[New post can be found here](/r/worldnews/comments/1slva6f/rworldnews_live_thread_russian_invasion_of/)
1
murphystruggles4 days ago
+2
Russian forces attack [Kharkiv’s northern outskirts with glide bombs](https://gwaramedia.com/en/russian-forces-attack-kharkivs-northern-outskirts-with-glide-bombs-injure-2-people/?utm_source=listnook&utm_medium=rd_news&utm_campaign=news_post), injure 2 people
2
Well-Sourced4 days ago
+23
[ How motorcycling medic Zoia Kovalets, 55, saves fighters' lives on the front line | Ukrainian Pravda](https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/articles/2026/04/08/8029187/)
> "I ran around the village like a hunted hare, trying to find somewhere to hide. I found a pit under the railway track and waited out the shooting there." Senior sergeant Zoia Kovalets, 55, is recalling the events of one day in April 2022.
> At the time, Vysokopillia in Kherson Oblast had been occupied by Russian forces for over a month. Zoia had been passing information to the Ukrainian forces about the Russians' positions and movements, so they launched a full-on manhunt for her.
> By some miracle she managed to get out of the village at the end of April, saving her several dozen animals – dogs, parrots, squirrels, hamsters, tortoises and frogs – as well.
> After escaping the occupation, Zoia went to the enlistment office in Kryvyi Rih, but she was turned away at first. "Maybe it was because they check everyone who comes from occupied territories to see if we've been recruited. Or maybe it was my age – I'm no spring chicken," she reflects.
> Zoia took a job at a city hospital in Kryvyi Rih that had been repurposed as a military hospital. She is a trained nurse and had worked for many years in the surgery department at Vysokopillia Hospital.
> In early 2023, Zoia was summoned to the enlistment office.
> "Have you changed your mind about joining up?" they asked her. "Of course not," she replied.
> Zoia now serves as a senior nurse in the medical company of the 47th Magura Brigade. Over the past three years, Zoia has worked on the Zaporizhzhia and Donetsk fronts, and she's currently based on the North Slobozhanshchyna front. She has two talismans from her son and daughter-in-law that she always carries with her on the front line – a toy squirrel, and a keychain featuring a cat in fatigues.
> Zoia's alias is "Cyborg", a nickname she acquired when she was young. A keen biker, she rides a motorcycle even at the front – with no protection against electronic warfare, but she always has a medical kit with her. More than 20 years ago, Zoia had an accident on her bike. She underwent many operations, during which surgeons inserted plates and screws into her body. She's been known as Cyborg ever since.
23
TurbulentRadish81134 days ago
+26
> " The Ukrainian Armed Forces' aviation carried out a series of strikes with SCALP missiles and GBU-39 aerial bombs on the locations of enemy UAVs at Donetsk Airport "
> Possibly shahed storage got hit. Map in part 2
I can't tell for sure if SCALP (aka Storm Shadow). If yes then it must have been considered a valuable target.
https://bsky.app/profile/the-hedgehog.bsky.social/post/3mjiey2zuyk2v
26
TurbulentRadish81134 days ago
+48
> The U.S. has reinstated sanctions against Russia now that 30 days have transpired.
This could be huge! I was genuinely unsure about what would happen here - but details matter. The only reporting I've found so far is that the waiver on sanctions for Russian oil at sea has expired and not been renewed.
https://bsky.app/profile/ukrainewarpod.bsky.social/post/3mji66p5wk223
48
Wonberger4 days ago
+27
Holy shit. I figured they were going to leave those sanctions lifted for the rest of this administration
27
Uhhh_what5554763844 days ago
+3
They may need to keep some members of their party happy. Trump's mishandeling of the Iran War should probably given the whip hand to the R memebers of Congress that think they're going to lose the general election to the Ds.
Any poll of the general populace and support for Ukraine is basically (all Ds + all independents + 50% of Rs). Political parties hate being on the wrong side of issues that split their coalition and unite the opposing coalition going into an election.
3
TurbulentRadish81134 days ago
+18
Yeah I thought the most likely outcome was another "temporary" extension. This is really good news.
I'm not sure how well Russia will have adapted to these sanctions, will have to wait and see if they're as effective as before.
18
Cogitoergosumus4 days ago
+24
The situation right now is very favorable to Ukraine when it comes to its dealings with the US. Trump has been throwing a tantrum over the portion of his admin/supporters that almost entirely pro Russia, Orban losing makes Russia's position significantly worse and Russia was confirmed to be handing intelligence to Iran and supporting Iran in other ways.
The infighting within the MAGA crowd probably has the Neocon's in a slightly better position.
24
Uhhh_what5554763844 days ago
+1
The Neocons left the Republican Party. The were the first big group of "Never Trumpers". They founded The Bulwark to be their "Never Trump" mouthpiece. It's the traditional Rs, the George H.W. Bush and Susan Collins types, that are split.
1
Remarkable_Beach_5454 days ago
+5
Maybe trump is starting to see putin as a "loser"
Wouldn't that be great?
5
Shockkdiamondss4 days ago
He probably sees that, although his dementia may be interfering with that idea sometimes. He must have noticed how putin did almost nothing for his allies, when US has been sticking it's fingers in Syria/Venezuela/Iran, even had Vance showing up in Armenia.
But "strong Russia and weak Europe" is written in American strategic doctrine by now and being not-so-fan-of-putin doesn't mean he's not a big-dictatorship-fan.
0
BigBananaBerries4 days ago
+16
> Trump has been throwing a tantrum over the portion of his admin/supporters that almost entirely pro Russia,
Any sources for this?.
16
unpancho4 days ago
+42
New threads from ChrisO\_wiki
1/ Ukraine is launching a new, agile system for rapid military deployment of new technologies; Russia, not so much so. Pro-Kremlin warblogger Vladimir Romanov sarcastically highlights the differences between the Russian and Ukrainian systems. ⬇️
[https://bsky.app/profile/chriso-wiki.bsky.social/post/3mjhslc3fbn2i](https://bsky.app/profile/chriso-wiki.bsky.social/post/3mjhslc3fbn2i)
[https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/2044091186906804393.html](https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/2044091186906804393.html)
1/ The Russian army has been taken over by an organised crime syndicate, says a Russian journalist. The mass recruitment of criminals means that crimes and corruption of all sorts – murder, torture, extortion, prostitution, drug and alcohol smuggling – are now routine. ⬇️
[https://bsky.app/profile/chriso-wiki.bsky.social/post/3mjhxjryzmn2i](https://bsky.app/profile/chriso-wiki.bsky.social/post/3mjhxjryzmn2i)
1/ Russia's Black Sea Fleet is trapped and largely neutralised, according to gloomy commentaries from Russian warbloggers. Ukraine's recent attack on its ships anchored at Novorossiysk show that its situation is a "catastrophic failure". ⬇️
[https://bsky.app/profile/chriso-wiki.bsky.social/post/3mjgv4dkt722i](https://bsky.app/profile/chriso-wiki.bsky.social/post/3mjgv4dkt722i)
[https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/2043957489129996658.html](https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/2043957489129996658.html)
42
Shockkdiamondss4 days ago
+4
Interesting bit of whom you may meet behind the frontline:
21/ Simka's body was dragged out by the other occupant of the dugout, who was being held at gunpoint, and buried in a garbage pit. The convicts subsequently took part in a unit-wide search for the missing junior lieutenant.
22/ His regimental commander eventually worked out what happened. The colonel had the convict 'boss' arrested and tortured by being whipped with wire and raped with a broom handle. Under torture, the convict confessed to the killing and gave up the location of the body.
4
Kageru4 days ago
+18
Ukraine probably also has a lot of NATO and Western countries keen to learn and produce this new drone-heavy approach to war. The world is re-arming so there's a market, Ukraine is an ideal live-fire test range and drones are a cost-effective force multiplier for a lot of smaller militarys.
18
HereIGoAgain_1x104 days ago
How long until one of them decides there's a black market for nukes lol
0
MuryGoatsBaldPatch4 days ago
+17
The real scary thing is when those criminals come home and expect political jobs in peace times.
17
findingmike4 days ago
+14
They will continue their criminal enterprises due to the bad economy. This is how Russia fell back in the Cold war
14
helm4 days ago
+15
Murder, torture, extortion, … was never that rare in the Russian/Soviet/Russian army!
15
Remarkable_Beach_5455 days ago
+65
EU prepares Ukraines 90 billion Euro loan package
https://united24media.com/latest-news/eu-prepares-eur90b-loan-package-for-ukraine-first-funds-expected-in-second-quarter-of-2026-17907
65
efrique4 days ago
+6
wow, faster than I'd have guessed. With the change in Hungary I figured Slovakia would find a way to cause a hold up on that. If it actually comes through, thats great
6
AwesomeFama4 days ago
+1
Maybe because the Bulgarian elections are happening next Sunday, and those might complicate matters? I did read something about how the probable w***** might not be able to be as pro-russia as they would want to, but it might still be a bad thing for Ukraine of course.
Not sure they can pull off a vote before that though, not much time left.
1
DigitalMountainMonk4 days ago
+4
Two nations were required to create an effective blocking action even if only one veto was required.
The mechanism to neutralize a members voting power requires every other member vote to remove said power. With both Hungary and Slovakia defending eachother removing voting power was not possible. Now Slovakia is alone.
4
SomeGalNamedAshley4 days ago
+2
I thought Slovakia could have their veto power removed now that Hungary under Orban isn't there to protect them anymore.
2
neonpurplestar5 days ago
+36
>DniproOsint satellite images show damage to a technical overpass near the AVT-5 unit at Bashneft’s Novoil refinery after the April 2 drone strike, affecting key refining infrastructure.
[https://bsky.app/profile/noelreports.com/post/3mjho4fridc24](https://bsky.app/profile/noelreports.com/post/3mjho4fridc24)
36
neonpurplestar5 days ago
+44
Some headlines from the hellscape that is russia:
>Losses of Russia's "Microsoft killer" soared by 230%.
[https://archive.is/8Hjlf](https://archive.is/8Hjlf)
>Russian fast food chains face a profit collapse due to widespread household savings.
[https://archive.is/bPink](https://archive.is/bPink)
>"Not just slowing, but already falling." Sberbank announced a sharp deterioration in the economy and warned of a wave of loan defaults.
[https://archive.is/Xxt7v](https://archive.is/Xxt7v)
44
Nurnmurmer5 days ago
+50
**The estimated total russian war losses from 24.02.22 to 14.04.26 inclusive are as follows****:**
* personnel - approximately 1 312 960 (+820);
* tanks ‒ 11 863 (+2);
* armored fighting vehicles ‒ 24 389 (+3);
* special equipment ‒ 4 123;
* vehicles and fuel tanks ‒ 89 300 (+201).
* artillery systems ‒ 39 953 (+38);
* MLRS ‒ 1 732 **(+4)**;
* air defense assets ‒ 1 346.
* aircraft ‒ 435;
* helicopters ‒ 350;
* UAVs (operational-tactical level) ‒ 237 853 (+2 459);
* cruise missiles ‒ 4 517.
* warships and boats ‒ 33;
* submarines ‒ 2.
Source [https://mod.gov.ua/en/news/total-russian-combat-losses-in-ukraine-as-of-april-14-2026](https://mod.gov.ua/en/news/total-russian-combat-losses-in-ukraine-as-of-april-14-2026)
Russia grows weaker every day. Slava Ukraini!
50
voronaam4 days ago
+8
I am looking at the declining number of artillery losses. I hope the smaller number means russia is finally close to running out of it
8
Equivalent-Rate-62185 days ago
+7
Nice but why the Feb-April Timeline? Did the war slow down in colder season or just because?
7
TurbulentRadish81135 days ago
+11
I think you missed the year on the first date mate!
24 Feb 2022.
11
Equivalent-Rate-62184 days ago
+7
Whoooops, crack on my screen at the worst possible spot
7
TurbulentRadish81134 days ago
+11
These things happen to all of us sometimes.
Your comment showed you're on guard and questioning things. We all benefit from that 👍
11
[deleted]5 days ago
+1
[removed]
1
TurbulentRadish81135 days ago
+8
Wtf is a "technical overpass"? Is it just a walkway? Does damage mean anything for production?
The oil tanks seem easier to interpret. Oil depot tanks on their own aren't a big deal, but they + contents are still far more expensive than drone attacks so $$$ wise they're a decent trade. And wiping out storage in isolated or bottleneck areas like Crimea can have more valuable knock-on effects. So I think this one would probably go into C tier.
8
neonpurplestar5 days ago
+43
Kremlin dumps orban like a waste bag
>‘We were never friends’: Kremlin plays down loss of ally following Orbán’s election defeat
[https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/apr/14/hungary-new-era-russia-back-foot-vladimir-putin-viktor-orban](https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/apr/14/hungary-new-era-russia-back-foot-vladimir-putin-viktor-orban)
43
TTGG5 days ago
+22
Ironic, because Lavrov literally gave Szíjjártó (Orbán's foreign minister) the Order of _Friendship_ award.
22
vshark295 days ago
+18
Not necessarily wrong. After all, "lions" and mice don't make good friends
18
SternFlamingo5 days ago
+17
He was nothing more than the "coffee boy."
17
TurbulentRadish81135 days ago
+61
I find this soldier's writing to be kinda poetic and want to share.
> We're having a general's salo from Poltava and mushroom soup for lunch, talking about fishing. Some have experience on the Danube, others on the Psel River, the Southern Bug, and the Dnieper. I'm talking about my native Desna, where I spend the night and go for a few days. With me is a man who fished in Soviet Leningrad. I, however, mostly remember catching bream and carp with a feeder. I have three fishing rods waiting for me at home.
> There's a guy with us who served in Zaporizhia in 2023, and on weekends, he and his comrades-in-arms went to the Dnieper.
> I sip that soup and it's like I'm not in these eastern ruins, like tomorrow is a weekend and I'm putting my tent in my Renault Megane, fishing rods, homemade vodka made by my grandmother, and heading off.
> Everyone here is dreaming. Everyone dreams of living longer. Living for themselves, for their loved ones. Just living. War is shit. A war like ours that's been going on for years is shit for those involved, because it steals lives and time every day. I hate war, I hate Russians, and everyone here feels the same. I've honestly never met people who enjoy war. There are professional soldiers for whom it's a job, and they'll make money from it after our war, somewhere far away, if we don't create private military companies here. Maybe in Africa. But those who've gone or been forced to - they all hate it. Only people on distant screens can enjoy war, who'll never sip this soup with us. But they'll never taste this salo with black bread and soup in the East, where every moment feels like a teleport to peacetime.
https://t . me/bahshiddemon/3277
61
neonpurplestar5 days ago
+27
>The electronic budget system shows a 6.26 trillion ruble deficit as of 10 April 2026
[https://bsky.app/profile/prune602.bsky.social/post/3mjgdom4xpk2o](https://bsky.app/profile/prune602.bsky.social/post/3mjgdom4xpk2o)
27
Remarkable_Beach_5455 days ago
+26
Russians using guided bombs on a dam recently, article has a video
https://united24media.com/latest-news/russia-hits-major-water-supply-dam-near-kharkiv-with-six-guided-bombs-video-17901
26
TurbulentRadish81135 days ago
+25
> russian fossil fuel exports. Unfortunately ru revenue ist back to around 650 mio € per day like in 2024 due to higher prices as the world is craving for oil. If the ports in the Baltic sea can be kept open, this will persist. If not (partially closed as now) it will go down again.
https://bsky.app/profile/swissdataguy.bsky.social/post/3mjhfgaylts2m
25
supertastic5 days ago
+7
If.
7
TurbulentRadish81135 days ago
+13
From the Kyiv School of Economics example scenario:
> In the base case – current price caps, sanctions status quo, and a conflict lasting up to three months – revenues could surge from $158 billion in 2025 to $229 billion in 2026.
Their base case is +4.7 trillion roubles of pure profit for Russian fuel companies.
KSE have previously shown how most tankers sanctioned by all powers (UK, EU + US) are removed from service. The republicans blocking new sanctions has allowed more tankers to keep running and to sell oil at higher prices. This act of republican aid to Russia has likely been worth billions of dollars already. It will only be offset if they fully re-sanction Russian producers and that forces discounts again.
13
findingmike4 days ago
+7
It looks like Trump didn't extend the sanctions reprieve so far: https://www.nytimes.com/2026/04/13/business/trump-iran-russia-oil-sanctions.html
Sorry for the paywall
7
TurbulentRadish81135 days ago
+22
The republicans have gutted the price cap enforcement by stopping the adding of new shadow fleet tablets.
Zero newly sanctioned tankers on OFAC since republicans took power. This reduces their discounts and is helping Russia a lot now.
22
MuryGoatsBaldPatch5 days ago
+10
Economic troubles are still increasing despite the higher oil prices. It appears it has the effect of putting a braindead patient on a ventilator.
And Ukraine's capabilities to enforce kinetic sanctions is only increasing.
10
TurbulentRadish81135 days ago
+11
Sure, but giving Russia billions of dollars more revenue is awful. It extends the war, and buying more time for Russia means more time for yet another thing to arrive and help them out.
The republicans cutting aid already bought Russia a lot of extra time to fight. Now there's this, and there could be more.
Yes there's a big picture to consider, I just don't think we should downplay things that are a really big deal.
11
TurbulentRadish81135 days ago
+32
> Ukraine struck multiple Russian radar systems including Nebo-U in Feodosia and airspace control radars in Belgorod region. A Tor-M1 air defense system was also hit in occupied Luhansk region
https://bsky.app/profile/noelreports.com/post/3mjhfl5dphc25
32
TurbulentRadish81135 days ago
+31
> SBU drones struck Novorossiysk’s Sheskharis port over a week ago. Satellite imagery confirms only 2 of 7 oil loading stands remain under repair, with 3 resuming operations and 2 undamaged. Initial reports of 6 damaged stands remain unverified.
Russian ports need to be hit again.
https://bsky.app/profile/the-hedgehog.bsky.social/post/3mjgb7l7odk2i
31
UNITED24Media5 days ago
+48
Germany will provide Ukraine with new military aid packages that include air defense systems, long-range weapons, drones, and ammunition, German Chancellor Friedrich Merz said during a joint press conference with President Volodymyr Zelenskyy.
“Today we once again agreed on new aid packages, primarily in air defense. This includes air defense, long-range weapons, drones, and ammunition,” he said.
[Read more](https://united24media.com/latest-news/germany-steps-up-military-support-to-ukraine-with-air-defense-missiles-and-drone-deals-17902)
48
TurbulentRadish81135 days ago
+18
> Minister of Defence of Ukraine, announced a €4 billion defense agreement with Germany following talks with German Defense Minister.
Decent sized package. Hope to see more from Germany and other Europeans this year.
18
HunkaMunkaHunkaMunka5 days ago
+33
It's four years since the Moskva somehow accidently did something.. we aren't sure what.. but it definitely wasn't sunk by Ukraine in some kind of war. No. Not that at all.
33
Guyfawkes19945 days ago
+39
From ISW today:
>**An open-source analysis of Russian contract recruitment reports that Russian recruitment continues to decline as battlefield casualties rise, consistent with other indicators of Russian recruiting and manpower challenges that ISW has observed.** German Institute for International and Security Affairs economist Janis Kluge assessed on April 12 based on an analysis of the budgets of Russian federal subjects that Russian forces recruited between 800 and 1,000 soldiers a day in the first quarter of 2026 (between January 1 and March 31, 2026), compared to 1,000 to 1,200 a day in the first quarter of 2025, a 20 percent decrease year-over-year.[7] Kluge noted that regional increases in one-time signing bonuses failed to prevent slowing recruitment despite average signing bonuses reaching a record high of 1.47 million rubles (roughly $19,300) in March 2026. Kluge also assessed, based on Russian Finance Ministry data, that Russian authorities paid compensation to the families of around 25,000 killed Russian soldiers in the first quarter of 2026, compared to around 20,000 killed in the first quarter of 2025 and almost 10,000 in the first quarter of 2024. Kluge extrapolated these total compensation figures from data from 17 Russian federal subjects. ISW is unable to verify the underlying data and conclusions in Kluge’s analysis, but his conclusions are consistent with multiple other indicators that ISW has observed that Russia is increasingly suffering recruiting and manpower challenges, such as reported recruiting shortfalls relative to casualties, the commitment of strategic reserves, increased signing bonuses, and expanded covert mobilization efforts.[8] Ukraine’s “I Want to Live” initiative reported on April 6 that the Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) recruited 940 soldiers a day for a total of roughly 80,456 in the first three months of 2026, fewer than the 1,100 to 1,150 soldiers a day that it would need to recruit to be on track to meet its 2026 recruiting target of 409,000 contract soldiers, and insufficient to replace the roughly 85,290 casualties that Ukrainian General Staff data indicates that Russian forces suffered during the same period.[9] Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky reported that Russian forces have likely begun committing strategic reserves to the battlefield to compensate for mounting casualties and successful Ukrainian counterattacks in the Oleksandrivka and Hulyaipole directions as of April 10.[10] ISW has also observed reports that at least 12 Russian federal subjects increased signing bonuses by between 50 and 80 percent since mid-February 2026, and that Russian forces have also recently intensified their forced covert mobilization effort to businesses and universities.[11]
https://understandingwar.org/research/russia-ukraine/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-april-13-2026/
39
CyberdyneGPT55 days ago
+22
‘Colossal’ pressure: How Russia is targeting university students for military recruitment
“Everything changed this year.”
“All the ‘top’ people in the university are now calling on students to go to war.”
“Throughout the uni, there are posters about the UAV forces literally everywhere.”
“The pressure is colossal.”
These are all quotes from Russian students in direct messages to CNN.
[https://www.cnn.com/2026/04/14/europe/russia-students-military-recruitment-campaign-intl-cmd](https://www.cnn.com/2026/04/14/europe/russia-students-military-recruitment-campaign-intl-cmd)
22
Guyfawkes19945 days ago
+13
This was something that I saw on 4chan’s /k/ board, so take it with a pinch of salt, but how I understand it is that in Russian universities, failing an exam puts you into “academic debt”. Failing too many exams will mean that you will be kicked off of your course, which is really bad as Russia’s university conscription deferment only applies for the first time you go to university. Russian universities have started tightening up on student “academic debt”, so whereas before you might fail 5 or more exams before being kicked off, you’re now at risk with 1 or 2 failures. Then, they try to convince students with “academic debt” to voluntarily join the military for a limited contract to clear that “debt”, and then to return to their studies after the contract is over. Of course, being Russia, these university students aren’t going into the UAV forces, they’re getting two weeks military training before joining an assault force and dying in some field in Ukraine.
13
efrique4 days ago
+7
Now watch as failure rates start to creep up.
"Higher academic standards are important" and all that
Thats my crystal ball prediction for the next year.
7
CyberdyneGPT54 days ago
+8
I saw a post a few days ago that low performing students were being individually summoned and pressured to enlist. What you read may be accurate.
If you are going to be conscripted it might be a good time to mention that you failed your exams because you spent too much time playing FPS games. 😆
8
findingmike4 days ago
+1
"No problem. Here's your flag, just walk that way."
1
IllyaMiyuKuro5 days ago
+16
Everyone who wanted to die for money has already volunteered. Another wave of mobilization is pretty much inevitable.
16
Outrageous_Raise34995 days ago
+15
Hey Ukraine, what are you dropping on our side? Are these AN196 or Chaika? Wishing you the best, but try not to miss Russia. It should be big enough a target :)
[https://www.hs.fi/politiikka/art-2000011942334.html](https://www.hs.fi/politiikka/art-2000011942334.html) (Finnish: Drones revealed to be smaller than thought – many open questions still remain
Security|At least four drones have fallen in Finland. On Monday, it emerged that they are a different model and smaller than previously reported.)
15
OldRepresentative5785 days ago
+33
> President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has arrived in Berlin, where a meeting with German Chancellor Friedrich Merz is scheduled. Germany marks the start of the Ukrainian delegation's diplomatic week in Europe.
Video at https://bsky.app/profile/wartranslated.bsky.social/post/3mjh43n5dhk2k
33
varro-reatinus5 days ago
+15
Stop being so 'unfriendly' to Russia, gais. Would a 'friend' resist an invasion? I think not!
15
b3iAAoLZOH9Y265cujFh5 days ago
+10
I mean, I'm not categorically ruling it out, but Russia's not smart enough to be that unattractive and neither is the US. We Danes *might* be willing to surrender to Norway, depending on the exact conditions... But only if we can keep our more liberal alcohol policies. We're not sub-bottoming sober, even for Norway.
Gotta draw the line somewhere.
10
mumamahesh5 days ago
+22
I wanted to share my thoughts on Ukraine's population issues and how it should affect their long term strategy in this war.
In 2019, Ukraine's population was almost 45 million. Number of births and deaths were 300k and 600k respectively. This was before even 2 years of covid where the births decreased further and deaths increased. Population dropped to around 41 million, due to covid and high emigration as well.
The war would unfortunately make this worse. It caused a mass exodus of millions (many of whom won't come back), forced mobilisation of men by Russia, civilian and military causalities, etc. Given these factors and the exponential rate of deaths as well as the massive drop in natural births, the population would be dropping by almost a million every year. In 2021, it was only around 420k.
Ukraine also has an ageing population, which will put further pressure on government and the youth. This is something that cannot be easily solved during this war and afterwards. Russia also suffers from this but theirs is not so severe and would not affect them in the near future.
Ukraine is basically facing the same existential crisis that Israel does. I believe that they have to continue this war now instead of accepting even a temporary ceasefire. They need to take advantage of their drone gap and hit Russia until they not only give back the occupied territories but also Crimea, along with the kidnapped children and reparations.
A ceasefire would only benefit Russia, allowing them to regroup and attack later. They will always have the manpower to do so. If not next year, it will be a decade later. Just as they did after taking Crimea. But by then, Ukraine's population will be falling by almost 2 million per year.
Ukraine also has to sustain a large standing army even if the war ends at some point. This further puts strain on their population, as a significant part of the pop would be involved in military activities.
22
DigitalMountainMonk5 days ago
+11
I wouldn't worry about it all that much.
There are a shockingly huge number of Ukrainian blooded people in the world. During war people suddenly shift to being something else for various reasons. After the war you will see a huge uptick in people returning home and a huge interest in people wanting to move in to fill the economic gap.
These types of people are typically young and have flexible minds.
11
mumamahesh5 days ago
+6
There are definitely lots of Ukrainians in Europe as well as North America and a few other parts of the world. But only a few of them would return as compared to the many who left when the war started and have already settled elsewhere in past 4 years.
I hope that Ukraine can find other solutions. Because a population of 35 million (maybe fewer) losing 1 million per year is definitely serious. It will start to hurt them as soon as 2040.
6
DigitalMountainMonk5 days ago
+6
Ukraine's population in 1991 was over 50 million.
Worldwide Ukrainian population by significant blood is likely in the quarter billion(Canada and Poland have a very high Ukrainian population and have for decades).
The population has been artificially depressed due to basically being at war since 1999. and Yes I consider the nation to have been at war since the rise of Putin.
You also have to consider that much of the population decline hasn't been actual decline. Crimea had a population north of 2.5 million that is no longer counted as Ukrainian even if they themselves likely would prefer to be Ukrainian. Luhansk was also around 2 million.
TLDR the population is fine. The numbers look worse due to illegal annexations and conflict. They will bounce back. Especially considering the innovations going on are *extremely* attractive to young people all over the world and when the risk of war is over there will be immigration.
6
mumamahesh5 days ago
+3
Quarter billion? I'm confused. Yes there are lots of Ukrainian blooded people in Europe as well but most of them are well settled in Europe already. Canada is far away and Poland also has a population issue.
Crimea can add 2.5 million and immigrants can also contribute. But it's not nearly enough to change the downward birth rate trend that is happening worldwide already. It was happening in Ukraine without the war as well due to emigration (mostly to Russia but also Europe).
I'm pointing out in terms of current crisis as well which is still going on. Births have collapsed, deaths are more and a lot of people left. This kind of sudden drop followed by prolonged conflict cannot be changed by simply bringing in immigrants. Even rest of Europe is not able to do that.
3
DigitalMountainMonk5 days ago
+4
"Far away" doesn't apply in a world of airplanes and ships. It hasn't for a long time.
The downward birth trend is normal in times of war. Study any war of any significant duration. People stop having kids if they feel they might die. After the war there is always a birth boom. Also saying deaths are more when a nation is trying to defend itself against a genocidal war is a bit.. odd. Of course deaths are high they are defending their homeland.
Post war population and economic recovery is well studied and well recorded in history. You are looking at raw data and not really understanding how to read it.
I'm sorry I don't have the time to go fully into this topic with you but I will try a brief summery.
Most of the "loss of population" isn't real. It's effectively moving living people from one bucket into another bucket. Every single country at war for an extended duration has seen exactly the same thing. Every single one has experienced an industrial and population boom after the war ends provided they prevail.
This is due to the effect known as "the golden age of capitalism" which doesn't require capitalism by the way. It is a functional effect that happens when a nation has received significant devastation and upheaval of its normal social and economic structure. This disruption creates voids that are "life changing" to people who come and fill them often uplifting entire families up several levels in the economic ladder.
This generally attracts back new people who are willing to become the local culture and encourages people who have left to return. In general, you can assume 20% of any population will elect to "lose" their status as a member of a people at war. There are lots of Ukrainians who left just because they aren't the type of people who can handle the life altering risks of war. A significant amount of those will likely return after the conflict concludes. Even Syrians returned home eventually at a rate of around 50%.
So what will most likely happen is once the war concludes there will be a birth boom, an immigration boom, and a temporary resident boom. I personally expect Ukraine to rebound to 50 million people in 10 years or less. There is just so many new economic opportunities that will require new talent and new bodies. The economic drive will be intense. If Ukraine also joins the EU during this time and becomes a major worldwide weapons manufacturer it will be like pouring gasoline on an already hot fire.
So while things look dire if you just look at the numbers you have to remember that all statistics are only as valid as the interpreter. It is easy to skew Ukraine to looking like its 2 steps away from failing as a state. The reality is Ukraine has been there a long time and will be there a long time still.
4
mumamahesh4 days ago
+1
"Far away" is in relation to proximity effect. A Ukrainian in Poland is more directly affected by the war than someone who lives far away in a convenient life. Again, if you are settled in a developed country, it's very inconvenient to simply shift from one continent to another. It's much easier if you are in the neighbouring country or same continent/EU.
The example of Syrians is very different and wrong to apply here. Most Syrian refugees never integrated properly in Europe bec of cultural and other differences. Ukrainians would've it a lot easier as many of them would know the languages, have connections, gain political support for citizenship, etc.
Birth rate has been a problem for Ukraine for a long time. It's not just a war issue. Please look at births and deaths rate for last 30 years. It has been on a downward trend. I already mentioned this in original comment. In 2019, deaths were almost double of births. Look at demographics as well. It has nothing to do with war. The war has simply accelerated the existing issue.
I'm sure immigration boom and temporary resident boom will happen. No doubt. But I wouldn't be so sure about birth boom already. That depends on future circumstances. Historically, post war period had birth booms due to lack of developed society. That's not the case in Ukraine. An immigration and temporary resident boom will also depend a lot on post war conditions, financial incentives, etc. You can't expect non Europeans to integrate easily in Ukraine or even be allowed to get citizenship unless they learn the language and have shown prolonged suitability.
1
Remarkable_Beach_5455 days ago
+11
If a sustained peace is achieved and Ukraine continues on its anti-corruption and EU accession path, they could very well have an economic boom some years after the war ends. That brings immigration and people willing to return to their homeland. Yeah as it stands right now though, it's not looking great. Hoping for a just and lasting peace for Ukraine
11
mumamahesh5 days ago
+3
Immigration can bring people but only so many who can be integrated. It won't repair the population imbalances in the long term. The problem for Ukraine is that it is a huge country and that requires more people to defend it as well. And it can't have too many Russian immigrants either which otherwise would've been the best option.
So either they need a birth boom supported by government policies or an immigration system that attracts Europeans mainly. But rest of Europe also has falling birth rates. So that's difficult as well.
3
ProFF77775 days ago
-13
If a ceasefire would only benefit Russia, why is Zelensky begging for one at each chance?
-13
DigitalMountainMonk5 days ago
+13
He isn't. If Russia allows one it breaks the narrative that Russia is so strong it can only win.
To the Russian mind to give a ceasefire is weakness. If you have greater strength why let your enemy rest? You should charge in and finish them off.
So Zelenskyy asking for a ceasefire is a multi part strategy to erode the power of Putin while strengthening Ukraines strike capabilities.
13
ProFF77774 days ago
-4
[https://kyivindependent.com/ukraine-ready-to-extend-ceasefire-with-russia-zelensky-says/](https://kyivindependent.com/ukraine-ready-to-extend-ceasefire-with-russia-zelensky-says/)
Just the last time he begged for one.
He must be playing 5D chess for real
-4
b3iAAoLZOH9Y265cujFh5 days ago
+9
Diplomacy. The military high ground might be more valuable than the moral one, but that doesn't make the latter worthless.
And 'begging' is a mischaracterization - they're always suggested without solicitation by the Russians whenever they cannot keep up and need to inject another dose of perfidy to manage their logistics.
9
ProFF77774 days ago
-4
If they gave you 10$ each time Zelensky has asked for a ceasefire, and 10$ for each time Russia asked for ceasefire, which one would you choose?
I prefer to get 100.000$ rather than 50$
Unless Zelensky is playing some kind of 5D chess, I dont buy that theory.
-4
b3iAAoLZOH9Y265cujFh4 days ago
+2
Zelensky has asked for a ceasefire 10000 times? Well, ain't that something?
2
putin_my_ass5 days ago
+10
This is where I disagree with that analysis, I don't believe a ceasefire would actually benefit Putin because as soon as the fighting stops in Ukraine Russians will turn back to domestic issues and a lot of the pent up anger and dissatisfaction will come out.
Maybe, maybe not. But it's clear Putin doesn't *actually* want a ceasefire, because he could stop at any moment. But they don't, and I think that's for a reason. Putin needs a conquest he can sell as having been worth it all, and a ceasefire without that would be tough to sell.
10
mumamahesh5 days ago
+14
Because it's purely performative from his part. He knows that Putin won't stop .... cannot stop as well because Russia's economy also can't stop its war economy so suddenly, along with its imperialism.
So Zelenskyy wants to show Trump and world that Ukraine wants peace through ceasefire but Russia is the one who's not interested. Russia breaking ceasefires also proves this. Unfortunately this approach is kinda useless too but it's still better than nothing.
14
Well-Sourced5 days ago
+35
[NOELREPORTS | BlueSky](https://bsky.app/profile/noelreports.com/post/3mjgr4phh6c24)
> A Russian drone strike damaged a Panama-flagged vessel in Izmail port, along with port infrastructure including a pier and barge. Civilian damage included buildings, vehicles, buses and an ambulance in the city.
35
Well-Sourced5 days ago
+29
[NOELREPORTS | BlueSky](https://bsky.app/profile/noelreports.com/post/3mjgr72vozs24)
> A Ukrainian drone strike hit a power substation in occupied Melitopol, Zaporizhzhia region. A major fire broke out after multiple explosions, causing a partial blackout in the city.
29
Well-Sourced5 days ago
+38
[Lewi Whalberg | BlueSky](https://bsky.app/profile/anno1540.bsky.social/post/3mjgrnhjfwk2c)
> In the Sumy region, an attempt at a mass assault - again through the gas pipeline.
> 29 occupiers attempted to infiltrate the rear of the positions of the 71st Airborne Assault Brigade, moving along the gas pipeline.
> The enemy had already used this same route before.
> Thanks to the coordinated work of the reconnaissance units, UAV crews, and artillery, the enemy's movement was detected in time, and the entire group of occupiers was neutralized.
38
Shockkdiamondss5 days ago
+17
Just install automatic machineguns this time.
17
Well-Sourced5 days ago
+32
[Lewi Whalberg | BlueSky](https://bsky.app/profile/anno1540.bsky.social/post/3mjgtyevpsk2c)
> Soldier Serhiy Saliy joined the ranks of the Armed Forces of Ukraine at the beginning of the invasion.
> He served as a crew commander of unmanned aerial systems. Unfortunately, the soldier died🙏💔 on April 5, 2026 as a result of enemy fire.
> May the memory of the Hero be bright.🙏🇺🇦❤️
32
ten0re5 days ago
+43
Israel buys grain stolen from Ukraine
https://latifundist.com/en/novosti/69971-izrayil-dozvoliv-rozvantazhennya-rosijskogo-sudna-z-vikradenim-zernom-iz-tot-ukrayini-pislya-tritizhnevoyi-zatrimki
43
Jay_CD5 days ago
+53
In other news Spain and Belgium have donated 1bn Euros each in aid for Ukraine:
[Belgium and Spain pledge €2bn in aid and F-16 jets for Ukraine in 2026 | Ukrainska Pravda](https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2026/04/14/8030021/)
53
jeremy99315 days ago
+8
Of note, the F-16s pledge is just reaffirming that Belgium intends to send their first this year (assuming they take delivery of their first F-35s this year as expected)
8
Jay_CD5 days ago
+55
Russia has lost 820 soldiers killed and wounded over the past day, bringing its total number of personnel losses to 1,312,960.
**Source:** [Russian losses over past day: 820 soldiers killed and wounded | Ukrainska Pravda](https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2026/04/14/8030028/)
**Details:** The total combat losses of the Russian forces between 24 February 2022 and 14 April 2026 are estimated to be as follows \[figures in parentheses represent the latest losses – ed.\]:
* approximately 1,312,960 **(+820)** military personnel
* 11,863 **(+2)** tanks
* 24,389 **(+3)** armoured combat vehicles
* 39,953 **(+38)** artillery systems
* 1,732 **(+4)** multiple-launch rocket systems
* 1,346 (+0) air defence systems
* 435 (+0) fixed-wing aircraft
* 350 (+0) helicopters
* 237,853 **(+2,459)** operational-tactical UAVs
* 4,517 (+0) cruise missiles
* 33 (+0) ships/boats
* 2 (+0) submarines
* 89,300 **(+201)** vehicles and fuel tankers
* 4,123 (+0) special vehicles and other equipment.
The information is being confirmed.
55
ProFF77775 days ago
-29
These random numbers probably come from very trustworthy sources, I guess
-29
DigitalMountainMonk5 days ago
+19
Not random. Generally seen by major intelligence communities as mostly accurate data.
Has been released by the Ukrainian MOD since the start of the invasion.
19
ProFF77774 days ago
-7
major intelligence communities: Ukranian MOD
Western intelligence agencies: We dont believe it, but we keep shut up because we are to deep invested into it to say otherwise
-7
DigitalMountainMonk4 days ago
+6
The French support Ukraine's numbers.
If you knew anything about history you would know that to have both the French and the US agree to something means its pretty much fact.
I don't expect that I will sway your position. I expect you are a former telegram user.
Be careful about trying to both sides this war.
98 Comments