US Central Command says it will begin blockade of Iranian ports Monday

>"Surprise your enemies by backstabbing your allies -Don Tzu >"Surprise your allies by befriending your enemies." -Don Tzu This is some Ferengi Rule 34/35 of Acquisition level kind of stuff.

The Shart of War

"The greatest victories are the ones you completely make up." - Don Tzu

>"promise a plan in 2-3 weeks, in 2-3 weeks deliver nothing" Promise a plan in 2-3 weeks, in 2-3 weeks promise a plan in 2-3 weeks

If anybody has ever wondered why the likes of Sun Tzu and Clausewitz got so popular for writing down the blatantly obvious, this conflict is the answer to that question.

That did work in a lot of situations. No one expects the double siege. This more like if someone captured all your food supplies and you just went "Haha, jokes on you, I didn't want them anyway, now I'm building a wall around you and the food"

tbf if you really dig into the details the Western Roman Empire was by far the most American thing ever until like the 1950s.

USA about to enter their empire phase

Calling Alesia antiquity makes me feel old somehow.

Yes, but that was because a larger Gaulish force was on the way to reinforce and it would have been more dangerous for the gaulish forces to meet up or for the Romans to be flanked while besieging.

I agree. Out of all the stupid aspects of the war, the blockade of a (selective) blockade is one of the less stupid things about it. Despite how utterly stupid it sounds at first.

So with a blockade we have: 1- Prolonged strait closure 2- Reduced amount of oil in the market 3- Raised oil and gas prices Genius

I think there’s a probability that it puts Irans allies pressure on Iran, but if there were a time in US history that this strategy had the lowest probability of working, it’d be right now. Considering Trump’s global tariff policy, threatening longstanding allies, and his decisions to generally do the exact *opposite* of good will diplomacy as long as he has been in office. He has eaten up so much of the worlds patience, and shown that the US will act with a complete disregard for any norms, treaties, or promises made (unless that country rhymes with *Schmisrael*). Other nations likely realize there’s a fairly high chance *even if* they can force Iran to open the Strait, there is no guarantee that Trump will re-open it himself, or decide to run it himself like a mob boss. The people who are “Irans allies” are effectively China…. The rest are US “allies” who aren’t going to have a Ton of pull when it comes to getting Iran to capitulate. Honestly- I won’t be surprised if we see China (or other affected US ally countries) begin to sell off massive amounts of US treasury bonds in response, which basically puts the pressure back on the US via the absolute shit show that creates in the US economy…

The Indian navy has been escorting their ship. Are we going to attack them if they refuse to be boarded? This is in India’s backyard and they have nuclear weapons and a modern navy including nuclear powered ballistic missile submarines. I can’t imagine them allowing their ships to be boarded.

Source?? Surely not

Funny, in 2023, 47% republicans thought it was best to “play an active role in foreign affairs” as opposed to 53% wanting to “staying out”. Now, 71% of republicans say the US made the right decision with this military action. A truly brainwashed lot. https://globalaffairs.org/research/public-opinion-survey/americas-foreign-policy-future-public-opinion-and-2024-election

My theory is half of them have dirt related to Epstein and some other shit, if potus goes down he will take them with him. It’s like a big circle jerk and we’re not in it.

It's not even that, it's just that too many of them are too spineless to ever vote against dear leader

Aren't they on a 2 week recess right now f****** laziest people in america.

Not can. *Are*.

They arent dumb, the cronies are actively profiting through all the shenanigans he put the world through. The only dumb people here are the average joe who voted them into power.

Man trying his best at beating Iran at chess by copying their moves. Genius.

Zero percent they'll get involved and start WW3 against the US as listnookors believe. Non-zero chance they take action against the IR, given that's the far easier and cheaper thing for them to do to resume shipments.

They might not intervene but it won’t be militarily. I suspect they would respond economically and then try to broker a deal

Reporting for duty

Trump is really bad at evaluating second order effects which means he'd fit right in here.

They can test the blockade by sending a single frigate as an e***** Puts the US in a quandary  If it (the US) does nothing, then others will do the same. If it tries to board the tanker anyway, then China has a decision to make.   They can do nothing and take a PR hit or they can kill the boarding team. Now the US has an absolutely critical decision to make.  Do they sink the frigate in return?.  If they do nothing, they lost a helo or two of troops and a PR disaster.  But if they sink the frigate (which they could easily do), the US would be instantly in a hot war with China.   A war the US is ill prepared, over stretched & out of position to fight. True. The Chinese cannot force project to challenge what the US has in the Gulf of Oman…. But at minimum, US warships in the western Pacific better prepare their lifeboats and other US assets in the region (cough: Guam) are in serious, serious trouble 

China is likely to avoid directly intervening in the war. Might impose economic sanctions on the US, though. Might even send its own ships to e***** its own tankers, and dare the US to take a shot, if things get bad enough. Hell, there might be quite a few nations that start doing this if the US actually throws up a full blockade. A lot depends on how effective the blockade is. Actually going into the Strait and up to Iranian ports would make for a very effective blockade, but if Iran still has any smoke left to send, it could be very dangerous too- all it takes is one lucky shot, one shaky-cam video of a US warship sailing away trailing smoke, to turn this whole thing into a propaganda disaster. Staying farther back and running down ships spotted via satellite is safer, but your interdiction rate won't be 100%, especially if a bunch of ships leave at once and scatter in different directions, forcing the US to choose which ones to chase and board.

Officially never. China could send weapons to Iran with planes when there is a naval blockade but then US would bomb the planes and airports.

Updated headline: Trump cause global depression by blocking the Strait of hormuz

No but I have it. 

Optics is what im getting at. They can blame Iran for oil price cause they block the Strait.  That excuse wont fly if the US is doing its own blockade

My prediction is it’ll be riddled with lawsuits by the DOJ and Johnson will refuse to seat anyone in until the lawsuits clear… many months later, if at all. Both of these have occurred in various forms before so it’s clearly in their playbook. I don’t see them pulling any stops if it means protecting their power.

In other words, he’s a world class untrustworthy moron.

2nd mortgage

Mmmm it seems the chinese navy is there And chinese oil is nationalized .... so yeah idk if usa messing with it is gonna go well or just escalate this into ww3 God trump is stupid https://moderndiplomacy.eu/2026/03/08/china-bolsters-naval-presence-in-strait-of-hormuz-amid-us-pressure-on-iran-and-venezuela/#:~:text=This%20Chinese%20naval%20deployment%20towards,Iranian%2Dcontrolled%20Strait%20of%20Hormuz.

Lmao America isn’t seizing any Chinese or Russian ships.