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News & Current Events Apr 14, 2026 at 1:08 PM

UK faces biggest hit to growth from Iran war of major economies, IMF says

Posted by Alarming-Safety3200


UK faces biggest hit to growth from Iran war of major economies, IMF says
BBC News
UK faces biggest hit to growth from Iran war of major economies, IMF says
The financial body cuts its growth forecast for the UK and warns the war threatens to throw the global economy "off course".

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EngineeringLow3345 Apr 14, 2026 +52
Can someone explain why it’s ALWAYS the UK worst hit by any sort of international event?
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RobotSpaceBear Apr 14, 2026 +37
Well the simple and candid explanation is that in a globalised world, a relatively small northern island needs to be highly integrated with the global market because they clearly can't make everything at home. From energy to goods & wares, to labour. A modern economy needs all the sectors to work undisturbed as one lagging behind drags all the other sectors down. But on the other hand, the UK has made a few populist mistakes in the past decade and took itself out of a lot of institutions in an effort to regain some (ironically) sovereignty. So now every international event that destabilises its imports, for example, takes a lot longer to find alternatives because the aforementionned sabotage. An open market has its advantages, too. Anyhow, the UK has realised it's not great and are legislating to integrate more/back with a lot of markets.
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QuirkyWish3081 Apr 14, 2026 +3
Oh right so it’s our fault is it?! Hmph!! /s
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Limp_Grab4142 Apr 14, 2026 +4
privatization doesnt work, selling away natural resources of energy didnt work, build no nuclear reactors for energy reliance. Just a few. UK is a privately owned country where other countries bid and run the infra and make money but dont want to spend money to repair for long term and barely do up keep. If you want to know look up the Thames Water, classic example of what not to do as a country. went from 3bn debt to 20bn debt under a Australian company and share holders all got the best pay out and the govnt had to release 3bn to keep it afloat.
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Scared_Step4051 Apr 15, 2026 -4
absolutely nothing to do with the Labour government, though is it? * Labour inherited an economy with the highest growth forecast of the G7 (beyond the US) * Labour have now changed said economy to have the biggest hit to said forecast you could not make it up if you tried, so glad to have left the shit hole which is the UK
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Fragrant-Treat-6306 Apr 14, 2026 +33
Because we outsourced most of our economy and severed ties with 20+ of our closest economic partners
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Gentle_Snail Apr 14, 2026 +18
Tbf basing this on IMF predictions is also pretty pointless as their calculations are unable to model the UK economy.  For the last 9 years they have under forecast British growth every single year except for just 2018 and 2020 (COVID).
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WhereTheSpiesAt Apr 14, 2026 +10
Yeah, this is often ignored, the IMF's ability to predict the growth of the UK economy is really bad, year on year you have the outfall of the UK economy will grow badly compared to peers only for the upgrade to come in and put us comfortably ahead of our peers.
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liamthelad Apr 14, 2026 +7
Short answer is usually that we are often particularly exposed in a globalised world. We import lots due to having a limited industrial base due to a multitude of factors. This current issue is an energy crisis. We import lots of energy and pay a lot for it. It's one of the biggest cost of living drivers we face collectively. Businesses and consumers paying lots for energy is no bueno. The likes of France are less exposed by this all due to them importing less energy, as the French were smart enough to invest in Nuclear when oil/gas was c****, and also are moving into renewables. We are reliant on c**** gas in particular and it takes approximately 3 centuries for us to build a power plant. It's also worth noting there's a bit of a nuance here. We are having a growth rate revised as per the headline. But that revision is to a level which is still the same as the likes of Germany. And it is still growth. And next year we are forecast to have the highest growth. And also for some reason, organisations such as the IMF have always really struggled with predictions around the UK. I swear there is quite a trend of us being predicted to do worse than things turned out. The path out of this is to invest more in renewables + batteries + nuclear.
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Ok_Condition- Apr 14, 2026 +3
Better question is; how often has the IMF been right. Statements like this are meaningless
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IndividualSkill3432 Apr 14, 2026 +4
Because it makes a great story. [https://www.imf.org/external/datamapper/NGDPDPC@WEO/GBR/DEU/FRA/ITA/CAN/JPN](https://www.imf.org/external/datamapper/NGDPDPC@WEO/GBR/DEU/FRA/ITA/CAN/JPN) Most of the advanced economies are in a similar boat, minus the US. We are currently second of the non US G7 in terms of GDP per capita. We have a lot of problems but so do most other similar countries. And it gives a certain kind of person a platform to begin their Brexit rant. We do have serious issues on energy costs, that are worse than other developed countries, this is mostly down to going so big on gas without really getting into gas storage. We have low labour productivity growth, which is our real true big problem but then again the rest of the G7 other than the US has that issue as do many other non G7 advanced economies. Fix productivity, everything else shrinks as a problem, dont fix it, its the problem that will drag us down.
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leisurechef Apr 14, 2026 +5
Probably help if we taxed the wealthy
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Starter-for-Ten Apr 14, 2026 +2
Come on now, think about their yachts that need smaller yachts.  
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Rush_Banana Apr 14, 2026 -1
Because outside of London, the rest of the UK has the same GDP as the US state of Mississippi which is the poorest state in the US. The weather is also sh
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LovelyDayHere Apr 14, 2026
Should ask the BBC.
0
[deleted] Apr 14, 2026 +33
[deleted]
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ii-_- Apr 14, 2026 +13
Yes I see positive news that we are at least headed in that direction 🤞
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benanderson89 Apr 14, 2026 +4
After current legislation was added we're basically there in everything but name and voting position.
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xParesh Apr 14, 2026 +5
That would be lovely but your economy pensions crisis looks like it's about to explode and may drag the Euro down and I don't think we in the UK want to be on the hook for that when it happens.
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slicheliche Apr 14, 2026 +2
I mean it's not like the EU is a poster child for growth or financial health.
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Gentle_Snail Apr 14, 2026 +17
Just to add a grain of salt, the IMF is renowned in economics for being unable to model the UK economy. They have under predicted British growth almost consistently for the last 9 years in a row.
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Starter-for-Ten Apr 14, 2026 +2
We just need to rejoin the EU. We going to do it eventually, let's do it now. 
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Major_Bag_8720 Apr 16, 2026 +1
All 27 members would have to agree. It’s not that easy.
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Fragrant-Treat-6306 Apr 14, 2026 +2
But of course, we should continue to deepen our dependence on oil, right Nige?
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Prudent_Pack2738 Apr 17, 2026 +2
At this stage I think we need a forecast on IMFs forecasts I forecast they will face a similar hit to their accuracy as last year
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kl122002 Apr 14, 2026 +1
The energy / oil thing will hit EU and UK definitely and that's unavoidable. But I am not sure if it is the good time ... Summer is coming and do we really need to energy/oil reserve to prepare for air-con or some cooling facilities ?
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Nonhinged Apr 14, 2026 +5
Electricity isn't really a problem in the summer. UK has something like 22 GW of solar and 32 GW of wind, and the summer has a lower demand.
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xxNemasisxx Apr 15, 2026 +2
Hell even right now we're generating ~70% of our demand via just solar and wind
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JealousChip8469 Apr 14, 2026 +1
of fuckin course
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