I’m not sure anything is certain with these peace talks. Iran has almost zero air defence and the US and Israel have almost zero self restraint when it comes to military scapegoating. Keeping the Strait of Hormuz open seems to be the only real objective of any talks and that is Iran’s only bargaining chip.
4
[deleted]Apr 11, 2026
+4
[deleted]
4
InvestigatorOk9354Apr 11, 2026
+1
The ceasefire wasn't exactly written up and signed. Israel kept bombing Lebanon in violation of the ceasefire, Trump said he accepted Iranian terms, then he didn't, Iran let ships through if they paid the toll as they had demanded, then Trump threatened to call everything off if he didn't get a cut. No one seems to know the full list of terms that was agreed to. The whole thing is a clusterfuck and there's zero chance Vance and Kushner will get better terms for the US without lining their own pockets and selling out Gulf allies.
1
FedBySheepApr 11, 2026
+3
> The ceasefire wasn't exactly written up and signed. Israel kept bombing Lebanon in violation of the ceasefire
Did they agree to a ceasefire where they would stop bombing Lebanon?
3
InvestigatorOk9354Apr 11, 2026
depends on who you ask, that's the problem...
0
FedBySheepApr 12, 2026
+1
I'm asking you. You're framing it as if they agreed to one.
1
jeffersonianMIApr 11, 2026
+2
They're only bargaining chip is 20% of global petroleum.
Assuming that is, that they also let SA keep its western port open, to say nothing of all the U.S. troops evacuated from their actual bases.
2
Be_quiet_Im_thinkingApr 11, 2026
-1
Lebanon should crash the talks and ask that Israel become more accurate in their strikes.
-1
CremeAcrobatic1748Apr 11, 2026
Well the Trump admin also keeps threatening to bomb Iran...so calling these peace talks is pretty generous
9 Comments