/r/WorldNews Live Thread: Russian Invasion of Ukraine Day 1534, Part 1 (Thread #1681)

[New post can be found here](/r/worldnews/comments/1t7u5up/rworldnews_live_thread_russian_invasion_of/)

Moscow Parade is 10 am Moscow 5/9 time or 11 pm pst 5/8. As of 2 hours ago, Zelensky confirmed a ceasefire in return for a prisoner exchange brokered by Trump. He said getting back 1000 Ukrainians was more important than a parade. It’s hard to argue with that. I hope Putin and Trump felt small after hearing it.

> Ukrainian drones are attacking Kaspiysk in Russia’s Dagestan Republic, where one of the Russian Navy’s main Caspian Flotilla basing points is located https://bsky.app/profile/noelreports.com/post/3mlejbdag422i

"Love taps don't count" \~ Zelensky, probably

Day 1,461 of a 3-Day Special Military Operation: Russian forces embrace Mad Max by driving through degraded gas pipes

Even if this better benefits Putin, if this thing actually spans 3 days then that’s a welcome rest for all Ukraine.

May 8 (Reuters) - U.S. President Donald Trump on Friday announced on social media that ​there would be a ​three-day ceasefire in the war between ⁠Russia and Ukraine from ​May 9 until May 11. Trump said in ​a Truth Social post that the pause ‌will ⁠include a suspension of all kinetic activity, and also a prison swap of 1,000 prisoners ​from ​each country. "Hopefully, ⁠it is the beginning of the end of ​a very long, deadly, ​and ⁠hard fought War," he said, adding that there was constant ⁠progress ​in talks to ​end the conflict. What an idiot.

First ceasefire since the war has started, LETS GO!!

Question about the information environment in Moscow tomorrow. With the mobile service blackout and internet restriction, are we likely to be able to trust any information thats supposedly live? I know there's still possibly home internet service within Moscow, but not sure if central Moscow around the parade is going to be a complete digital blackspot, and its going to delayed information from people travelling away if something does happen.

> Rare photo of a German-made IRIS-T SLS air defense system in Ukrainian service. > /2. A soldier of the 540th Lviv Anti-Aircraft Missile Brigade also shared combat experience from one of Russia’s massive missile attacks. > “It performed flawlessly”. That morning, the system fired four missiles and destroyed all four targets, three Kh-101 cruise missiles and one Kalibr missile. It'd be nice to know what the overall interception stats are. This is a very positive anecdote though. Decent cost tradeoff here. https://bsky.app/profile/specialkhersoncat.bsky.social/post/3mldwbcgwdk2i

> Around €30 billion from the EU’s €90 billion loan for Ukraine in 2026 will fund drones, ammunition, missiles and air-defense systems, European Pravda reports. The first €5.9 billion tranche would buy 2.8 million Ukrainian-made drones Bargain. https://bsky.app/profile/noelreports.com/post/3mle3iwrikk2i > The Netherlands is pushing the EU to revisit using €210 billion in frozen Russian assets to help Ukraine, Politico reports. Dutch Finance Minister Eelco Heinen raised the issue in a closed Brussels discussion with EU counterparts on May 5 As I understand it this is a crazy long shot. Easy for NL to say, need countries like Belgium on board. https://bsky.app/profile/noelreports.com/post/3mle3c7blmc2i

**The estimated total russian war losses from 24.02.22 to 08.05.26 inclusive are as follows****:** * personnel - approximately 1 339 190 (+1 130); * tanks ‒ 11 919 (+1); * armored fighting vehicles ‒ 24 538 **(+17)**; * special equipment ‒ 4 173 (+1); * vehicles and fuel tanks ‒ 94 879 (+334); * unmanned ground vehicles ‒ 1 344 (+8). * artillery systems ‒ 41 630 (+91); * MLRS ‒ 1 778 (+2); * air defense assets ‒ 1 370 **(+5)**. * aircraft ‒ 435; * helicopters ‒ 352; * UAVs (operational-tactical level) ‒ 279 729 (+1 817); * cruise missiles ‒ 4 585. * warships and boats ‒ 33; * submarines ‒ 2. Source [https://mod.gov.ua/en/news/total-russian-combat-losses-in-ukraine-as-of-may-8-2026](https://mod.gov.ua/en/news/total-russian-combat-losses-in-ukraine-as-of-may-8-2026) Russia grows weaker every day. Slava Ukraini!

> Ukraine’s General Staff says Defense Forces hit the Yaroslavl refinery, a UAV storage site in Rostov-on-Don, the Luhansk oil depot, fuel depots in occupied Luhansk region, a Tor-M2 near Mykhailivka and a Kasta-2E radar near Mysove in occupied Crimea https://bsky.app/profile/noelreports.com/post/3mle3vgznv22i Another Tor and another Kasta? Awesome, especially the Last: cost estimates I've seen are $30-100m. Drone screenshot of the Tor here, and claim of a hit on a Tunguska: https://bsky.app/profile/noelreports.com/post/3mle3glkoy22i

>Russian federal budget deficit is already 5.877 trillion rubles for January - April. Higher oil prices aren’t saving them. [https://bsky.app/profile/ukrainewarpod.bsky.social/post/3mldwgiweu22z](https://bsky.app/profile/ukrainewarpod.bsky.social/post/3mldwgiweu22z) >Russia's budget deficit for the period Jan-Apr 2026 grew 2,94 trillion rubles year over year to reach 5,87 trillion rubles. Non oil and gas revenues are up 10,2% to 9,42 trillion rubles but spending is up 15,7% to 17,6 trillion rubles. [https://bsky.app/profile/delfoo.bsky.social/post/3mldpuei2up2s](https://bsky.app/profile/delfoo.bsky.social/post/3mldpuei2up2s)

Few headlines from the hellscape that is russia, but one of them is juicy: >One of Russia's largest chocolate manufacturers has laid off every fourth employee due to falling sales. [https://archive.is/AomIS](https://archive.is/AomIS) >"The deficit has grown by another trillion rubles." The "hole" in the Russian budget has reached almost 6 trillion rubles, despite rising oil prices. [https://archive.is/STjj6](https://archive.is/STjj6)

A huge day for strikes inside Russia. Shortened from the source: >Yaroslavl Refinery, also known as "Slavneft-YANOS". The location of the fire was identified as the AVT-3 installation, - Dnipro Osint. >Rostov-on-Don, Western Industrial Zone, night and morning. Two fire sites: the first - in the area of the "Empils" paint and varnish plant, the second - in the area of the "Radar" Scientific and Technical Center, - geolocation ASTRA. Satellite images are needed to assess the consequences. >Rostov-on-Don, the "Electrotechnical Montage" trading company burned down and suspended operations, - ASTRA. >A drone hit the administrative building of the "Aeronavigation of Southern Russia". 13 airports have been suspended. >Perm Refinery, also known as PNOS. The AVT-5 installation is on fire, eyewitness photos + satellite image. Analysis: Dnipro Osint. The results of the yesterday's strike have also been clarified - the AVT-2 installation and two tanks were damaged. The third successful attack. >Khankala, Chechnya, a building on the territory of the military base and headquarters of the 42nd Guards Motor Rifle Division. Geolocation: Exilenova+ and ASTRA. >Grozny, Chechnya, the building of the local FSB administration. One drone did not reach its target, and the second hit its target. Geolocation: ASTRA https://t . me/ToBeOr_Official/20662?single

Yaroslavl refinery has been hit again, and there's a large fire. Edit: And Perm too! Thanks vshark29 for pointing it out. Refineries hit in 2026 (name | capacity (bbl/d) | Nelson Complexity Index | attack date (count)) * Afipsky refinery | 139,000 | 7.30 | Mar 13 (1) * Ilsky refinery | 69,000 | 8.30 | Jan 1, Feb 17 (2) * Kirishi refinery (Surgutneftegas) | 463,000 | 7.55 | Mar 26, May 5 (2) * Kstovo refinery (Lukoil, NORSI) | 405,000 | 7.30 | Apr 5 (1) * Novominskaya refinery (Albashneft) | 6,400 | ? | Feb 28 (1) * Novokuibyshevsk refinery | 185,000 | 6.47 | Apr 18 (1) * Novo-Ufa refinery (Bashneft-Novoil) | 171,000 | 9.18 | Apr 2 (1) * Orsk refinery (SAFMAR) | 90,000 | ? | Apr 29 * Perm refinery (LUKOIL) | 303,000 | 9.40 | Apr 30, May 7, **May 8** (3) * Saratov refinery (Rosneft) | 162,000 | 4.30 | Mar 21 (1) * Slavyansk refinery | 93,000 | 1.00 | Jan 26 (1) * Syzran refinery (Rosneft) | 170,000 | 7.30 | Apr 18 (1) * Tuapse refinery (Rosneft) | 240,000 | 3.20 | Jan 19, Apr 16, Apr 20, Apr 28, May 1 (5) * Ufaneftekhim refinery (Bashneft) | 220,000 | 9.18 | Mar 22 (1) * Ukhta refinery (LUKOIL) | 93,000 | 3.70 | Self combusted Jun 2, 2024, Mar 1 2026. 2026: 12 Feb (1) * Volgograd refinery (LUKOIL) | 300,000 | 6.90 | Feb 11 (1) * Yaroslavl refinery (Slavneft-YANOS) | 300,000 | 8.60 | Mar 28, Apr 26, **May 8** (3) Refinery hits from 2022-2025 (name | capacity (bbl/d) | Nelson Complexity Index | attack date (count)) * Afipsky refinery | 139,000 | 7.30 | 2023: May 31. 2024: May 2, Jun 20. 2025: Feb 10, Aug 7, Aug 28, Sep 26, Nov 29, Dec 13 (8) * Antipinsky refinery (JSC Antipinsky Refinery) | 174,000 | 9.18 | 2025: Oct 6 (1) * Ilsky refinery | 69,000 | 8.30 | 2024: Feb 9, Apr 27, Jun 21. 2025: Feb 17, Feb 28, Jul 7, Sep 7, Nov 19 (8) * Kirishi refinery (Surgutneftegas) | 463,000 | 7.55 | 2024: Mar 13. 2025: Mar 8, Sep 14, Oct 4 (4) * Krasnodar refinery (Krasnodarekoneft) | ? | ? | 2024: Jun 21. 2025: Aug 30 (2) * Kuibyshev refinery (Rosneft) | 162,000 | 7.30 | 2024: Mar 16, Mar 23. 2025: Aug 28 (3) * Makhachkala refinery (Dagnotech) | 20,500 | ? | 2025: Oct 22 (1) * Mari refinery | 26,600 | ? | 2025: Oct 29 (1) * Moscow refinery (Gazprom Neft) | 295,000 | 7.70 | 2024: Sep 1. 2025: Mar 11 (2) * Nizhnekamsk II refinery (TANEKO) | 340,000 | 8.99 | 2024: Apr 02. 2025: Jan 11 (2) * Novominskaya refinery (Albashneft) | 6,400 | ? | 2025: Feb 5 (1) * Novokuibyshevsk refinery | 185,000 | 6.47 | 2024: Mar 16, Mar 23. 2025: Mar 10, Aug 2, Sep 20, Oct 19, Nov 15 (7) * Novoshakhtinsk refinery | 112,000 | 1.21 | 2022: Jun 22. 2024: Mar 13, Jun 6, Jul 5, Dec 19. 2025: Aug 20, Dec 25 (6) * Novospassky refinery (NS-Oil) | 12,300 | ? | 2025: Oct 29 (1) * Kstovo refinery (Lukoil, NORSI) | 405,000 | 7.30 | 2024: Mar 12. 2025: Jan 28, Jul 13, Sep 16, Oct 5, Oct 16, Nov 4 (7) * Novo-Ufa refinery (Bashneft-Novoil) | 171,000 | 9.18 | 2025: Sep 13, Oct 11 (2) * Orsk refinery (SAFMAR) | 90,000 | ? | 2025: Oct 3, Nov 11 (2) * Pervyy Zavod, Polotnyany Zavod, Kaluga region | 24,000 | ? | 2024: Mar 15, May 10 (2) * Ryazan refinery (Rosneft) | 350,000 | 5.50 | 2024: Mar 13, May 1, Jul 27, Oct 26. 2025: Jan 23, Jan 25, Feb 24, Mar 9, Aug 2, Sep 5, Oct 23, Nov 15, Nov 20, Dec 5 (14) * Salavat refinery (Gazprom) | 232,000 | 7.92 | 2024: May 9. 2025: Sep 18, Sep 24 (3) * Saratov refinery (Rosneft) | 162,000 | 4.30 | 2024: Nov 8. 2025: Feb 11, Jul 1, Aug 10, Sep 16, Sep 20, Oct 16, Nov 3, Nov 11, Nov 14, Nov 28, self combusted Dec 24 (11) * Slavyansk refinery | 93,000 | 1.00 | 2024: Mar 17, Apr 27, May 18. 2025: Sep 4, Dec 17 (5) * Syzran refinery (Rosneft) | 170,000 | 7.30 | 2024: Mar 16. 2025: Feb 19, Mar 4, Aug 15, Aug 24, Aug 30, Dec 5, Dec 28 (8) * Tuapse refinery (Rosneft) | 240,000 | 3.20 | 2024: Jan 25, May 17, Jul 22. 2025: Feb 26, Mar 14, Nov 25, Dec 30 (7) * Ufa refinery (Bashneft-UNPZ, aka Ufimsky refinery) | 153,000 | 6.12 | 2025: Mar 3, Sep 13 (2) * Ufaneftekhim refinery (Bashneft) | 220,000 | 9.18 | 2025: Oct 15 (1) * Volgograd refinery (LUKOIL) | 300,000 | 6.90 | 2024: Feb 3, May 11. 2025: Jan 15, Jan 31, Feb 3, Aug 14, Aug 19, Sep 18, Nov 5 (9) * Yaroslavl refinery (Slavneft-YANOS) | 300,000 | 8.60 | 2024: Jan 29. 2025: Self-combusted Oct 1, hit Dec 12 (2) European side, not yet hit: * Nizhnekamsk I refinery (TAIF) | 167,000 | 4.15 Asian side refineries, not yet hit: * Achinsk refinery (Rosneft) | 174,000 | 3.59 * Angarsk refinery (Rosneft) | 236,000 | 9.18 * Khabarovsk refinery | 115,000 | 9.90 * Komsomolsk refinery (Rosneft) | 185,000 | 9.18 | Self combusted Apr 10, 2025 * Nizhnevartovsk refinery (Rosneft) | 27,000 | 1.00 * Omsk Refinery (Gazprom Neft) | 514,000 | 8.80 | Self combusted Aug 1 and Aug 26, 2024 * Yaya Refinery (NefteKhimService) | 104,000 | 1.71

Russia has lost 1,130 soldiers killed and wounded over the past day, bringing its total number of personnel losses to 1,339,190. **Source:** [Russian losses over past day: 1,130 soldiers killed and wounded | Ukrainska Pravda](https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2026/05/08/8033717/) **Details:** The total combat losses of the Russian forces between 24 February 2022 and 8 May 2026 are estimated to be as follows \[figures in parentheses represent the latest losses – ed.\]: * approximately 1,339,190 **(+1,130)** military personnel * 11,919 **(+1)** tanks * 24,538 **(+17)** armoured combat vehicles * 41,630 **(+91)** artillery systems * 1,778 **(+2)** multiple-launch rocket systems * 1,370 **(+5)** air defence systems * 435 (+0) fixed-wing aircraft * 352 (+0) helicopters * 1,344 **(+8)** ground robotic systems * 279,729 **(+1,817)** operational-tactical UAVs * 4,585 (+0) cruise missiles. * 33 (+0) ships/boats * 2 (+0) submarines * 94,879 **(+334)** vehicles and fuel tankers * 4,173 **(+1)** special vehicles and other equipment The information is being confirmed.

Guess it's my turn. F*** Putin.

Russia = bad

May Putin have the day he deserves.

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