U.S.-Iran peace summit in Pakistan concludes with no deal, talks to continue on Sunday

Standard financial advice is that ordinary people should not make significant trades in the market on the basis of what is in the newspapers, especially not crises or wars. Any info you get is late and wrong, ; the only way to hold your own against insider trading is to do nothing at all. The people that make money on it are committing crimes, getting a tip 5 minutes before some major event, and trading on it directly.

I wish you did too!

Watch polymarket closely

Me too, notably I’d really like to know, why not include Marco Rubio on this?

Which is a terrifying thought because it'll take 6+ weeks for things to stabilize after the strait is fully open again and who knows how long that'll be. The European aviation agency has already stated that things are going to get real bad in 3 weeks if things aren't fully resolved by then.

I don't think Vances ego will let him. I mean look at how he's treated other foreign diplomats. Such as with Zelensky. Vance is a selfish POS and those kind of folks don't compromise easily.

Iran probably doesn't mind Israel ignored the ceasefire in Lebanon (giving the Iranians some credence here as mediator Pakistan also said Lebanon was included), as it gives them an excuse to keep the strait closed during negotiations and the pressure up on Trump.

The US made a mistake by prolonging the conflict for so long. If they left right after taking out Khamenei, they would have emerged as the undisputed w*****, and would have sent a strong message to the rest of the world.

The issue is the Republican media is going all out on him if he tries to make a deal. Look at Lindsey Graham already trying to get Congress involved if the maximalist demands are not met 

The Iranians probably didn't want the room to smell like shit

Sure but he still gave that puppet his marching orders. IMO the Iranians were smart enough to request Vance as a way to play him off Rubio.

I respectfully disagree, but it’s such an unprecedented situation that we’ll have to wait and see. I don’t see how an alternative path moving product out of the gulf could be achieved in a timely enough fashion (I’m thinking multiple massive trunk lines built across the Arabian peninsula, in addition to rail lines for products like fertilizer, and the need to construct new ports in the Red Sea) to avoid the incoming price shocks. A military intervention that would stop Iran from striking ships passing through the strait would involve a nightmarish campaign of locating and clearing the massive network of caves and tunnels Iran has been building for decades for exactly this outcome. I don’t think we have a clear picture of what their drone and missile stockpiles are like but I’d be absolutely stunned if they don’t have enough, spread out far enough to make insuring tankers unthinkable. You’d essentially have to guarantee they’ve all been disabled before the flow returns to close to normal. Trump may be stuck choosing between the greatest strategic defeat in modern history, and trying to prosecute a horrifying war amidst historic energy and food prices. Or maybe I’m completely wrong. Here’s hoping. I’m pretty ignorant of military stuff but an admittedly long time ago I studied petroleum marketing and regulatory frameworks. My dad was a petroleum geologist. My sister is a O+G accountant, her husband is a gas plant engineer. My best friend was a petroleum marketer before getting his JD and now does contract stuff for a sizeable upstream producer, so I’ve got some sources of information on the energy side at least.

What alternate routes are there that currently exist?

Because he's been trying to carefully position himself so he can say he was against the war when he runs for president in 28. He's their best chance at seeing what the most favorable deal they would be and to strike is.

He’s a retired Marine who was deployed to Iraq in 2005. Did a 6 month tour. He probably has a basic understanding how bad wars are.

Wow. Guy who wrote fiction book and worked for Peter Theil is the competent one. Scary.

He travels back and forth to Florida every weekend

We shall see, the joke is still playing out,

That's right. They've been requesting him since that last group of Iranian negotiators were all killed.

BiBi should go as well. Get rid of the whole lot.

Trump will leave in 3 years. The US is a democracy.

The Iranian Regime first, they shot at thousands of protesters and imprisoned 20k more, some of which have already been executed or hanged. So yes, while it would be nice for MAGA to melt away - IRGC is recruiting 12 year old soldiers so the biggest evil is Iran