I don’t think the UAE has such a significant military force. Or would this be support for some kind of smaller land-based operation?
76
Doppler74Apr 1, 2026
+54
Frankly, I dont expect any support from them to US besides emotional support.
54
Perfect-Nail9413Apr 1, 2026
+6
That would at least be an upgrade, then the friendly fire bullshit that was happening at the start of the war.
6
thereoncewasahatApr 1, 2026
-10
The UAE have downed more US planes than Iran.
This is hilarious.
-10
SilentWay8474Apr 1, 2026
+11
That was Kuwait
11
Jive-TurkeysApr 1, 2026
Not quite.
0
_THEWATERB0Y_Apr 1, 2026
+20
For its relatively small size, the UAE actually has a decent military. Certainly more capable than the feckless Saudi Arabian armed forces.
20
TheJewPearApr 1, 2026
+11
They have a decent navy. And they won’t be alone, maybe other countries would join in, I’m sure the IAF would be happy to provide cover too.
11
BusinessReplyMail1Apr 1, 2026
+8
They have a whole lot of instagram influencers. Would do the world a favor sending them to war against Iran. Two bird one stone.
8
BowlerSufficient343Apr 1, 2026
+11
UAE and gulf states are paper tigers, at best.
11
fruitloop00001Apr 1, 2026
+3
Paper kittens maybe
3
No-Essay-7667Apr 1, 2026
+2
This is BS Israel is trying to push this narrative through their media conglomerate, UAE already came out stating Nope we will stay defensive as is, UAE native population they are very aware of their limitation
2
Kaito__1412Apr 1, 2026
+1
They have a decent military, but regardless their infrastructure is not going to survive this war.
1
FuriosachanApr 1, 2026
+17
Has the UAE army ever been in any action?
17
Green-Draw8688Apr 1, 2026
+2
Yes - Yemen
2
DashingDinoApr 1, 2026
+96
Nobody can reopen the strait with force. All it takes is a single missile or drone getting through and blowing up a ship to shut it down again. Diplomacy is literally the only way to get shipping back to normal soon
96
lordnacho666Apr 1, 2026
+31
Yep, and you don't need to annihilate the ship either. Just a credible threat is enough.
31
Broken_RealityApr 1, 2026
+13
Yup if the insurance companies refuse to underwrite ships then nothing is going through the strait.
13
AngryRedGummyBearApr 1, 2026
+4
I mean other people can offer indemnity.
Its not like the regular insurers will refuse to pick it up once its on the other side of the strait.
Further, if iranians keep hitting the ships at anchor it may become more liability to stay anchored than to risk it with the insufficient navy e***** available.
4
Broken_RealityApr 1, 2026
+2
So you think a shipping company will try sailing without insurance? They would still be insured most likely when docked under previous coverage but the company would refuse to insure if they sailed on trying to run the straits.
2
AngryRedGummyBearApr 1, 2026
+1
What exactly do you think insurance is aside from a purchased constructed indemnity?
And again, as you pointed out, the insurer holds liability at anchor. If being at anchor is show to be dangerous (as ships are being hit at anchor) then, AS I SAID BEFORE, it may be less risk to the insurer to take the convoy out at higher risk momentarily rather than bear indefinite lower risk?
1
curorororoApr 1, 2026
>Further, if iranians keep hitting the ships at anchor it may become more liability to stay anchored than to risk it with the insufficient navy e***** available.
Why would this apply? They arent hitting ships at anchor, only the ones that try to pass without permission.
0
AngryRedGummyBearApr 1, 2026
+1
They are hitting ships at anchor. Safesea vishnu was anchored off iraq. Al salmni was at anchor off dubai. Neither was in transit.
Where exactly did you source the information they are "only" attacking ships in transit of the straight?
1
GerardicApr 1, 2026
+6
What if UAE and Oman use military to set up blockade preventing iranian approved ships from leaving the Gulf?
That sets up for stalemate.
6
redfoobarApr 1, 2026
+17
Iran regime will sit it out, general population are always the people losing out.
Just look at North Korea: no amount of economic pressure will kick out a fanatic regime.
Iran regime has a huge willingness to eat the pain as long as it means they will never be attacked again in the future because it will be considered to costly.
17
the_TB46Apr 1, 2026
+4
If the US leaves and Isreal stops its campaign and iran continues to block the strait
In few months you have the gulf states blocking the strait aswell since why should they let Iran benefit from it while they suffer.
A year or 2 later both the gulf states and iran are suffering economically, iran is not able to rebuild their infrastructure since theyre broke and Isreal and US come back for round 2 to finish the job
4
GerardicApr 1, 2026
+3
North Korea is isolated and left alone. China trades with NK to prop it up. NK isn’t holding its neighbours to ransom.
Iran is entirely different equation. The population can be hostile, Iran has contact with outside world until recently. Iran also needs money to rebuild it economy and continue to invest in military.
The infrastructure it has are in the Gulf. Unless Iran build pipes and shipping routes north to Caspian Sea, its export is limited.
The blockade by Gulf states can be effective to enforce stalemate and reopen strait to international shipping that benefit both sides.
There isn’t anything stopping US and Israel from attacking Iran.
3
Major_WaylandApr 1, 2026
+4
Naval blockade is an act of war. So, UAE and Oman blockading China and India ships... is probably not the smartest move.
4
the_TB46Apr 1, 2026
+13
Iran is literally doing this right now.
If this continues I expect the gulf states will close off the strait to everyone
Since they cant use it why should they let iran use it
13
kellyolynykfanApr 1, 2026
+5
What are they going to do, sink a Chinese ship? China is going to come after them
5
the_TB46Apr 1, 2026
+7
Give out warnings just like what the Iranians did anyone that passes after that gets targeted.
They can mine the strait aswell just like what Iranian threatened to do or they can create their own approved routes just like what Iran is doing which means china needs to get approval from both sides to pass
2 can play this game just because Iran's neighbors are not doing anything right now doesnt mean they dont have options
7
iLuvRachetPussyApr 1, 2026
+2
So the plan is to fill the straight with even more floating explosives that will turn a tanker into a rocket?
2
the_TB46Apr 1, 2026
+6
If the strait is permanently blocked off to the gulf states why should they economically decline while Iran benefits?
Its mutual assured destruction the strait card iran holds is only valid because its neighbors think this is temporary
6
ArrowsOfFateApr 1, 2026
+1
Mutually assured destruction with nukes only works because both parties don’t decide to just nuke each other.
Attacking Iranian ships of which 80% of the oil goes to China would cause China to attack whatever nation did it. That changes equations. Trump seized Venezuelan oil ships happily but doesn’t Irans , for that reason.
And no, Iran is not blocking Chinese oil ships. Some merchant Chinese ships have been warned not to go through if they are carrying American company products because that isn’t part of Irans deal with China I’m sure.
In politics Iran is likely trying to get more aid from China while China can likely use it in upcoming American meeting with Trump to win concessions.
1
the_TB46Apr 1, 2026
+2
The reply to china will be "convince iran to unblock the strait and we agree to unblock it aswell"
China is more likely to pressure Iran and be able to broker a peace deal/truce than invade or attack
2
300baicodethieunhiApr 1, 2026
+1
If they want to block oil tankers from Iran to India and China—effectively cutting off a customer base of 3 billion people—then go right ahead.
1
curorororoApr 1, 2026
+1
Because the iranians approved ships are carrying UAE goods
Who wants to be the one to tell India or Japan that UAE is f****** with their shipment from UAE?
1
alee1994Apr 1, 2026
Why would Oman do that?
0
TheJewPearApr 1, 2026
+8
Because Iran is also violating their territorial waters, and has attacked them.
8
spatchi14Apr 1, 2026
+1
Just set up a toll booth and be done with it.
1
kadaka80Apr 1, 2026
+1
You mean to tell me that an interconnected world with delicate trade balances will not benefit from blowing shit up? I'm sure Hogsbreath would be shocked to learn that and would immediately change his plans
1
BodybuilderUpbeat786Apr 1, 2026
-5
Yeah unless Iran is nuked or something they won't quit, kind of like Imperial Japan had near fanatical alliance to the Emperor the IRGC and Irainian military officials are loyal to the Ayatollah and the new one isn't going to forgive the assassination of his father.
-5
Dangerous_Thing_3275Apr 1, 2026
+10
Dont give Trump (even worse) ideas
10
BodybuilderUpbeat786Apr 1, 2026
+2
Trump put the world in a situation where LPG and Urea exports to Asia are halted and billions of people now face the threat of starvation, if he doesn't do something fast I am sure someone else will.
2
QFGTrialByFireApr 1, 2026
+1
Not sure why you are downvoted. This is exactly what is happening. Wheat and Barley futures prices in Australia for end of year delivery just spiked last week by 13% because its seeding season and not enough fertiliser and expensive diesel.
1
DexJediApr 1, 2026
+3
Agree on the first part of your post. Iran won't just quit because of some blockade. They have next to nothing to lose anymore.
One minor detail: I don't think the new Ayatollah is that important anymore. I have no evidence but I agree with one expert (Rob de Wijk) his gut feeling that the IRGC has probably taken over power behind the scenes. They chose an Ayatollah that is presumably gravely injured. It might suggest they chose a puppet as a face. In that sense there has already been a regime change.
Won't matter in the grand scale of things or in your main point and I could be completely wrong. Just wanted to share it as an interesting idea.
3
the_TB46Apr 1, 2026
+1
They have their oil infrastructure still intact so they can recover economically
If they continue to block the striat the gulf states can block it aswell. Then they have 2 options either come to an agreement to open the strait or attack the gulf states oil infrastructure
If that happens their own infrastructure will get destroyed aswell and it will take them decades to recover. By then Isreal and US will come back for round 2 to finish the job
1
Admirable-Gur-9543Apr 1, 2026
+7
The size, population and geography of the country means that even a campaign of nuclear strikes is not guaranteed to force a surrender. It could easily result in Iran attracting much greater support from Russia and China to continue their resistance, and would undoubtedly alienate the US and Israel completely from their traditional allies.
7
BodybuilderUpbeat786Apr 1, 2026
-7
Tactical nukes on Tehran and other major cities could work, remember how fanatical Imperial Japan was and how quickly it surrendered. Honestly, I'm quite surprised Putin hasn't used such weapons on Ukraine yet.
-7
madler437Apr 1, 2026
+5
He hasn’t used it because it would be political suicide. That’s also why the U.S hasn’t used it either.
5
Sometimes-funnyApr 1, 2026
+7
The fallout would go to russia too and if he nuked Ukraine…everyone would be allin against russia
7
off_by_twoApr 1, 2026
+6
Like 10 million people live in and around Tehran you absolute psychopath.
Also, you dont use nukes on territory you want to annex, that should be obvious. Especially if that territory borders NATO.
MAD still applies and is valid as ever
6
BodybuilderUpbeat786Apr 1, 2026
-8
Hang on, this is something I am predicting will happen its not necessarily an endorsement. If Asian nuclear powers like India and Pakistan face starvation its not an inconceivable outcome, without Urea over a billion people risk malnutrition and death. Its a hard decision but one that isn't off the cards, both India and Pakistan are doing naval e****** of their ships and Iran has granted some leniency but without urea fertiliser their peoples can starve to death and without LPG they can't cook food.
-8
Extension-Shine-9313Apr 1, 2026
+2
You are seeing people who say just stop the train when asked about the trolley problem. They refuse to face reality. It is the same thing with COVID on whether lockdown economic harm kills more or the virus. In fat countries like US, definitely the virus. In healthier countries, probably the lockdown.
2
maxcooperavlApr 1, 2026
+4
"I don't *necessarily* endorse a first-strike nuclear attack on 10M people" is a hell of a thing to say.
4
BodybuilderUpbeat786Apr 1, 2026
-1
Crazy times call for crazy people I suppose.
-1
off_by_twoApr 1, 2026
+1
This makes no sense, MAD is as valid a concept/doctrine as its ever been. Nuking a Russian/Chinese trading partner’s capital is an absolute insane ‘prediction.’
1
BodybuilderUpbeat786Apr 1, 2026
Russia and China won't actually risk MAD for the sake of Iran.
0
off_by_twoApr 1, 2026
+1
That is not how it works at all lmao. MAD applies primarily to the first launch. You are twisting concepts to suit some weird nuclear fantasy you've made up in your head.
And you are completely disregarding all the other reasons why countries dont just fire nukes at each other
1
Broken_RealityApr 1, 2026
+2
Just like they could on Washington and Tel Aviv.....
2
BodybuilderUpbeat786Apr 1, 2026
+2
Indeed, personally I am terrified of both America and Israel, they habrve waay too much leverage.
2
Broken_RealityApr 1, 2026
+2
And unlike Russia that needs 3 people to agree to launch a nuke the USA only needs Trump to have a fit and decide to end the world.
2
DashingDinoApr 1, 2026
+2
Not even sure nukes would make Iran back down, their religious zeal is a different kind of fanaticism and they believe they're fighting a holy war
2
TxM_2404Apr 1, 2026
-15
Diplomacy is off the cards with Iran. Taking Iran by force is the only was forward.
-15
fattygragasApr 1, 2026
+10
No it's not. You just have to make compromise as usual in diplomacy, it's not ideal maybe but its better than endless war. Trump's "gimme ur oil, uranium and Trump's Strait and also never again have a single weapon on your country while us and Israel reserves right to attack when ever they feel so" isn't diplomacy it's warmongering.
10
TxM_2404Apr 1, 2026
-4
Every compromise is gonna get Iran into a better situation than pre war. Their leadership wants is a permanent toll on Hormuz. And that is just not acceptable.
-4
Happy_Feet333Apr 1, 2026
+3
You don't seem to understand what is negotiating... or diplomacy.
Everyone gets something out of it. It's not a "I get everything and you get nothing." type of thing.
3
TxM_2404Apr 1, 2026
-3
If Iran gets to collect a toll for Hormuz that's a Iran gets everything and everyone else gets including all US allies get f*cked. A forever war is something the USA can afford and is a billion times preferable over the end of the petro dollar.
Any peace deal worth considering any concessions for has to include:
- opening of the straight
- no nukes
- no funding for terrorists
And Iran won't accept that.
-3
Happy_Feet333Apr 1, 2026
+5
You forget who's currently President of the United States.
He's already looking to cut and run, even if it means leaving the straits... closed.
5
fattygragasApr 1, 2026
So Iran bad for getting money for things they own but US is right for getting free dollars for markets using petrodollar and US deciding who can sell oil and to whom and raiding oil from independent countries is right, got it. And before you start, no I don't support Iran but sure I wont support US for the same reasons, both are as horrible countries with no democracy and no value for human lives.
0
TxM_2404Apr 1, 2026
+2
They don't own the straight. It's international waters.
2
Ultra_MetalApr 1, 2026
-4
The US will reopen it by force soon. That's why there are ground troops there now. They are preparing the operation.
-4
DashingDinoApr 1, 2026
+1
All those US ships we read about are still waiting in safe locations like Cyprus. If they get anywhere near the strait they'll be in range of missiles and drones, there would be huge losses
1
zachxyzApr 1, 2026
Shahed drone are almost useless against moving targets. They are GPS guided.
0
DashingDinoApr 1, 2026
+2
You have the memory of a goldfish if you dont remember iran blowing up ships with surface drones not shaheds
2
GloriousLebronApr 1, 2026
+14
They ain’t gonna do shi, I’ve done big projects there (Western European company) for the whole UAE spoiled and spoon fed even worse then the influencers there, I highly doubt they will pick up any guns and fight people that are actually willing to die for their country
14
Peter_deTApr 1, 2026
+7
Saudi, the Gulf States, Egypt and Sudan jointly intervened in Yemen against the Houthis. And lost.
7
evilfungiApr 1, 2026
+7
Alot of news that suggested the leaders of the Gulf States in Saudi Arabia, Bahrain and UAE are interested in expanding the War with Iran are derived from Israeli news...I don't know if it is true.
7
bungnardApr 1, 2026
+7
Well Malaysia said they had 10 ships pass through and didn't pay and will not pay
7
HarEr89Apr 1, 2026
+11
That's their official version.
11
Sweet_Bridge_3001Apr 1, 2026
+2
The only ways to open the strait is either through occupation or diplomacy. The UAE cannot occupy Iran, they can't even occupy a single island of Iran.
If they try, its much more likely that they get occupied instead.
2
ghostbannomoreApr 1, 2026
+2
Let’s be honest, only the U.S has the military capable of opening it by force. This is all just noise as everyone else will just strike a transit agreement if the U.S pulls out.
2
_I__yes__I_Apr 1, 2026
+6
I don’t even think the US is capable. From listening to military experts it may be possible for a short while but it’s not a long term solution.
If Iran persists sending drones etc one will eventually get through and shipping companies won’t think it’s safe or viable to use the Strait again.
Even if missiles and drones aren’t getting past the US military there will shipping companies want to risk it?
6
Broken_RealityApr 1, 2026
+1
It's not even the shipping companies that will decide when the strait is open enough or the risk is low enough. It is the insurance companies that underwrite the ships. If they refuse to insure then the ships go nowhere.
You are right in that as long as Iran is a threat on the strait then ships won't be underwritten. The US military cannot forcibly open the strait as long as Iran has drones and mines.
1
CryptocanedApr 1, 2026
+10
Which is fine, because the US military closed it through their use of force against Iran. so they should reopen it.
10
sfogliadelleApr 1, 2026
+3
No surprise the country involved in genocide is first in line to join the US-Israeli aggression.
3
HarEr89Apr 1, 2026
+5
The Iranian regime killed more Iranian civilians in a few days in January than US/Israel in the whole war.
5
sfogliadelleApr 1, 2026
-1
Because the propaganda number made up by those same forces to justify their illegal war said so? Lol
-1
AyiHuthaApr 1, 2026
+7
US bombing Iran being bad doesnt mean Iranian govt doesn't massacre protestors
[https://www.theguardian.com/global-development/2026/jan/27/iran-protests-death-toll-disappeared-bodies-mass-burials-30000-dead](https://www.theguardian.com/global-development/2026/jan/27/iran-protests-death-toll-disappeared-bodies-mass-burials-30000-dead)
[https://time.com/7357635/more-than-30000-killed-in-iran-say-senior-officials/](https://time.com/7357635/more-than-30000-killed-in-iran-say-senior-officials/)
7
alee1994Apr 1, 2026
-1
Let me see you a bridge if you genuinely believe that.
-1
Professional_Term140Apr 1, 2026
+4
Another Iranian regime supporter.
4
sfogliadelleApr 1, 2026
-12
Better to support the Iranian regime over the criminals attacking it.
-12
LearningT0FlyApr 1, 2026
+9
Lmao no you can hate both. Piss poor take.
9
WRSTRZApr 1, 2026
+9
Youre genuinely stupid if you believe that.
9
sfogliadelleApr 1, 2026
-12
You’re*
You’re welcome Einstein.
-12
Sea_Analyst_9581Apr 1, 2026
+2
Yes, but they can only kill unarmed civilians. They stand no chance against the Iranian army and are also too cowardly to fight it directly.
2
sfogliadelleApr 1, 2026
Don’t forget the woman. We must liberate the women of Iran by airstriking 150+ little girls in school. That incident really defines western imperialism perfectly
0
Sea_Analyst_9581Apr 1, 2026
-3
Freedom can only be achieved through regime change and bombs. /s
-3
namotousApr 1, 2026
+1
Lolll please! If they could, they would already had
1
JaVelin-X-Apr 1, 2026
+1
they can't. the US promised them they'd never have to have this fight and reneged so they are unprepared
1
thepostmanpatApr 1, 2026
+1
[ Removed by Listnook ]
1
blackmobiusApr 1, 2026
+1
Then the UAE can fight using its own men then
1
RuneytoonApr 1, 2026
+1
UAE will fight to the last American
1
Change-MotherApr 1, 2026
+1
well, not possible. too much to lose.
1
Mammoth_Clothes_5206Apr 1, 2026
+1
About time
1
DlinktpApr 1, 2026
+1
People realize that other states in the region can just do the same thing to Iran if Iran doesn't compromise at some point, right? Like, people will glibly say that all it takes is one drone to sink a tanker for the strait to be de-facto closed and not seem to be able to connect the dots other countries can and will do the same thing to Iran if this keeps up indefinitely.
I really hope Iran demanding meme concessions like de-jure ownership of the strait or toll booths are maximalist nothingburgers cause otherwise the region will catch on fire. The arab countries are not strong, but they are mostly intact and have airforces, they will retaliate at some point even if the US and Israel bugger off if the situation does not reverse afterwards.
1
SlatedtoproneApr 1, 2026
+1
It’s really about convincing ship owners and their insurance companies that it’s safe to travel through it. I don’t think that will happen during an active war. More countries bombing each other doesn’t really scream “it’s safe to pass this way” to me.
1
Relevant-Physics432Apr 1, 2026
+1
Open it by force lmao sure that's gonna work. It'll turn into a game of Russian r******* for any ship going through that won't know if Iran will have a missile pointed at it or not
111 Comments