[New post can be found here](/r/worldnews/comments/1son2ti/rworldnews_live_thread_russian_invasion_of/)
1
Snoozyalooz_1 day ago
+22
https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/us-extends-waiver-allowing-countries-buy-russian-oil-2026-04-18/
I'm not even surprised anymore.
22
Uhhh_what5554763841 day ago
+11
Whew, I was afraid the Trumpers were going to accidentally do a good thing.
All is right with the world again.
11
exo_universe1 day ago
+13
Thank goodness for the kinetic sanctions
13
jzsang1 day ago
+13
What an ass.
13
TurbulentRadish81131 day ago
+24
Mediazona update last week mentioned this;
> At the end of March, “Somebody Else’s War,” a public page on the Russian social network VK that tracked soldiers from Bashkortostan killed in the war in Ukraine, announced it was shutting down.
> “All this time, the page’s administrators were based outside Russia, which allowed us to speak openly. However, the Russian security services have long been hunting us, and the pressure on our relatives and loved ones still living in the republic has now crossed all acceptable boundaries. We have no moral right to continue our work while putting the safety and lives of those dear to us at risk,” the page’s creators explained.
> By the time it closed, “Somebody Else’s War” had identified 9,056 people from Bashkortostan killed in the war.
Mediazona are doing amazing work gathering data on Russian dead, but stories like this show how hard it is.
24
hornswoggled1111 day ago
+12
Constantine from Inside Russia on yt in a short clip today said he is under enormous pressure as well. Being followed by Russian intelligence while in an adjacent country (one of the stans).
I'm guessing Russia is running out of options.
12
ZappaOMatic1 day ago
+30
[Poland charges territorial soldier with espionage:](https://notesfrompoland.com/2026/04/17/poland-charges-territorial-soldier-with-espionage/)
> Prosecutors have charged a soldier from Poland’s Territorial Defence Force (WOT), a volunteer reserve force, with espionage. According to a media investigation, the suspect was active in a far-right group and was seeking to spy on behalf of Russia.
> In statements released on Thursday, both WOT and the district prosecutor’s office in the city of Poznań announced that the man, whom they did not name, had been charged with espionage.
> WOT confirmed he was part of the 12th Wielkopolska Territorial Defence Brigade, but had been “immediately released from the territorial military service” after prosecutors informed them of his detention.
> “The detainee possessed basic clearance for classified information, which is required for every position held by territorial military service soldiers,” they added. “He did not serve in the protection of the Polish border or in any other operations related to national security.”
> On the same day, *Gazeta Wyborcza*, a leading daily, published an investigation naming the suspect as Jarosław K. (with his surname masked under privacy law), who had served in WOT as a radio operator since March 2024.
> The newspaper added that, according to its sources, the suspect is accused of seeking to work on behalf of Russian intelligence.
> It cited a spokesman for Poznań’s district court saying that he had been charged under an article of Poland’s espionage law that relates to declaring readiness to act on behalf of foreign intelligence or gathering data that could be provided to them.
> Gazeta Wyborcza reported that Jarosław K. had been an active member of a pro-Russian far-right group called Rodacy Kamraci. Just nine days before his arrest in March, he had participated in one of the group’s rallies in Warsaw.
> The newspaper also published a photograph purporting to show Jarosław K. delivering an anti-Ukrainian speech in 2024 while wearing a Rodacy Kamraci hat.
30
PanneKopp1 day ago
+3
it seems all far right everywhere are heavily sponsored by Russia and other anti democratic groups of interest
3
hornswoggled1111 day ago
+18
Hard to imagine knowing the basics of Polish history and thinking it would be a great idea to help Russia. Head shakingly stupid.
18
Saithir1 day ago
+2
We also somehow had/have (they're not as active lately, but still some holdouts) actual neonazis. In Poland.
Like bro how hard has one to be dropped on their head to sustain that level of brain damage.
2
b3iAAoLZOH9Y265cujFh1 day ago
+10
> the suspect was active in a far-right group
> Head shakingly stupid.
But we're repeating ourselves.
10
BringbackDreamBars1 day ago
+23
Bit of a weird question around Russian grey-zone/hybrid warfare.
Do we know if agents recruited through social media for initially low level tasks have any sort of "development" in terms of a relationship?
The example I give if is that if someone initially signs up for easy money spray painting racist graffiti or making leaflets, do Russian services slowly task them with more and more riskier targets as they build reliability/become more and more involved?
23
Uhhh_what5554763841 day ago
+12
In addition to the answers given they do a lot of "unknowing terrorism" type attacks where the person drops off a package then calls a number to report they have dropped the package. They haven't been told (1) the package is a bomb; and (2) calling the number triggers the detonator.
12
helm1 day ago
+10
It seems there are rarely more that two or three steps before something much bigger and then the asset is discarded. More or less:
1. Show that you follow orders
2. Commit a crime on our orders (intel/vandalism)
3. Betray your country and yourself for a pittance
10
Worth-Lead-59441 day ago
+15
Not about building reliability, it builds leverage. Once they've done a little bit of treason they can't easily stop.
15
Plenty_Fondant_9511 day ago
+5
Yeh, same as prisoners getting guards and shit to smuggle stuff in. You do it once for money but then they can just blackmail you
5
TurbulentRadish81131 day ago
+8
I recommend people watch Derren Brown's "The Push".
It helped a lot of my friends "get" how this step-by-step corruption works. And you can then start to spot when someone is doing it.
8
TurbulentRadish81131 day ago
+27
> Ukrainian troops filmed a guided Gerbera botching a strike on a mobile air defense team. It fell a meter from a Ukrainian vehicle and didn’t detonate, reason unclear.
So happy to see the defenders didn't get hurt here. That looks like more than GPS guidance for sure.
https://bsky.app/profile/wartranslated.bsky.social/post/3mjpd4hrdg22z
27
Redragontoughstreet1 day ago
+47
Take this with a big grain of salt but……
🇺🇦🇷🇺 BREAKING | Azov units claim control over the skies of occupied Donetsk.
Ukrainian drones are now operating over the city with minimal resistance.
https://bsky.app/profile/osintradar.bsky.social/post/3mjplircs2c2r
47
troglydot1 day ago
+30
Relevant post from Perpetua a week ago:
>Last year many people asked me if I was worried about fibre optic drones, and I said it is a dead end technology and there are better ways to solve the problem. In the short term, fibre optic drones seemed dominant, but in the long run I felt the other drones would take over and change the way the war is fought.
>We're now at that point. The investments and developments of Ukrainian drones, using more sophisticated communications systems, deployment mechanisms, and command structures took longer to reach critical mass, but have given them a large advantage over Russia that Russia's dependance on fibre optic drones blinded themselves (and much of the military and public at large) from the truth.
>Now Russia is forced to go back and begin developing solutions that took Ukraine several years to implement. Fibre optic drones remain a threat to Ukrainian logistics and to soldiers on the front, but Ukraine's more sophisticated drones and command systems offer them an advantage in the deep rear that Russia can only dream of achieving. And Ukraine's supremacy in space is only compounding this problem for Russia.
Comes with an (unconfirmed) screenshot of a claim that the Russian defence minister has reported to Putin of a serious technological advantage of Ukrainian UAVs.
https://xcancel.com/AndrewPerpetua/status/2042212304654123314
30
OrangeBird0771 day ago
+35
If that’s true that could be a game changer. Sustained drone superiority would annihilate Russian logistics in Donetsk and could result in Russian advances there pushed back. That would certainly explain how over 100 artillery pieces were eliminated yesterday. Additionally, infrastructure in the Oblast has been destroyed so the Russians have to import water and fuel for their own armed forces as well as the civilians, and that could cause a lot of issues in their rear positions.
That hit on the Rubicon unit in Donetsk must’ve really hurt the elite Russian drone unit.
35
TurbulentRadish81131 day ago
+27
Storm Shadows (or other missiles) hit Donetsk airport last week too.. Supposedly a Shahed storage site.
I'm not sure if conditions have meaningfully changed or you can call it true control, but Ukraine is clearly able to directly threaten exposed, valuable targets there. Kursk/Belgorod when?
27
Osiris321 day ago
+7
> Donetsk airport
Well....more like "Donetsk large open area." There is very little about it that can still be called an airport any more. The concourse is a pile of rubble, there is not ATC or tower, the hangers are all blown to pieces, there is no on-site fueling, the runways and taxiways are cratered like Callisto, and it's under both drone and cruise missile targeting. The best they can do is bring in mobile Shahed launchers on trucks for a few minutes to get a handful off, but that's it.
7
blasphemousicon1 day ago
+2
>cratered like Callisto
2
Osiris321 day ago
+2
I like the Jovian moons, what can I say?
2
TurbulentRadish81131 day ago
+19
IMO it's hard to be sure without a proper assessment of lots of evidence and a clear definition of "control".
I don't remember exactly whether it was 2023 or 2024, but there were long recordings of Donetsk, including the famous stadium and other identifiable parts, from Ukrainian drones. That could be used to imply "minimal resistance" too.
So... Have things meaningfully changed? What about the air over Ukrainian cities?
EDIT: see u/troglydot comment. I don't think we have a proper intel assessment, but he cites Andrew Perpetua. Perpetua's comments fit the anecdotes I've read. For now I think the most likely case is that Ukraine actually has gained the upper hand in some parts of the drone war.
19
neonpurplestar1 day ago
+40
>[](https://bsky.app/profile/kateinkharkiv.bsky.social)Russian oil refinery in Tuapse continues to burn 🔥
[https://bsky.app/profile/kateinkharkiv.bsky.social/post/3mjoomqr7pk2k](https://bsky.app/profile/kateinkharkiv.bsky.social/post/3mjoomqr7pk2k)
40
neonpurplestar2 days ago
+41
Quite interesting:
>"Reserves are largely exhausted." The government warned businesses about reducing state support.
[https://archive.is/yYMKy](https://archive.is/yYMKy)
41
TurbulentRadish81131 day ago
+14
Deeper dive into this part:
> "The Central Bank estimated the size of preferential loans at 17 trillion rubles...Each additional point of the key rate costs the budget of 280 billion rubles, estimated last year the head of the budget Committee of the Duma" [inc OFZ]
That's from September 2025 and Russia took on more commitments since then. They said the construction industry will "collapse" without even more borrowing.
Russia's budget is desperate for interest rates to drop & quickly. Next rate meeting is a week away.
https://bsky.app/profile/leoskyview.bsky.social/post/3mjprbhuq4c2b
14
bespoketoosoon2 days ago
+12
I can't read cyrillic, does Moscow Times have a translate function on the page or do I copy and paste it to Google translate?
12
troglydot1 day ago
+16
I think pretty much all browsers have a built in translation function at this point, it's pretty easy and useful. Just find the right button in yours.
16
KSaburof2 days ago
+10
just [https://translate.kagi.com/archive.is/yYMKy](https://translate.kagi.com/archive.is/yYMKy)
10
TurbulentRadish81132 days ago
+42
> NEW: Ukraine’s Fortress Belt is the cornerstone of a militarily defensible frontline in eastern Ukraine. The Fortress Belt is optimized for defense across nearly every possible topographical and geographical characteristic relevant for military terrain analysis. 🧵(1/7)
> 2/ The Fortress Belt’s terrain is well-suited for a strong defensive line, whereas the terrain further west of the Fortress Belt – the land that would serve as the new front line if Ukraine lost the Fortress Belt – is poorly suited to serve as a defensive line.
> 3/ The remaining 19 percent of Ukrainian-held Donetsk Oblast is critical for Ukraine’s defense.
And so on.
https://bsky.app/profile/thestudyofwar.bsky.social/post/3mji7aecxdc2p
42
CharmingWin58371 day ago
+5
They need enough people to defend those fortresses though. That's something western allies don't want to help with.
5
TurbulentRadish81131 day ago
+6
Yeah. It would make sense to pay mercenaries.
The west should send more aid and more types of aid. Aid saves Ukrainian lives.
For example, imagine how many thousands (I think tens of thousands) of Ukrainian soldiers would be alive/uninjured now if republicans hadn't won the 2022/24 elections and started blockading aid funding.
6
TurbulentRadish81132 days ago
+32
I think this is part of why Putin & the Republicans are pushing to force Ukrainian withdrawal from Donetsk. If Ukraine is pushed out, then the next European invasion becomes much easier, just like how losing the Sudetenland helped Hitler and weakened Czech defence.
Over the past few years, I've read that Ukraine's defences are mixed in quality. Some soldiers have said that the type of fighting has changed so much that old defence designs like trenches are useless or worse. It sounds like the design is really important and I'm not sure what the overall situation is.
32
Uhhh_what5554763841 day ago
+9
It's the deep bunkers, which the fortress belt has in density and extensively, that are still valuable. The current operations are drone teams operating in deep bunkers, but in other regions those deep bunkers are not very close together which is why the Russians get away with sneaking random fire teams through.
9
TurbulentRadish81131 day ago
+7
That sounds very similar to what I've read from Ukrainian channels.
They also say that concealment is really useful and important when you don't have a full bunker. But that positioning also matters; you want concealed paths to resupply/rotate, and you need them to have a good location for line of site or radio signals.
7
neonpurplestar2 days ago
+36
>In Russia, the number of part-time workers, those on reduced hours or in layoffs, has reached its maximum since the COVID year of 2020. By the end of 2025, there were already 1.6 million such employees, according to the positively manipulated data from the Russian Central Bank.
Most often, people were transferred to a reduced work schedule in oil extraction, metallurgy, construction, and the automotive industry. The Central Bank attributes this to a drop in demand and companies' desire to avoid mass layoffs.
[https://bsky.app/profile/beefeaterfella.bsky.social/post/3mjnpssg42c2z](https://bsky.app/profile/beefeaterfella.bsky.social/post/3mjnpssg42c2z)
36
neonpurplestar2 days ago
+42
>A public speaker ties Putin and his military misadventures directly to the country's steady immiseration—this is sending shockwaves through Moscow elites.
[https://bsky.app/profile/robertscotthorton.bsky.social/post/3mjnkk5sj6s2m](https://bsky.app/profile/robertscotthorton.bsky.social/post/3mjnkk5sj6s2m)
Text from attached picture in the post:
>Russia's business 'elite' is abuzz, talking about this moment of honesty by the famous scientist Robert Nigmatulin at the Moscow Economic Forum.
"We've lost everything and are still the poorest. Even in the poorest regions of China incomes are higher than in our poorest regions."
It's from NatalkaKyiv on Xitter, I am not linking the post.
>Russia looks for a way out of its sharpest economic contraction in three years
[https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/top-officials-have-offered-putin-ideas-economic-growth-after-contraction-kremlin-2026-04-16/](https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/top-officials-have-offered-putin-ideas-economic-growth-after-contraction-kremlin-2026-04-16/)
36
fluffymuffcakes2 days ago
+28
I think what economic performance Russia has maintained over the past few years has been borrowed against the future by putting of maintenance, selling off reserves, moving money around, etc. It only looks good on paper and even that doesn't last. I think they have run out of road and we're seeing the beginning of the collapse.
28
MuryGoatsBaldPatch2 days ago
+19
From my understanding the putting off maintenence part isn't even new, and it's been going on for decades.
To some extent Russia is still chewing through a lot of Soviet era equipment and infrastructure for which they lost the industrial and financial capacity to replace.
19
unpancho2 days ago
+39
New threads from ChrisO\_Wiki
1/ The Russian MOD's reported decision to block the supply of drones to frontline troops and reserve them solely for the Unmanned Systems Forces continues to cause consternation among Russian warbloggers. Former drone pilot Andrey Filatov predicts disastrous consequences. ⬇️
[https://bsky.app/profile/chriso-wiki.bsky.social/post/3mjogos7xk22m](https://bsky.app/profile/chriso-wiki.bsky.social/post/3mjogos7xk22m)
[https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/2045045832508957017.html](https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/2045045832508957017.html)
1/ A prominent Russian warblogger and Ka-52 helicopter pilot appears to have killed himself after posting an apparent farewell video on Telegram. 'Voivode', real name Alexey Zemtsov, says he has committed suicide due to pressure from his superiors. ⬇️
[https://bsky.app/profile/chriso-wiki.bsky.social/post/3mjkyxqrc522w](https://bsky.app/profile/chriso-wiki.bsky.social/post/3mjkyxqrc522w)
[https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/2044552291290599599.html](https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/2044552291290599599.html)
39
TurbulentRadish81132 days ago
+26
After Iran says it'll temporarily open the Strait of Hormuz, Brent oil has dropped under $90.
Bloomberg and others have claimed that Russian discounts have been around $25/barrel, but it might be weeks before we find out the actual contract prices happening now. The public data on the trading economics site are misleading.
This is good news. If Russia gets $65/barrel from now on, it's above their plan but their budget still looks screwed.
Obviously every dollar matters.
26
canspop2 days ago
+26
I'd assume their budget is based on the Ust-Luga, Primorsk, Novorossiysk and Tuapse exporting crude.
Ukraine looks like they're doing a good job of shutting them down. Let's hope they stay shut.
26
troglydot1 day ago
+15
A factor here is that prior to the Iran war, Russia had a huge amount of tankers full of oil at sea, without buyers. When the US suspended sanctions, that oil suddenly found buyers, and volume of oil at sea fell to the level it was at prior to the sanctions on buyers of Russian oil were introduced in October 2025. And it all got sold at high prices too.
There's charts in the paywalled article here:
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-04-14/russia-struggles-to-boost-oil-exports-amid-soaring-crude-prices
Summarized here:
https://t . me/ToBeOr_Official/20422?single
15
TurbulentRadish81132 days ago
+14
The budget is all based on Argus FOB numbers: 78% average Urals from Primorsk and Novorossiysk, 22% ESPO from Kozmino.
They do some kind of internal averaging across grades and contracts I think, but the monthly calculated tax rates have looked pretty close to a simple average.
(Warning: this is based on TASS reporting from January 2025. It might have changed now)
14
Nurnmurmer2 days ago
+45
**The estimated total russian war losses from 24.02.22 to 17.04.26 inclusive are as follows****:**
* personnel - approximately 1 316 070 (+1 000);
* tanks ‒ 11 870 (+4);
* armored fighting vehicles ‒ 24 400 (+9);
* special equipment ‒ 4 129 (+3);
* vehicles and fuel tanks ‒ 90 014 (+253).
* artillery systems ‒ 40 160 **(+114)**;
* MLRS ‒ 1 739 (+1);
* air defense assets ‒ 1 349 (+2).
* aircraft ‒ 435;
* helicopters ‒ 350;
* UAVs (operational-tactical level) ‒ 243 008 (+2 410);
* cruise missiles ‒ 4 549 (+12).
* warships and boats ‒ 33;
* submarines ‒ 2.
Source [https://mod.gov.ua/en/news/total-russian-combat-losses-in-ukraine-as-of-april-17-2026](https://mod.gov.ua/en/news/total-russian-combat-losses-in-ukraine-as-of-april-17-2026)
Russia grows weaker every day. Slava Ukraini!
45
fluffymuffcakes2 days ago
+23
It seems like Ukraine was doing a lot of hunting. I hope this is a trend that continues.
23
neonpurplestar2 days ago
+36
>Russians are continuing to withdraw cash from the banking system.
[https://bsky.app/profile/ukrainewarpod.bsky.social/post/3mjlcehqb3c2k](https://bsky.app/profile/ukrainewarpod.bsky.social/post/3mjlcehqb3c2k)
36
Nurnmurmer2 days ago
+37
... now if they would only withdraw from Ukraine.
37
putin_my_ass2 days ago
+16
¿Por que no los dos?
16
b3iAAoLZOH9Y265cujFh1 day ago
+2
Indeed, I still hold to the view that the former is going to be the most likely cause of the latter.
2
neonpurplestar2 days ago
+40
>‼️ Russia: Russian Minister of Economic Decently “Reshetnikov stated that the reserves in the Russian economy have been largely exhausted.”
[https://bsky.app/profile/prune602.bsky.social/post/3mjp7aspab22s](https://bsky.app/profile/prune602.bsky.social/post/3mjp7aspab22s)
40
Cortical2 days ago
+25
If the strait of Hormuz doesn't get blocked again and oil prices go back down then Russia will be in big trouble
especially since EV adoption should likely see a boost this year because of the oil price shock.
25
bespoketoosoon2 days ago
+13
At least he was decent about it.
13
OldRepresentative5782 days ago
+25
> In response, the Czech foreign ministry said it summoned Russian Ambassador Alexander Zmeyevsky to “explain these statements.”
> “The remarks were directed at several Czech companies, which were labeled as potential targets for Russian military strikes,” the foreign ministry said.
> Moscow has not yet commented on the Czech diplomatic protest.
> Other countries listed by the Russian Defense Ministry, including NATO members Britain, Germany and Turkey, appeared to ignore the threats from Moscow, which have become commonplace since the full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022.
https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2026/04/17/czech-foreign-ministry-summons-russian-ambassador-over-russian-military-threats-a92529
25
Soundwave_132 days ago
+23
Slava Ukraine 🇺🇦
23
barney-panofsky2 days ago
+32
Great clip of Ukrainians using a trainer plane to shoot down drones
[https://bsky.app/profile/specialkhersoncat.bsky.social/post/3mjp2j42k2k2e](https://bsky.app/profile/specialkhersoncat.bsky.social/post/3mjp2j42k2k2e)
32
Remarkable_Beach_5452 days ago
+43
The EU is releasing billions in grants and loans for Ukraine as Ukraine passes economic reforms
https://www.financership.com/eu-2-7-billion-ukraine-reforms-funding/
43
Boys4Ever2 days ago
+21
Seems this war is 1500 days plus longer than promised and only obstacle being a comedian holding no cards. Who knew?
21
murphystruggles2 days ago
+43
Ukrainian [forces take back control over several streets in Vovchansk](https://gwaramedia.com/en/ukrainian-forces-take-back-control-over-several-streets-in-vovchansk-military-says/?utm_source=listnook&utm_medium=rd_news&utm_campaign=news_post), military says
43
jeremy99312 days ago
+46
Figured it was gonna get approved sooner or later considering the prior discussions on using some of the loan to buy Gripens.
> Sweden has committed €4 billion in aid to Ukraine and agreed to launch training for Ukrainian pilots on Gripen fighter jets as early as this year. The package has also included continued humanitarian support, including child repatriation efforts and school meal programs. Kyiv has signaled expectations for future reinforcement of its air force with Gripen aircraft.
https://xcancel.com/noelreports/status/2045114130932088957?s=46&t=atIpeQGVIhaOOydeLGsHZw
46
Remarkable_Beach_5451 day ago
+7
I was hoping there were already batches of pilots training or trained on the Gripens :(
But soon is much better than never!
7
TurbulentRadish81132 days ago
+13
Yay!
I know there are jet nerds here. Can someone point us at the most up-to-date, reliable source that actually describes useful info on these jets with respect to Ukraine? I assume we don't know what Ukraine might get yet, but it'd be nice to know which specs and options actually matter so we can filter the noise in future stories.
13
b3iAAoLZOH9Y265cujFh23 hr ago
+2
There are currently seven variants: A, B, C, D, NG, E and F. "A" is the original 1996 version, "B" is a two-seat trainer, "C" is an upgraded "A", "D" is the "B" to "C", "NG" is a technology demonstrator with upgraded engine (F414G), radar (Raven ES-05 AESA), fuel capacity and two more hardpoints. More expensive in terms of unit and operational costs. "E" is developed from "NG" which managed to significantly reduce per-unit cost ($100m -> $85m). Sweden and Brazil have those on order. "F" is a specialized Brazilian version.
My guess would be either "C" (with some "D" as trainers) or "E" variants.
2
TurbulentRadish811321 hr ago
+1
Thanks for that great summary!
Would one option change the chance for types of missile deployment etc? People seemed excited about Meteor at one point, but others said that's not feasible.
1
murphystruggles2 days ago
+29
Russian air attacks [killed 1, injured 9 in Kharkiv oblast](https://gwaramedia.com/en/russian-air-attacks-killed-1-injured-9-in-kharkiv-oblast-over-past-day/?utm_source=listnook&utm_medium=rd_news&utm_campaign=news_post) over past day
29
[deleted]2 days ago
-91
[removed]
-91
[deleted]2 days ago
-53
[removed]
-53
SimonArgead2 days ago
+5
How's the economy? Enjoying the inflation and shrinking GDP?
5
Cortical2 days ago
-1
Not as bad as in Russia, lol
Russia is about to melt down, have fun with that.
-1
OldRepresentative5782 days ago
+41
> Exilenova+ says last night’s strike in the Mariupol area hit the Rubikon base in Mangush. Recon footage shows a large fire.
Video at https://bsky.app/profile/wartranslated.bsky.social/post/3mjolr6jt322c
41
troglydot2 days ago
+77
Ukrainian general staff claims the following hits over the past 24 hours:
* 2 radars (Podlet and Nebo-M)
* A UAV lab
* a base for the repair and maintenance of weapons and military equipment
* a logistics hub
* a storage facility for amphibious assault boats
* 3 ammunition depots
* 4 command and control points
* a depot of material and technical equipment
* a depot of fuel and lubricants
There's much more detail in the full post.
https://t . me/GeneralStaffZSU/37411
I remember in 2022, we'd celebrate every little hit like this, and these days it's so routine that it gets less attention. It's a good reminder that this is a high intensity war still.
Edit: The Podlet radar and the UAV lab are earlier hits that were confirmed yesterday. They're from April 9 and 15.
77
canspop2 days ago
+20
>every *little* hit
Kind of an understatement. I don't know if they're claiming destruction or just damage to the Nebo-M, but that alone looks to have a $100 million price tag attached. That should be worth quite a few points on their drone kill-sheet list.
20
helm2 days ago
+14
That's a really good haul for 24 hours, agreed.
14
MuryGoatsBaldPatch2 days ago
+57
[https://bsky.app/profile/delfoo.bsky.social/post/3mjmz25cig223](https://bsky.app/profile/delfoo.bsky.social/post/3mjmz25cig223)
Due to Ukrainian attacks on port infrastructure in the second week of April Russian oil export fell to the lowest weekly volume they have been in almost 2 years and April can be worst month for Russian seaborne oil exports since 2023.
57
TurbulentRadish81132 days ago
+25
Thanks for posting on the new thread.
I really encourage people to follow the link and read the whole thread. IMO it's more complicated than that headline suggests.
25
Jay_CD2 days ago
+68
Russia has lost 1,000 soldiers killed and wounded and more than 100 artillery systems over the past day.
**Source:** [Russian losses over past day: 1,000 soldiers killed and wounded | Ukrainska Pravda](https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2026/04/17/8030512/)
**Details:** The total combat losses of the Russian forces between 24 February 2022 and 17 April 2026 are estimated to be as follows \[figures in parentheses represent the latest losses – ed.\]:
* approximately 1,316,070 **(+1,000)** military personnel
* 11,870 **(+4)** tanks
* 24,400 **(+9)** armoured combat vehicles
* 40,160 **(+114)** artillery systems
* 1,739 **(+1)** multiple-launch rocket systems
* 1,349 **(+2)** air defence systems
* 435 (+0) fixed-wing aircraft
* 350 (+0) helicopters
* 243,008 **(+2,410)** operational-tactical UAVs
* 4,549 **(+12)** cruise missiles
* 33 (+0) ships/boats
* 2 (+0) submarines
* 90,014 **(+253)** vehicles and fuel tankers
* 4,129 **(+3)** special vehicles and other equipment.
The information is being confirmed.
68
NetflixVodka2 days ago
-8
Is 40000 artillery destroyed a clearly incorrect number or is Russia now able to match destroyed equipment with production of new?
-8
b3iAAoLZOH9Y265cujFh22 hr ago
+1
It includes mortars and the number represents "systems hit" not "systems destroyed".
1
efrique1 day ago
+3
They mostly ran out old stocks a year or more back and their own production isn't close to these levels, but other countries, especially North Korea jumped in to help supply more. NK has lots, and they were happy to swap for more tech, nukes, cash etc. Though at present rate of loss, that won't last.
3
NetflixVodka1 day ago
+1
Thanks. That makes sense. North Korea probably quite happy to trade excess old stock for tech / cash.
1
iwakan2 days ago
-13
It is probably incorrect, like many others numbers on that list, unfortunately. This only purpose of this list is to boost morale, it is not suitable for analysis.
-13
Own_Pop_97112 days ago
+19
It includes single soldier mortar systems all it's not that useful of a number.
19
isthatmyex2 days ago
+3
Sending a lot of guys into a drone war with mortars would seem like a sign of desperation.
3
OptimalProfession52 days ago
+5
Larger mortars can have a range of 5+ miles and are extremely simple and c**** to produce.
5
isthatmyex2 days ago
+5
I'm not saying they can't be good weapons. But 10 miles is within drone range.
5
irrealewunsche2 days ago
+23
Is that a record on artillery? Even if not, that's a big number.
23
helm2 days ago
+20
Second highest!
20
Affectionate_Oven_772 days ago
+27
It really feels like the tide has turned.
27
Far-Tomato22571 day ago
+3
Why do you say this? Genuinely asking as I have not been following updates
3
Affectionate_Oven_771 day ago
+1
already answered below
1
Osiris322 days ago
+30
I'll believe that when Ukraine starts making significant breakthroughs. Retaking Tokmak, turning the corner at Kamyansk and moving up the left bank of the Dnipro, killing the rail line along the Azov coast, something that has more strategic than tactical implications. That's when the tide will have actually turned.
30
efrique1 day ago
+2
It's going to be slow, little by little, then all at once.
Russia keeps damaging its long run economic, social, industrial and military capacity. The things it does to support its ability to fight as it is fighting now pulls the end a little closer. It will be a bunch of small things, then the dam will break all at once. I imagine Russia breaks well before the Ukrainians get close to the Azov coast, and even before they take Tokmak. It will be a while yet, but likely the first really big break will be inside Russia, such as a big economic collapse. There may be very large numbers of troops in ukraine when it happens, but the war will be lucky to last weeks from there.
2
Playful_Alela1 day ago
+2
Ukraine isn't trying to make insane breakthroughs on the battlefield. The way to liberate Donetsk, Luhansk, Kherson, Zaporizhzhia and Crimea is to let Russia fail there. The goal is to economically outperform them West German style while Russia continues to fall further and further into isolation. Big pushes like that will be high casualty for Ukraine and the biggest priority Ukraine should have is defending Ukrainian lives.
I strongly believe all of Ukraine will return to Ukrainian control some day, but trying to push offensives through fortifications Russia has had years to prepare is not as good of an idea as just harassing their logistics so much they have to withdraw, or letting them bankrupt themselves trying to hold the occupied territories
2
Impressive-Alarm99162 days ago
+18
This did not happen in 2023 and won't happen now. Being capable to defend without losing ground is something already big enough
18
AccordingBread43892 days ago
+13
No, but it did happen in 2022. Russia was advancing until they suddenly weren't anymore and then they lost a lot of previously occupied ground. Sure it's not guaranteed to happen again, but the longer Russia bleed more soldiers than they can recruit, the likelier it becomes again. There are simply to much factors to make a prediction like that.
13
Impressive-Alarm99162 days ago
+8
2022 was a completely different situation. A dynamic front with an unprepared Russian army. Now both Ukraine and Russia had 4 years to dig. Drones ensure big troop and armor movements have to be done carefully. Only offensive actions that can work are slow tactical grinds
8
Uhhh_what5554763842 days ago
+18
Ukraine is attritioning the Russians like the Western Front in WWI. The biggest offensive of the war was the German offensive of 1918. The Ukrainians will make tactical advances, but they will take big risks to keep the Russians on the offensive operationally.
18
putin_my_ass2 days ago
+12
Yes I think that's an apt comparison, in both wars the Germans had a big offensive push just before the end.
12
AgentElman2 days ago
+9
It has felt that way before while Russia paused to move forces to counter ukraine's offensives. Nothing as paused on Russia's part as this though. If Russia is not back to grinding forward and making "significant" progress anywhere i think we can say the tide has turned.
9
findingmike2 days ago
+6
Russia lot territory last month.
6
helm2 days ago
+19
The issue for Russia at the moment is that losses now, before any major push, are higher than the recruitment. If you add extra losses during an offensive to that ... they risk running into a wall-size problem.
19
Yo-boy-Jimmy2 days ago
+14
What makes you say that?
14
Affectionate_Oven_772 days ago
+49
1. Ukraine had their first month in over a year where they recaptured more ground than Russia stole.
2. Ukraine is moving ahead in technology. They recently captured a defensive point from Russia without a single human on the ground - it was done entirely by drones and remotely controlled ground vehicles.
3. Ukraine recently announced production and usage of their own ballistic missiles against Russia.
4. Russia is basically stalled, whilst their loss of manpower is still very high.
49
Far-Tomato22571 day ago
Kewl kewl
0
rhatton12 days ago
+34
5. Russian economy and ability to prosecute the war is declining daily, the daily/weekly repo auctions are not a sign of a healthy economy, all domestic economic indicators are looking disastrous. Long range strikes on chemical and industrial plants are making it more and more difficult to bring munitions/weaponry to the front line. Long range strikes on Russian logistics are making this even more difficult (point 6 feeds into this) .
6. It's looking more and more likely that the exponential ease tipping point of hitting Russia's air defenses and with that artillery and long range strikes has been achieved. As air defenses degrade it becomes easier and less costly to hit remaining air defenses (all the time whilst Putin drags more air defense from the front line to protect his Sochi Dacha). It looks like this tipping point happened a few months ago, this opens the whole Russian front up to extreme threat.
Both of the above are where Ukraine has a huge advantage as a lot of their capability comes from other countries where the majority of Russia's is attackable by Ukraine. Ukraines partners are not directly attackable by Russia (hence the companies list yesterday from the drunk, Russia are trying to intimidate to slow down Ukraininan support)
34
YF4221 day ago
+7
It was always estimated that by this point Russia would be in the danger zone economically, financially and militarily and that a major collapse or a cascade of failures across the board was going to happen at some point the longer this went on. Putin has constantly pushed to attack Ukraine no matter the cost and this has cost him men, gear and things that cannot be replaced. It was pure vainglorious stupidity and delusion and an unwillingness to consider alternatives.
Ukraine has adapted, they're fighting hard, taking hits but they're still standing, other support them no matter how much the vatnik shits try to intervene. They've now gained the technological advantage and if things keep going, sooner or later a major crack in those front lines will open that they can push through, hopefully on the southern front as it's the weakest area I can see for the Russians despite the fortifications, if the Ukrainians could break though there to the coast they'll isolate and blockade Crimea. If they somehow managed to take Crimea back, this wars over no matter what because that would be unequivocal proof Putin's a failure and others might decide to be done with him at that point and look to get out of this.
7
SimonArgead2 days ago
+18
Not yet. But I completely agree that the tides might/are-about-to turn
18
belaki2 days ago
+25
F*** Putn !
Slava Ukraini !
25
StrangeChef2 days ago
+16
Слава Героям!
16
WorldNewsMods2 days ago
+21
[Previous post can be found here](/r/worldnews/comments/1smygo6/rworldnews_live_thread_russian_invasion_of/)
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