US and Iran close to one-page memorandum to end war - Axios

That's what's frustrating with all of this stupidity. The IRGC is probably more powerful in Iran than before the war, and now they've got a scenario where the likely outcome is that they take the leverage they have with Trump clearly being desperate to get out of this mess he created by them agreeing to turn over the "dust" he obsesses over while they decide to add a new toll to shipping traffic in exchange for their peace agreement. So the likely outcome of that a regime that just got younger, is even less likely to negotiate with the US going forward (hard to imagine a hard-line leader would want to negotiate with the country that killed his father, son and wife with airstrikes) and now the country will have a great source of revenue to restart their nuclear program and to get tons of weapons from someone like Russia or China. So the administration in a short time has blown away a nuclear weapons treaty and replaced it with nothing for years, and now might replace it with something that accomplishes a fraction of what the JCPOA did, pissed away billions of US dollars in terms of weapons and resources, killed and injured thousands of people, and left Iran bruised but with a younger leadership group who is likely more emboldened by the fact that they are seeing in real time how easily they can force the world to pay attention by shutting down the straight and forcing even the US to consider them. It's been an abject failure for any of the 4 random reasons they claimed the war was meant to address, and people around the world are paying for the idiocy.

A long term strategy for Iranian will likely to maintain ability to hold the straight hostage. Continue to mass produce drones and missile capable of closing the straight at will. They have proven they can do it, and they have proven they can hold the world ransom. Thats much more effective than nuclear weapons. Because they cant actually use nuclear weapons without ending the world. It's a bluff. The moment someone call you on it then what then. It's likely better for Iran to stay within 90% of developing nuclear weapons because then it's something they can negotiate with. Atleast until pipelines are built to avoid the straight entirely.

Yes, FOX News will ignore it because it doesn’t fit their narrative. Hegseth will ignore it because it shows Iran is capable of hitting back. Trump will ignore it because gas prices will cost him the midterms.

The US appears to not consider that a big deal so I guess yes. >**U.S. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth stated on Tuesday that a fragile ceasefire with Iran remains intact, even as the United Arab Emirates (UAE) reported a second consecutive day of missile and drone strikes targeting its territory.** [https://www.businesstimes-bd.com/international/middle-east/6448](https://www.businesstimes-bd.com/international/middle-east/6448)

Absolutely.

No enrichment is better than JCPOA. But no sanctions is a win for Iran.  It’s not clear Iran would even accept no enrichment though. 

Pretty much

They don't need to be. The media has always been chasing the coveted 'Breaking News!' or 'Exclusive!' title. You don't need a new business model to incentivize this when the old one does it anyway.

Will they be shipping pallets of cash?

You can't build a nuclear weapon in secret, it is literally impossible as long as satellites exist.

would trump not make the deal include iaea inspections

nope they do

they have the resources just need a test

So Iran wins the war?

you can buy fuel from 3rd parties.

The 'inside source' is Trump himself. He spends his entire day calling different reporters, giving them information in an attempt to shape the narrative about anything he wants. Axios keeps reporting the same nonsense, because it's coming from the same nonsensical source: Trump.

Dude, that's not a squirrel. That's a giraffe!