[New post can be found here](/r/worldnews/comments/1s5q7ga/rworldnews_live_thread_russian_invasion_of/)
1
jeremy9931Mar 28, 2026
+16
Flamingos may have made a reappearance during the massive ongoing drone attack. Russians reported a missile strike in Chapaevsk and of potential missiles incoming to Urdmutia.
https://xcancel.com/notwoofers/status/2037724332554600623?s=46&t=atIpeQGVIhaOOydeLGsHZw
16
TurbulentRadish8113Mar 27, 2026
+37
> Satellite imagery of the Russian under-construction Project 23550 ice-class patrol ship "Purga" which went partially under water after the recent Ukrainian attack on the port of Vyborg
Looks like it tipped over sideways.
Wiki says 4 were ordered in 2016 and only one was active last they reported, so it's pretty new.
https://bsky.app/profile/specialkhersoncat.bsky.social/post/3mi33qyfons25
37
Osiris32Mar 28, 2026
+10
It's tired and leaned over to take a nap!
10
TurbulentRadish8113Mar 27, 2026
+26
> Russia: “Novak instructed the Ministry of Energy to prepare a document banning gasoline exports from April 1.”
> As far as I can tell, the export ban on gasoline had only been lifted for producers (refineries), so this would mean that the total ban would be back in place.
> Per usual, don’t put too much emphasis on dates because they will apply or remove bans when they want to.
https://bsky.app/profile/prune602.bsky.social/post/3mi2q3oboms2v
26
Impossible-Bus1Mar 27, 2026
+19
The world uses 102 million barrels a day and Russia only exports 110,000 a day. So this is 0.1% of world usage, not even worth mentioning.
19
TurbulentRadish8113Mar 27, 2026
+13
Great context, it's a small thing globally. The numbers are still worth reporting IMO though.
- it's 110k barrels/day after other losses, partial bans etc. At current prices that's revenue of $14m/day or ~$5.2bn/year
- caps and sanctions affect Russian oil products less than crude. Rough numbers I found suggest added value Vs crude would be a run rate of ~$2bn/year for russia
- still a small fraction of export value, but Russia is desperate for earnings and they installed the ban? Why would they do that? The most likely thing seems to be concern over refinery shortages, but the fact it's only 110k bbl/day suggests there's a limit to how much a ban would help domestically.
Overall I think it's a good sign if Russia bans gasoline/petrol exports. And I think 100m is closer to crude demand, not petrol traded?
13
TurbulentRadish8113Mar 27, 2026
+21
> ESA’s Copernicus Sentinel has a clear picture of Sierra Leone flagged shadow fleet tanker Altura, near the BlackSea entrance of Bosphorus. Coast Guard & Coastal Safety tugs-technical teams & divers stabilized the tanker & there is no marine pollution. To the west, salvage & rescues vessel Nene Hatun
https://bsky.app/profile/yoruk.bsky.social/post/3mi2qloqcic2b
21
UNITED24MediaMar 27, 2026
+51
Drones targeted Russia’s Leningrad region for the third night in a row, with strikes reportedly hitting key oil export ports in Ust-Luga and Primorsk, according to monitoring Telegram channels CyberBoroshno and Exilenova+.
The channels claimed that the overnight operation resulted in a “repeat simultaneous strike” on both facilities.
[Read more](https://united24media.com/latest-news/drones-strike-russian-oil-ports-in-leningrad-region-for-third-night-in-a-row-17344)
51
Haunting-Building237Mar 27, 2026
+18
chornobaivka vibes.
russians keep putting infrastructure in the same spot as last time, ukraine keeps blowing it up. how many times was it last time? 30 days in a row?
18
jdorjeMar 28, 2026
+4
Similar vibes but I don't think this can be comparable. The Kherson airport was flying in new material and it it kept getting blown up in transit. But enough got through they didn't really care. This is, I assume, more like systematic dismantling of large scale oil infrastructure. Will the end result be these facilities shut down for the duration of war?
Can Ukraine do this to other fossil fuel export facilities? Anything in eastern russia is very far away. But fossil fuels are, well, fuel... it doesn't necessarily take much.
4
TurbulentRadish8113Mar 27, 2026
+4
I hope there are enough hits for a sequel to the Chornobaivka song.
4
KriosXVIIMar 27, 2026
+16
"I'll fuckin do it again"
16
hornswoggled111Mar 27, 2026
+23
Wonderful. And they were already pretty fucked up. This is such a punch in the Russian stomach.
23
AedeusMar 27, 2026
+29
Their AA assets have got to be severely depleted or stretched wildly thin.
Third night in a row and the most AA we've seen so far is from small arms fire.
29
neonpurplestarMar 27, 2026
+27
Russian large metallurgical and coal mining company Mechel continues to show poor results, inability to deal with its debt burden and signs that it might be the canary in the coal mine for these two industries.
The net debt to EBITDA ratio of Russian mining and metallurgical company Mechel for 2025 rose to 36 from the 4,6 ratio in 2024 and the 8,6 ratio from June 2025. This is primarily linked to the company's EBITDA decreasing due to low prices to 7,7 billion rubles for 2025.
The company's net debt for 2025 rose by 8% to 279,3 billion rubles which is the highest since 2020 when it was 326 billion rubles. However due to the debt to EBITDA ratio the company currently has probably the highest debt burden in its history.
In 2015 when the company's debt was 487 billion rubles the debt to EBITDA ratio was 11. In 2025 the company also experienced a significant reduction in revenue which fell by 26% to 287 billion rubles. Net loss doubled to 78,55 billion rubles.
The operating loss was 33,17 billion rubles vs a profit of 14,15 billion rubles in 2024. According to the company the main problem was the decline in demand for coal and steel which led to a decrease in the sales prices and volumes of the company.
full thread:
[https://bsky.app/profile/delfoo.bsky.social/post/3mhyjqivjcc23](https://bsky.app/profile/delfoo.bsky.social/post/3mhyjqivjcc23)
[https://skywriter.blue/@delfoo.bsky.social/3mhyjqivjcc23](https://skywriter.blue/@delfoo.bsky.social/3mhyjqivjcc23) (easier to read)
27
neonpurplestarMar 27, 2026
+44
>High quality satellite pictures obtained by TG channel Dnipro Osint show the damage at the oil terminal in Ust Luga, Russia.
One oil loading dock was completely destroyed (Picture #2). Another one was heavily damaged (Picture #4).
The Ukrainian UAVs were precisely hitting the most vulnerable parts of an oil terminal. Furthermore, some oil tanks show scorch marks.
[https://bsky.app/profile/tendar.bsky.social/post/3mi2hb23fs22b](https://bsky.app/profile/tendar.bsky.social/post/3mi2hb23fs22b)
44
TurbulentRadish8113Mar 27, 2026
+16
Looks like Ust Luga has three pipes from the depots that run to the berths. Each pipe then splits into 2 or 3 outlets, to a total of 7 shipping berths/docks?
16
Identita_NascostaMar 27, 2026
+7
"We give you the Interceptor Drones to kill the Shaed/Geran and you tell us how to kill a loading dock for oil. Deal, my Saudi/Qatar friends?"
7
1-randomoniumMar 27, 2026
+50
[Trump urges Hungarians to vote for Orban, calls him 'true friend, fighter, and w*****'](https://kyivindependent.com/trump-urges-hungarians-to-vote-for-orban-calls-him-true-friend-fighter-and-w*****/)
As of yet no one in the Trump administration has commented on the alleged treason of Orban's Foreign Minister.
50
Lonely-Abalone-5104Mar 28, 2026
+6
Tell me you’re a Russian asset without telling me
6
YF422Mar 27, 2026
+30
Let's us hope the reverse Midas touch kicks in and turns Orcbans entire campaign to utter shit and he loses hard. Many are hoping he loses but if Magyar can secure a supermajority that little Vatnik Toad is going to run for the hills knowing the consequences coming his way.
30
gbs5009Mar 27, 2026
+27
I'll never understand, aside from Russian influence, **why** the republicans think Hungary is so great.
Like, if you didn't know about Russian sock puppetry, how do you even explain this?
27
Playful_AlelaMar 28, 2026
+6
They like disrupting the EU
6
Legio-XMar 27, 2026
+34
>I'll never understand, aside from Russian influence, why the republicans think Hungary is so great.
Because that’s the kind of society they want to build: a pseudo-democracy where everything is slanted in their favor and they can loot the state at will.
34
TurbulentRadish8113Mar 27, 2026
+13
I think this is it.
Republican actions and marketing re:Europe and other countries makes sense if you assume they hate democracy and want to install a corrupt oligarchy under republican one-party rule.
13
1-randomoniumMar 27, 2026
+17
> I'll never understand, aside from Russian influence, why the republicans think Hungary is so great.
>
>
Because Trump does.
If he soured on Hungary tomorrow, so would they. For example, if Peter Magyar wins and doesn't pander to Trump as Orban did.
17
gbs5009Mar 27, 2026
+9
> Because Trump does.
Riiiight, but what's the ostensible reason? Y'know, besides him and Manafort having a fun boy's night out w/ Hungarian prostitutes or whatever.
9
GabroviMar 27, 2026
+19
Any friend of Trump’s is an enemy of decent people everywhere.
19
unpanchoMar 27, 2026
+35
New thread from ChrisO\_Wiki
1/ Claims by pro-Russians that Ukrainian drone attacks on Russian Baltic ports went via Poland and the Baltic states have been met with scepticism by warblogger 'Fighterbomber'. If that's so, why has Russia not protested to those states?, he asks. ⬇️
[https://bsky.app/profile/chriso-wiki.bsky.social/post/3mhztkobdev2g](https://bsky.app/profile/chriso-wiki.bsky.social/post/3mhztkobdev2g)
[https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/2037466294904144024.html](https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/2037466294904144024.html)
35
Identita_NascostaMar 27, 2026
+9
"They went via Kaliningrad." /s
9
Fuck_auto_tabsMar 27, 2026
+23
Even if they did wouldn’t this just be the same as Russia using Belarusian airspace for attacks?
23
Opaque_CypherMar 27, 2026
+15
Effectively yes - but Russia loves saber-rattling and threatening nuclear war, so you would expect them to come out with some bombastic statements if that did occur.
15
TurbulentRadish8113Mar 27, 2026
+30
> Soniashnyk posted video of a Russian S-300 launcher being hit while firing at Kharkiv. The clip shows a kamikaze drone strike and an S-300 cold launch, where the missile is ejected before the engine ignites in the air.
Video doesn't show the system getting hit, but at least Ukraine should know where it was and could maybe send another drone.
https://bsky.app/profile/wartranslated.bsky.social/post/3mi2gmsuzek2h
30
OrangeBird077Mar 27, 2026
+18
I’m surprised Russia is still wasting AA systems firing as artillery like that. They were doing this way back when they failed to siege Kharkiv and it was wasteful back then too.
18
KriosXVIIMar 27, 2026
+11
The soviet union made a metric fuckton of GBAA and S-300 missiles are pretty f****** big, making them decent improvised ballistic missiles, they're bigger than ATACMS.
11
AedeusMar 27, 2026
+12
I would imagine that it's because they've few other long range options.
12
NurnmurmerMar 27, 2026
+45
**The estimated total russian war losses from 24.02.22 to 27.03.26 inclusive are as follows****:**
* personnel - approximately 1 293 170 (+1 000) persons.
* tanks ‒ 11 808 (+1);
* armored fighting vehicles ‒ 24 287 (+9);
* special equipment ‒ 4 100;
* vehicles and fuel tanks ‒ 85 569 (+217).
* artillery systems ‒ 38 863 (+68);
* MLRS ‒ 1 700 (+2);
* air defense assets ‒ 1 337.
* aircraft ‒ 435;
* helicopters ‒ 350;
* UAVs (operational-tactical level) ‒ 200 611 (+2 222);
* cruise missiles ‒ 4 491.
* warships and boats ‒ 33;
* submarines ‒ 2.
Source [https://mod.gov.ua/en/news/total-russian-combat-losses-in-ukraine-as-of-march-27-2026](https://mod.gov.ua/en/news/total-russian-combat-losses-in-ukraine-as-of-march-27-2026)
Russia grows weaker every day. Slava Ukraini!
45
QuentinMagicianMar 28, 2026
+3
Looking at these numbers for so long, I wonder what the graph looks of current Russian inventory of, say, tanks, vs tanks destroyed. Is 1 a higher % than 10 a year ago? Or is it tactics, logistics destruction, something else I have no idea of
3
Superb-Nectarine-645Mar 28, 2026
+1
The ratio that surprises me is tanks:people lost.
Today, 1:1000
Are the front lines that under supplied?
Ai suggests:The army-wide ratio of active-duty soldiers to operational tanks in the U.S. Army is approximately 172:1.
1
TurbulentRadish8113Mar 27, 2026
+31
First claim of an actual amount being taken from russian oligarchs for the war.
> The Bell says Putin told Russian oligarchs at a closed meeting to “voluntarily” chip in for the war budget. It claims oligarch and senator Suleiman Kerimov pledged 100 billion rubles into the state budget for the war. The Kremlin later denied Putin asked for money, Peskov said.
https://bsky.app/profile/wartranslated.bsky.social/post/3mhzx7ab3z22h
31
TurbulentRadish8113Mar 27, 2026
+20
My rough estimate, before the Trump-Iran war caused price spikes, was that they were likely to be at least 6tr rub short this year.
That's including the real-terms cut to war spending announced in the budget law, but before they did any emergency additional cuts. They were talking about 10% emergency austerity but it seems Trump's decision to spike fuel prices has put that on the back burner.
This is 6tr rub in addition to what they already planned. For which they are issuing about 100bn rub per week in new debt.
20
TurbulentRadish8113Mar 27, 2026
+41
> Two massive smoke trails rise from the burning Russian Baltic oil export ports of Primorsk and Ust-Luga.
https://bsky.app/profile/specialkhersoncat.bsky.social/post/3mhzxtn2osk2y
41
TurbulentRadish8113Mar 27, 2026
+31
Keep up the attacks Ukraine!
I've read comments for years saying stuff like "Ukraine says they keep hitting russian air defence, when will this have an effect?"
There isn't an official Russian announcement saying "ok our air defence is done".
It's now degraded so badly that Ukraine flies drones 600+ miles through Russia into some of their most important industrial infrastructure two nights in a row.
There's a lot of black-and-white thinking & commentary.
31
hornswoggled111Mar 27, 2026
+9
And to be able to do it several nights in a row.
9
Think_Discipline_90Mar 27, 2026
+17
According the Anders Puck Nielsen, these were the last two of three major ports used for oil exports. The previous one in the black sea struck previously. And they'll keep at it.
17
TurbulentRadish8113Mar 27, 2026
+12
I plan to look up numbers but my understanding is that the three major crude oil ports are Primorsk (hit now), Novorossiysk (hit before but seemingly running now) and Kozmino (far east). Contract prices at these ports are used to set "official" russian oil prices for tax purposes.
There are also arctic exports from Murmansk and other ports. Some do crude, others do more oil products (e.g. Ust-Luga) and/or LNG.
These hits are really good and impressive, I hope to see more 😊
12
TurbulentRadish8113Mar 27, 2026
+31
> Ukraine’s small-scale air defense destroyed over 10,000 fixed-wing UAVs in February using interceptor drones, including Shahed and Gerbera types, the Defense Ministry said. The figure marks a record in drone-on-drone interception
The scale is astonishing. The UK says it's proving 2k octopus interceptors per month. The needs are only likely to get bigger as factories ramp up.
https://bsky.app/profile/noelreports.com/post/3mi24cd4t5k2x
31
TurbulentRadish8113Mar 27, 2026
+44
Ukrainian Officer Alex
> On most fronts, the enemy is experiencing a shortage of armored vehicles. In the area of responsibility of many brigades, they haven't seen tanks and armored personnel carriers during assault operations since last year, as their reserves have significantly decreased. + Logistics are quite problematic, so it's not easy for them to move armor to the front line, and it might not even arrive in time for the assault.
https://t . me/officer_33/6785
44
QuentinMagicianMar 28, 2026
+2
So odd, I asked about this at the number listing above
2
TurbulentRadish8113Mar 27, 2026
+33
More from same source:
> 80-90% of soldiers are eliminated before they have a chance to engage in combat.
> Even Russian war correspondents are noticing an unpleasant trend on the battlefield regarding personnel losses due to modern warfare conditions and the complete lack of planning and preparation for personnel)
> The times have passed when most losses on both sides were from artillery. Now it's exclusively a component of UAVs and losses are currently mainly due to being hit while moving on logistical routes to the front line, the incompetence of infantry near the contact line, and the enemy's assault actions rounding out the top three.
33
hornswoggled111Mar 27, 2026
+9
I imagine the ratio is shifting even further in the defenders favor. That is mostly Russians dying. Troops and equipment wasted. While Ukrainians build strength and experienced troops.
9
TurbulentRadish8113Mar 27, 2026
+11
I really don't know about that.
Russian operational drone groups have been strongly complimented by the same Ukrainian sources I post. Logistics are under constant threat and there aren't enough mesh tunnels etc.
Ukraine has a huge AWOL problem and a legacy of years of casualties.
I hope you're right and Ukraine has sufficiently lowered their casualties, but I don't think it's certain. For westerners like me, IMO the best thing we can do is push for more aid, and for more specific types of aid (e.g. more deep strike weapons). That will save Ukrainian lives and that is guaranteed to help.
11
AedeusMar 27, 2026
+12
> Even Russian war correspondents are noticing an unpleasant trend on the battlefield regarding personnel losses due to modern warfare conditions and the complete lack of planning and preparation for personnel)
The Kremlins inability to keep this growing sentiment contained is a big reason why they're locking down Telegram
12
Soundwave_13Mar 27, 2026
+17
Slava Ukraine 🇺🇦
17
murphystrugglesMar 27, 2026
+22
Russian FPV drone [attacks civilians evacuating from Kupiansk](https://gwaramedia.com/en/russian-fpv-drone-attacks-civilians-evacuating-from-kupiansk-injuring-man/?utm_source=listnook&utm_medium=rd_post&utm_campaign=news_article), injuring man
22
TurbulentRadish8113Mar 27, 2026
+28
> Ukrainian drone operators of the 414th Magyar's Birds Brigade destroyed a Russian Tor surface-to-air missile system in the Luhansk region.
Looks like definite hits. There's a moving radar dish but no clear shot of a secondary explosion of AA ammo.
https://bsky.app/profile/antongerashchenko.bsky.social/post/3mi2anv7tgc2p
28
ShockkdiamondssMar 27, 2026
+28
[https://understandingwar.org/research/russia-ukraine/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-march-25-2026/](https://understandingwar.org/research/russia-ukraine/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-march-25-2026/)
The Kremlin’s efforts to close the Russian open internet are degrading the effectiveness of Russian air raid warning systems in border regions. Belgorod Oblast Governor Vyacheslav Gladkov stated on March 23 that Belgorod Oblast residents cannot set up push notifications about missile threats through the Russian state-controlled messenger Max.\[25\] Gladkov noted that this is one of the “most pressing” issues troubling the entire border region, as Russia’s entire missile and drone alert system is built around push notifications, likely referring to notification functions available on other messaging platforms like Telegram.
28
TurbulentRadish8113Mar 27, 2026
+24
Long deepstate post says Russia has agreed to let Kenyans tricked into joining the war return home. Kenya reported 1,000 Kenyans were sent and another report found 300 were tricked to the front.
> 🛑89 — directly on the frontline; 🛑39 — hospitalized; 🛑28 — disappeared without a trace; 🛑at least 1 — died.
> 🔵 On March 22, the Kenyan government announced an amnesty for all who illegally fought on the side of Russia and will return home. As of this date: 44 Kenyans have returned, 160 are still in the combat zone, 38 are in hospitals in Russia.
https://t . me/DeepStateUA/23341
24
Soundwave_13Mar 27, 2026
+20
That means they will now shadow recruit elsewhere since they got caught. We all know Russia isn’t going to stop their ways just because this one got caught
20
TurbulentRadish8113Mar 27, 2026
+15
Absolutely.
The positive IMO is they probably started with the easiest. Losing some of the easier sources is great, now they have to do more expensive/difficult things and maybe governments will be on the lookout.
15
Salt-Analysis1319Mar 27, 2026
+17
just in terms of unit losses I'm estimating it costs Russia about $100M to $300M per day. It depends heavily on how much you think a human life should cost. If you factor in the lifetime economic benefit of a healthy young man, it could be much higher.
That is not factoring daily losses to infrastructure and the opportunity cost of those losses + repairs. And people fleeing the country, population going down, etc.
It's mind numbing they've been able to sustain these losses for so long.
17
oneshot99210Mar 27, 2026
+12
There was a time, at the beginning of *this* phase of the conflict (ie, 2022) that I thought that the deaths and permanent disabilities of people in their prime of productive contribution to society would bring about a collapse of this effort.
Sadly, I think the most devastating impacts are very long term. The (estimated) 1.2 million casualties after 4 years is less than 2% of the total population. Yes, I know that the pool is:
-Almost all men
-MOSTLY 18-50 (but is there any upper limit now?)
-MOSTLY able-bodied (obviously no longer a limiting factor)
It used to be, that factors like: time to train, loss of labor to factories and especially food production, etc would be a factor, but with their economy in a tailspin, with obligations to pensioners being eroded, I now think that Putin will willingly sacrifice any future concerns in order to 'win'.
That makes the labor pool sufficient for more than a decade.
So financial, systemic collapse might put an end to this, but they seem to have some brilliant minds working near miracles to stave off that. I assume that putting off collapse only makes the cliff sharper, and the fall much worse when it happens.
12
RelativeAd323Mar 28, 2026
+1
Well they've been clearing prisons across Russia and Belarus, tricking international fighters, paying North Koreans and are now heavily recruiting college drop outs.
There is a cost to all of this that can't be measured in rubles or simply lives lost.
1
hornswoggled111Mar 27, 2026
+6
Those clever folk are going to struggle to make a difference with communications being largely shut down. The Russian state and Putin protecting itself by taking this action looks like collapse to me.
6
GabroviMar 27, 2026
+12
What about the 5m Russians who fled the country at the prospect of war/draft? Many are gone for good.
12
oneshot99210Mar 27, 2026
+8
Good point.
I didn't mention that, but that is perhaps the biggest single drain indeed. Have to figure they are more motivated, intelligent and potentially productive than average.
8
goodoldgrimMar 27, 2026
+10
An unknown but probably significant percentage of Russian dead are totally unfit soldiers dragged to the war by recruiters who care about nothing other than their quotas (and sometimes stealing the signup bonus from the soldier). It's essentially just graft.
They get brought in and sent on a one way trip to absorb some drones, while the experienced soldiers hide and try to figure out where the drones are launched from.
Signup numbers and casualties remain high, but actual impact on the war and the economy is unknowable. For a lot of these the cost might be the signup bonus and the benefit (to Russia) might be not having to deal with the person back home.
10
oneshot99210Mar 27, 2026
+4
That's a good point, and might bias those being lost to war, to those who were least productive to society in the first place, thus reducing the impact that one would get just from the numbers alone.
Another way to say basically the same thing, is to view each death as a savings to the pension system.
To some small extent, all those bonus payments are inflationary in the short, both directly, and to the extent that they reduce the workforce/productivity.
4
TurbulentRadish8113Mar 27, 2026
+10
Mediazona says the most common age range of russian dead crept up to 45-50.
Most are still under 50, but they're disposing of people they see as less valuable where possible.
This was going to happen regardless. Ukraine has to chew through the prisoners, lower income Russians and drunks before the costs to Russia should truly ramp up.
It's echoed in the price Russia pays per recruit. It's still rising.
10
blearghhh_twoMar 27, 2026
+10
Also consider that if you're a sociopath, the thought of getting rid of older people before the state has to pay pensions and benefits (do they exist even in Russia?) is a benefit.
10
TurbulentRadish8113Mar 27, 2026
+7
Absolutely.
There are pensions in Russia, I've read that it's a HUGE part of Putin's deal with Russians. To oversimplify: they tolerate his dictatorship in exchange for things like pensions.
The pensions are funded by employer payroll taxes plus federal top ups.
If you kill pensioners, you don't affect the payroll taxes but you do cut expenses. Because federal funds "fill the gap", every single dead old russian saves funds from the federal budget.
COVID was estimated to kill ~1.2 million Russians (the estimate is very good IMO) and most of them would have been pension age by now. Those deaths were good for Russia's longer-term federal budget balance.
7
oneshot99210Mar 27, 2026
+8
Taking in what you added, along with a quick check of life expectancy for:
Male, at birth: 68
Male, at age 50: 73
These are national numbers, and I can only take them at face value. I would also speculate on two biases: recruits are heavily from the poorest and least economic regions, AND, life expectancy in those regions is probably below national average.
So, someone age 50 on the front line and using the national average is losing up to 23 years of life expectancy, a significant portion of that would have been working years (? a guess on my part). Maybe 20% of their productive years lost. At this point, that seems pretty significant.
Counter argument though; assuming the 1.3 million casualties is accurate, over 4 years that's 325,000 per year. Against a male population of recruitable age of at least 30,000,000, they won't run out of human fodder any time soon.
On the face of it, that's a 1% drop in workforce annually, and cumulative. Up to 4% so far and counting.
Countered by young men entering into the workforce, and one would suppose more women joining or staying in the workforce longer.
It doesn't seem like a major factor in the short term.
Now, all of this is just off the top of my head. I would be very interested in hearing any commentary from anyone with better data, and especially with an economic background. Bombs away on the thoughts expressed here. Educate me.
8
TurbulentRadish8113Mar 27, 2026
+6
Russia is raising pension age, no new pensioners last year but this year there will be. Social insurance pension age is 64 for men and 59 for women now.
If working age is 18 until state retirement age, then last year Russia gained ~1.6m working age people from aging alone but this year it'll be zero. War and other deaths will eat away at that chunk.
The way I see it is that what matters more is the *flow* of troops. Russia won't run out of men. But losses can exceed recruitment, which wrecks an army's fighting ability. When the army fighting on would mean further losses and your economy is crashing, countries tend to negotiate.
6
Electrical-Lab-9593Mar 27, 2026
+9
these things are so hard to calculate, losing percentages of populations unless replaced also affects other things like house prices even.
9
troglydotMar 27, 2026
+43
The damage done to Kirishi refinery yesterday:
>The results of the damage to one of Russia's largest refineries have been clarified - important installations of the Kirishi plant have been damaged.
>According to updated information, damage to the primary oil processing installations ELOU-AVT-2 and ELOU-AVT-6, as well as oil bitumen production facilities, hydrogen purification and gas fractionation units has been confirmed.
https://t . me/GeneralStaffZSU/36561
43
troglydotMar 27, 2026
+54
Ust-Luga workers are reportedly rioting following drone strikes.
>Russian resources are spreading a video purporting to show a riot at the Ust-Luga port tonight.
>Workers, most of whom are migrants, were not allowed to start their shifts - and chaos ensued. A conflict with the terminal's security staff broke out, during which a security vehicle plowed straight into the crowd.
>Against the backdrop of arrivals at the ports and general chaos, it's quite a spectacle to watch.
https://t . me/exilenova_plus/18007
>Take note. It needs checking.
>We need to find a location.
https://t . me/exilenova_plus/18008
> It's not a fake, we've got the full version. It'll be here soon.
https://t . me/exilenova_plus/18010
Bsky link to video:
https://bsky.app/profile/maks23.bsky.social/post/3mhzplsezzk2u
54
AwesomeFamaMar 27, 2026
+17
So they want to work but are not allowed (presumably due to safety reasons?) and that is why they are rioting?
17
BalVal1Mar 27, 2026
+14
Safety? Migrant workers in Russia, usually from the "-stan" countries, work in appalling conditions to send some money back home and many have absolutely nothing to lose. It's not wise at all to push them to the breaking point (no pay).
14
Electrical-Lab-9593Mar 27, 2026
+30
most likely the migrant workers are not getting paid when site is shut, but most probably being made to pay rent on their digs !
30
OldRepresentative578Mar 27, 2026
+27
> Something new. Residents of Kharkiv reported seeing downed drones deploying parachutes today.
Video at https://bsky.app/profile/wartranslated.bsky.social/post/3mhyh5smwxk2w
27
AwesomeFamaMar 27, 2026
+27
Not sure who it is, but someone replied with a possible explanation:
>It is quite normal that military recon drones which are intented to be recovered after the mission have a parachute to land intact. Sometimes when they are shot down the parachute deploys accidentally. So these were not attack drones, but recon drones. Kharkiv is close enough for recon.
https://bsky.app/profile/juhapennanen.bsky.social/post/3mhyiwrpmu22n
27
OldRepresentative578Mar 27, 2026
+10
Thanks. That sounds plausible.
10
Jay_CDMar 27, 2026
+59
Russia has lost 1,000 soldiers killed and wounded and 68 artillery systems over the past day.
**Source:** [Russian losses over past day: 1,000 soldiers killed and wounded | Ukrainska Pravda](https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2026/03/27/8027392/)
**Details:** The total combat losses of the Russian forces between 24 February 2022 and 27 March 2026 are estimated to be as follows \[figures in parentheses represent the latest losses – ed.\]:
* approximately 1,293,170 **(+1,000)** military personnel
* 11,808 **(+1)** tanks
* 24,287 **(+9)** armoured combat vehicles
* 38,863 **(+68)** artillery systems
* 1,700 **(+2)** multiple-launch rocket systems
* 1,337 (+0) air defence systems
* 435 (+0) fixed-wing aircraft
* 350 (+0) helicopters
* 200,611 **(+2,222)** operational-tactical UAVs
* 4,491 (+0) cruise missiles
* 33 (+0) ships/boats
* 2 (+0) submarines
* 85,569 **(+217)** vehicles and fuel tankers
* 4,100 (+0) special vehicles and other equipment.
The information is being confirmed.
59
markbravo0312Mar 27, 2026
+6
Isn’t there a +1 missing in helicopters for the KA-52 that was shot down?
6
SimonArgeadMar 27, 2026
+13
68 artillery pieces. Yummy.
13
Salt-Analysis1319Mar 27, 2026
+7
that includes mortars, right?
7
TurbulentRadish8113Mar 27, 2026
+11
The only way the Ukrainian claims make sense is if it includes everything artillery like, so yeah including mortars. Even the small infantry ones.
11
TurbulentRadish8113Mar 27, 2026
+57
> Primorsk and Ust Luga are under attack yet again tonight! 🔥 🔥 CyberFlour provides geolocated evidence.
> Has Russia run out of air defense? Ukrainian drones seem to be breaking through more and more.
The geolocation group is solid and the targets being discussed are the major oil (Primorsk) and oil products (Ust Luga) ports for exports from the Baltic.
https://bsky.app/profile/ukrainewarpod.bsky.social/post/3mhyud2wpxs23
57
CyberdyneGPT5Mar 27, 2026
+41
Destroying refined products is a much larger loss for Russia than burning crude oil. For example, the current price of diesel fuel is over $350.00 per barrel.
[https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/diesel-price](https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/diesel-price)
41
nonviolent_blackbeltMar 27, 2026
+21
It's an even bigger deal if they're destroying the port infrastructure (storage tanks and local connection pipelines). Hopefully, that will make it harder to load tankers in those ports, denying the Russians the ability to export.
Previously, Russia exported through the Black sea and through the Baltic. Ukraine has attacked terminals and boats in the Black sea, denying Russia that route. If they successfully close the Baltic route as well, that will really make an impact on the Russian budget.
21
CyberdyneGPT5Mar 27, 2026
+21
>Exclusive: At least 40% of Russia's oil export capacity halted, Reuters calculations show
[https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/least-40-russias-oil-export-capacity-halted-reuters-calculations-show-2026-03-25/](https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/least-40-russias-oil-export-capacity-halted-reuters-calculations-show-2026-03-25/)
I wonder how bad it can get for Russia. If Ukraine begins to hit infrastructure with ballistic missiles that cause a lot more damage it will get worse.
21
WorldNewsModsMar 27, 2026
+19
[Previous post can be found here](/r/worldnews/comments/1s3x6xt/rworldnews_live_thread_russian_invasion_of/)
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