economic warfare.
20
A-Grey-WorldMar 29, 2026
+14
Yeah, it's crazy how many people on here take expressing any negative views about this war or the US starting it as a "love" for Iran, or a belief that Iran will "win" in the way they seem to think. Iran can f*** things up in the wider region and even global economy without a stable government, and with horrible civilian conditions for it's people etc (the government doesn't give a shit). Iran "winning" this war is the US getting bored with the cost without achieving its major objectives which... well, it doesn't appear to have any. And Trump gets bored easily.
14
The_GOATest1Mar 29, 2026
+5
That’s because your thinkies work. We are fighting someone who quite literally has nothing to lose.
5
TheUnobserveredMar 30, 2026
+6
No, they definitely have a lot to lose. The Iranian government isn’t looking at it right now for VERY obvious reasons.
6
treesandcigarettesMar 30, 2026
+4
their economy is like 50+% oil and I can assure you that things are bought and sold in Iran just like anywhere else. losing this industry will hurt them more than foreigners
4
Meta2048Mar 30, 2026
+3
Iran is losing, but that was never really in doubt. It's more a question of how much it will cost the US to win, and what "winning" actually looks like if/when the US leaves the region.
3
call-the-wizardsMar 29, 2026
+48
Oh boy you're going to get downvoted here for saying this
48
Khaganate23Mar 29, 2026
+12
Bots eating well tonight
12
NowayisthatwayMar 29, 2026
+104
But.. but.. listnook told me Iran is winning saar, Iran's leadership just re-shuffled their ranks.
Listnook is a f&c|
104
DavyyJMar 29, 2026
+19
It’s not that Iran is winning it’s that everyone is losing. Also you can swear on here
19
Insurance-RoundMar 30, 2026
+6
You really think this is a zero sum game? Really?
6
graviousishpspongeMar 29, 2026
+14
Wait for news from indepedent sources. Anyone immediately commenting its so over or we're so back should be ignored if the thread article is Iranian, US or Israeli.
14
Footballking420Mar 29, 2026
+15
What's your point, have you only just realised that "winning" this conflict is not black and white? Think you've only got yourself to blame, not Listnook
15
dawnenomeMar 29, 2026
+2
Not for everyone, you're using it wrong.
2
doubledigitkyuMar 29, 2026
+57
They’ve crossed the point of no return with their neighbors and that has huge long-term impact.
Trump’s term ends, someone more reasonable extends some olive branches to Europe and Asia, and you have Obama 2009 all over again and things largely return to normal with some deep cracks to address.
Iran can’t “new President” itself out of the Gulf States pushing the US and Israel to just end their regime.
57
Every_Court_1394Mar 29, 2026
+51
That's optimistic. Trump is the symptom, it's the American electorate that's the disease.
51
nostrademonsMar 29, 2026
+14
Though that itself is symptomatic of the divides.
About 1/4 of the country supports Trump, 1/4 of the country is dead set against him, 1/4 of the country hates both options and doesn’t vote, and 1/4 of the country is too young to vote. Small shifts in how much of the 3rd group can be enticed to come out to the polls, or in which direction the approximately 22% of the fourth group that enters the electorate each cycle goes, can have a big effect on eventual power structures.
(This itself may indicate a problem with the American electoral system - as George Washington noted, stability and moderation are importance properties in a political system and were apparently have neither these days.)
14
mhornbergerMar 29, 2026
+19
I'd only consider the electorate. A good percentage may not "hate" both sides, but they think it's all dumb, don't see the point, etc. George Carlin was telling us in the 1990s that "if voting mattered, they wouldn't let you do it." And people still think of *him* as a veritable sage.
But those who don't care, even if they do become engaged, may just be drawn in by memes, vibes, etc. Trump famously brought in formerly low-engagement voters, who responded to his swagger, his outsider image, on top of them mistaking his Apprentice show for being reality.
19
Billy1121Mar 29, 2026
+10
And then when you analyze, it is about 230,000 voters in key electoral college states that gave Trump the win over Harris in 2024. So a lot of those 1/4ths do not matter if they are not located in Michigan, Wisconsin, or Pennsylvania
10
ModoZMar 29, 2026
+9
> About 1/4 of the country supports Trump
Trump still has a 40% approval rate in the US despite everything that's happening now. That's a broad base of support if you ask me.
9
bunker931Mar 29, 2026
+9
yup. Trump is won by popular vote too. American asked for this.
9
BluestainedMar 29, 2026
+6
No buddy. Europe is not forgiving the US for acting like a c*** for the 4 year term.
The irony of you saying they can’t “New President “ themselves put of it when that’s exactly what you expect of Europe and Asias attitude to the US is…a choice.
6
Last_Fix_9764Mar 29, 2026
+4
Yeah wtf lol.
All the US has signaled to the entire world is “even if there’s an Obama on 2008 nobody can predict if there will be a Trump in 2016… and 2024.”
Obama got the once in a life time nuclear deal with Iran secured. Then Trump comes out of nowhere and stomps all over it. 10 years later this maniac goes to war with them.
If you’re UK, France, Germany, etc. you basically learned in the last 2 decades the US seriously cannot be trusted.
Also they threatened to invade f****** Greenland.
4
Lazy_Competition967Mar 29, 2026
+4
So tldr: Iran can’t ’new president’ but US can. Such a dumb take. Jesus. No wonder Trump got two terms
4
Cay-RoMar 30, 2026
+4
Surely Ynet would be honest and unbiased about its reporting on this
4
BadHombreSinNombreMar 29, 2026
+8
For a country that’s winning this war they sure are losing at winning. Or winning at losing? Amidst all the propaganda I truly have no idea if this is going well or badly for them, others, or both. The only news of the war I can trust is the gas prices I see every day.
8
Martian13Mar 29, 2026
+2
Emerge? Ok.
2
BetSquare7190Mar 29, 2026
+5
Even if there are dissenting voices in the regime, it doesn't mean they will be able to impose their views. There are so few informations coming out of Iran that it's impossible to predict. An ending in the style of Mussolini or Gaddafi would however be pleasant.
5
PtrDanMar 29, 2026
+7
You are looking at it from the wrong angle. What matters is that the Iran is divided, which is the worst problem a country at war can have.
7
Jaded_Chemical646Mar 29, 2026
+4
Ill wait until this is reported by someone other than an Israeli media group
4
PugsAndHugs95Mar 29, 2026
+3
No one can really know the going on’s in a nation without internet currently, and even the source of this is Israeli. Propaganda works both ways and we don’t likely have too much insight until 20-40 years from now.
129 Comments