Ukraine, Russia move towards potential peace deal, Bloomberg reports

Not really. So many wars drag out for years. Decades or more even. Intermittently in some cases depending on where in the world and throughout history. If all the Major powers are in all out war, it really can’t sustain a long period of time. So big wars are short.

Yeah, nothing \*heroic\* here unlike after WWII . It\`s a mashup of Vietnam and Afghanistan put even more deadly and pointless.

Oh this was going on long before the Russia's wars against Ukraine. Look up "dedovshchina", the r***, violence and extortion by the Russian armed forces towards their own is endemic and quite appalling. I don't want to list some of the worst stories because they're truly appalling.

Well, you should take a look at what AMOUNTS we buy today compared to before the war. 👀

It's not obvious that Russia can outlast Ukraine though. I hear that said a lot but it isn't backed up by what's happening on the ground. Ukraine has clearly removed most of the gap in armed strength between the two countries and as long as the EU keeps supporting them like they have so far that doesn't seem to be going to change. It's not the Ukraine doesn't have issues, but Russia does as well

What a load of shit from someone that only reads headlines and doesn't follow the actual war. Drones have completely changes the dynamic of what "manpower" does anymore. If you've been following this war, you'd realize that drones are a cost-effective nightmare for invading soldiers. It is a tremendous defender's advantage. And when I say "nightmare", I mean it literally. FPV drones are capturing videos of Russian soldiers committing suicide in increasing numbers. Consider this: Russia has been shooting ballistic missiles and artillery at Ukraine's manufacturing and energy infrastructure for four years. They also launched over 50,000 Shahed drones, courtesy of the innocent little nation of Iran, killing hundreds and injuring thousands. Despite all of this, Russia has still not won. At this point, Ukraine has so much decentralized manufacturing for their defensive anti-infantry and anti-Shahed drones, that Russia has no hope in actually gaining ground. There is no ground to gain. Only entering kill-zones of drones. Sure, Russia can continue to terrorize towns and villages. Maiming the elderly and dumping them in mass graves. But, there is no real answer to drone warfare. It is too cost-effective and a tremendous advantage for defenders. Ukrainians are fighting a battle for survival.

Putin won't last forever. He disappears for weeks at a time, presumably for health reasons. The [latest stretch of Putin absences ](https://monitoring.bbc.co.uk/product/b0003oq4)dates back to the start of April. When he goes, internal support for his war will rapidly decrease.

In the end, it's up to the ukrainians to decide, and it seems they want the war to end. Either that or NATO does in Ukraine what North Korea did in Russia. If we don’t fight with them, we have no say in the matter; it is the Ukrainians who are dying on the front lines.

I'm comparing the initial goal with the result. The US didn't invade Iran, not because they didn't want to, but more realistically because they knew they couldn't. Something russians should have known before they invaded Ukraine. The US was able to configure their war, with the constraint to minimize casualties and duration of the war. You can't invade another country like that in 5 weeks, I mean you should know you can't, and Russia seemingly didn't. If you can't, then you don't, and you do something else. Their goal wasn't that different, Russia doesn't really want to annex Ukraine, they want a satellite state, like Belarus. They can't have that so they resorted to annexation, but if they could just have all ukrainians on their side they would prefer, and the US would probably also prefer that for iranians. The strategy russians used to have ukrainians on their side completely failed for everyone during 4 (12) years. Has the US strategy failed? It seems so for now, but there was no point in making it last longer because I don't think they would be more successful if it did. I'm not using moral considerations to compare the two situations, like obviously I haven't seen Ukraine launch hundreds of missiles on Russia or a friend of Russia before the war. It's just: you have a problem => you see what you're ready to do, to try to solve it => you try it => it works / it doesn't but it ends quickly in a controlled way with "minimal" damage (compared to what Russia has lost in Ukraine). If Russia did this, they would have ended the war after 2 months and would not have been humiliated. But I'm also not sure the only goal of Putin in Ukraine, was Ukraine. His war is also a way to control his society and he's probably continuing for this reason, we all know he won't go much further in Ukraine, but it doesn't stop him because he doesn't care that much.

Yeah I'm being optimistic at least on the short term.